Geographic variation in dispersal distance facilitates range expansion of a lake shore plant in response to climate change
Aim Geographic variation in dispersal abilities is widespread and likely to affect species' range dynamics in response to climate change. However, distribution models that predict climate‐induced range shifts do not account for spatial variation in dispersal. We developed an eco‐genetic model t...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Diversity & distributions 2019-09, Vol.25 (9), p.1429-1440 |
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| creator | LaRue, Elizabeth A. Emery, Nancy C. Briley, Laura Christie, Mark R. |
| description | Aim
Geographic variation in dispersal abilities is widespread and likely to affect species' range dynamics in response to climate change. However, distribution models that predict climate‐induced range shifts do not account for spatial variation in dispersal. We developed an eco‐genetic model to investigate how variation in dispersal distances across a species' range could interact with climate‐induced selection and alter predicted range dynamics in a species with documented variation in dispersal traits.
Location
We investigated the range of an annual plant, Cakile edentula var. lacustris, which occupies beaches spanning a 555 km latitudinal gradient along the Laurentian Great Lakes.
Methods
We built a hybrid model that combines climatic niche modelling, based on decadal climate projections, with an individual‐based model that allows for evolutionary processes to act upon a heritable dispersal kernel. We evaluated how spatial variation in dispersal distance and dispersal evolution influenced range dynamics, spatial and temporal variation in dispersal, and the distribution of neutral genetic variation. The model was parametrized with data on C. edentula's distribution, life history and dispersal characteristics.
Results
Geographic variation in dispersal distance, adaptive dispersal evolution and dispersal distance increased the potential for local populations of C. edentula to keep pace with changing climatic conditions through range shifts. Dispersal distances always increased at the expanding and contracting range edges when dispersal was allowed to evolve. Furthermore, scenarios where dispersal distances were initially lower at the range edges resulted in the largest evolutionary changes over 105 years (>1.5 km increase in mean distance at northern edge). Adaptive dispersal evolution always reduced neutral genetic diversity across the species' range.
Main conclusions
Variation in dispersal abilities across C. edentula's range and adaptive evolution led to different predicted outcomes in range dynamics during climate change illustrating the importance of including spatial variation in dispersal into species distribution models. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/ddi.12951 |
| format | Article |
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Geographic variation in dispersal abilities is widespread and likely to affect species' range dynamics in response to climate change. However, distribution models that predict climate‐induced range shifts do not account for spatial variation in dispersal. We developed an eco‐genetic model to investigate how variation in dispersal distances across a species' range could interact with climate‐induced selection and alter predicted range dynamics in a species with documented variation in dispersal traits.
Location
We investigated the range of an annual plant, Cakile edentula var. lacustris, which occupies beaches spanning a 555 km latitudinal gradient along the Laurentian Great Lakes.
Methods
We built a hybrid model that combines climatic niche modelling, based on decadal climate projections, with an individual‐based model that allows for evolutionary processes to act upon a heritable dispersal kernel. We evaluated how spatial variation in dispersal distance and dispersal evolution influenced range dynamics, spatial and temporal variation in dispersal, and the distribution of neutral genetic variation. The model was parametrized with data on C. edentula's distribution, life history and dispersal characteristics.
Results
Geographic variation in dispersal distance, adaptive dispersal evolution and dispersal distance increased the potential for local populations of C. edentula to keep pace with changing climatic conditions through range shifts. Dispersal distances always increased at the expanding and contracting range edges when dispersal was allowed to evolve. Furthermore, scenarios where dispersal distances were initially lower at the range edges resulted in the largest evolutionary changes over 105 years (>1.5 km increase in mean distance at northern edge). Adaptive dispersal evolution always reduced neutral genetic diversity across the species' range.
Main conclusions
Variation in dispersal abilities across C. edentula's range and adaptive evolution led to different predicted outcomes in range dynamics during climate change illustrating the importance of including spatial variation in dispersal into species distribution models.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1366-9516</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1472-4642</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12951</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford: Wiley</publisher><subject>Animal behavior ; Biodiversity ; BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH ; Biological evolution ; Cakile edentula ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Climatic conditions ; Dispersal ; dispersal evolution ; Dispersion ; Dynamics ; Evolution ; Evolution & development ; expanding range limit ; Genetic diversity ; geographic range ; Lakes ; Life history ; Local population ; Niches ; Range extension ; Species ; Species diversity ; Temporal variations</subject><ispartof>Diversity & distributions, 2019-09, Vol.25 (9), p.1429-1440</ispartof><rights>2019 The Authors</rights><rights>2019 The Authors. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</rights><rights>2019. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3541-f6408cec31ea8250887d1d9f2ecc72f5e0d5a17f7711d0703014a949c7c72fb13</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3541-f6408cec31ea8250887d1d9f2ecc72f5e0d5a17f7711d0703014a949c7c72fb13</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-9535-0630</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/26740119$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/26740119$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,864,1417,11562,25354,27924,27925,45574,45575,46052,46476,54524,54530</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/26740119$$EView_record_in_JSTOR$$FView_record_in_$$GJSTOR</linktorsrc></links><search><contributor>Iacona, Gwen</contributor><creatorcontrib>LaRue, Elizabeth A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Emery, Nancy C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Briley, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Christie, Mark R.</creatorcontrib><title>Geographic variation in dispersal distance facilitates range expansion of a lake shore plant in response to climate change</title><title>Diversity & distributions</title><description>Aim
Geographic variation in dispersal abilities is widespread and likely to affect species' range dynamics in response to climate change. However, distribution models that predict climate‐induced range shifts do not account for spatial variation in dispersal. We developed an eco‐genetic model to investigate how variation in dispersal distances across a species' range could interact with climate‐induced selection and alter predicted range dynamics in a species with documented variation in dispersal traits.
Location
We investigated the range of an annual plant, Cakile edentula var. lacustris, which occupies beaches spanning a 555 km latitudinal gradient along the Laurentian Great Lakes.
Methods
We built a hybrid model that combines climatic niche modelling, based on decadal climate projections, with an individual‐based model that allows for evolutionary processes to act upon a heritable dispersal kernel. We evaluated how spatial variation in dispersal distance and dispersal evolution influenced range dynamics, spatial and temporal variation in dispersal, and the distribution of neutral genetic variation. The model was parametrized with data on C. edentula's distribution, life history and dispersal characteristics.
Results
Geographic variation in dispersal distance, adaptive dispersal evolution and dispersal distance increased the potential for local populations of C. edentula to keep pace with changing climatic conditions through range shifts. Dispersal distances always increased at the expanding and contracting range edges when dispersal was allowed to evolve. Furthermore, scenarios where dispersal distances were initially lower at the range edges resulted in the largest evolutionary changes over 105 years (>1.5 km increase in mean distance at northern edge). Adaptive dispersal evolution always reduced neutral genetic diversity across the species' range.
Main conclusions
Variation in dispersal abilities across C. edentula's range and adaptive evolution led to different predicted outcomes in range dynamics during climate change illustrating the importance of including spatial variation in dispersal into species distribution models.</description><subject>Animal behavior</subject><subject>Biodiversity</subject><subject>BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH</subject><subject>Biological evolution</subject><subject>Cakile edentula</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate models</subject><subject>Climatic conditions</subject><subject>Dispersal</subject><subject>dispersal evolution</subject><subject>Dispersion</subject><subject>Dynamics</subject><subject>Evolution</subject><subject>Evolution & development</subject><subject>expanding range limit</subject><subject>Genetic diversity</subject><subject>geographic range</subject><subject>Lakes</subject><subject>Life history</subject><subject>Local population</subject><subject>Niches</subject><subject>Range extension</subject><subject>Species</subject><subject>Species diversity</subject><subject>Temporal variations</subject><issn>1366-9516</issn><issn>1472-4642</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>WIN</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kD1PwzAQhi0EEqUw8AOQLDExpPVHYicjaqFUqsQCc2Scc-sS4mCnQPn1OATY8OKT73nOpxehc0omNJ5pVdkJZUVGD9CIppIlqUjZYay5EEl8FsfoJIQtIYTzjI3Q5wLc2qt2YzV-U96qzroG2wZXNrTgg6r7qlONBmyUtrXtVAcBe9WsAcNHq5rQG85ghWv1DDhsnAfc1qrp-jkeQuuaALhzWNf2JdpYb3r7FB0ZVQc4-7nH6PH25mF2l6zuF8vZ9SrRPEtpYkRKcg2aU1A5y0iey4pWhWGgtWQmA1JlikojJaUVkYQTmqoiLbTs20-Uj9HlMLf17nUHoSu3bueb-GXJmMgLnhdSROpqoLR3IXgwZevjtn5fUlL20ZYx2vI72shOB_bd1rD_Hyzn8-WvcTEY29A5_2cwIVNCacG_AALOhVs</recordid><startdate>201909</startdate><enddate>201909</enddate><creator>LaRue, Elizabeth A.</creator><creator>Emery, Nancy C.</creator><creator>Briley, Laura</creator><creator>Christie, Mark R.</creator><general>Wiley</general><general>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</general><scope>24P</scope><scope>WIN</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9535-0630</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>201909</creationdate><title>Geographic variation in dispersal distance facilitates range expansion of a lake shore plant in response to climate change</title><author>LaRue, Elizabeth A. ; Emery, Nancy C. ; Briley, Laura ; Christie, Mark R.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3541-f6408cec31ea8250887d1d9f2ecc72f5e0d5a17f7711d0703014a949c7c72fb13</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Animal behavior</topic><topic>Biodiversity</topic><topic>BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH</topic><topic>Biological evolution</topic><topic>Cakile edentula</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate models</topic><topic>Climatic conditions</topic><topic>Dispersal</topic><topic>dispersal evolution</topic><topic>Dispersion</topic><topic>Dynamics</topic><topic>Evolution</topic><topic>Evolution & development</topic><topic>expanding range limit</topic><topic>Genetic diversity</topic><topic>geographic range</topic><topic>Lakes</topic><topic>Life history</topic><topic>Local population</topic><topic>Niches</topic><topic>Range extension</topic><topic>Species</topic><topic>Species diversity</topic><topic>Temporal variations</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>LaRue, Elizabeth A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Emery, Nancy C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Briley, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Christie, Mark R.</creatorcontrib><collection>Wiley Online Library (Open Access Collection)</collection><collection>Wiley Online Library (Open Access Collection)</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Ecology Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Research Library (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Research Library Prep</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>Research Library</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Research Library (Corporate)</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><jtitle>Diversity & distributions</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>LaRue, Elizabeth A.</au><au>Emery, Nancy C.</au><au>Briley, Laura</au><au>Christie, Mark R.</au><au>Iacona, Gwen</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Geographic variation in dispersal distance facilitates range expansion of a lake shore plant in response to climate change</atitle><jtitle>Diversity & distributions</jtitle><date>2019-09</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>25</volume><issue>9</issue><spage>1429</spage><epage>1440</epage><pages>1429-1440</pages><issn>1366-9516</issn><eissn>1472-4642</eissn><abstract>Aim
Geographic variation in dispersal abilities is widespread and likely to affect species' range dynamics in response to climate change. However, distribution models that predict climate‐induced range shifts do not account for spatial variation in dispersal. We developed an eco‐genetic model to investigate how variation in dispersal distances across a species' range could interact with climate‐induced selection and alter predicted range dynamics in a species with documented variation in dispersal traits.
Location
We investigated the range of an annual plant, Cakile edentula var. lacustris, which occupies beaches spanning a 555 km latitudinal gradient along the Laurentian Great Lakes.
Methods
We built a hybrid model that combines climatic niche modelling, based on decadal climate projections, with an individual‐based model that allows for evolutionary processes to act upon a heritable dispersal kernel. We evaluated how spatial variation in dispersal distance and dispersal evolution influenced range dynamics, spatial and temporal variation in dispersal, and the distribution of neutral genetic variation. The model was parametrized with data on C. edentula's distribution, life history and dispersal characteristics.
Results
Geographic variation in dispersal distance, adaptive dispersal evolution and dispersal distance increased the potential for local populations of C. edentula to keep pace with changing climatic conditions through range shifts. Dispersal distances always increased at the expanding and contracting range edges when dispersal was allowed to evolve. Furthermore, scenarios where dispersal distances were initially lower at the range edges resulted in the largest evolutionary changes over 105 years (>1.5 km increase in mean distance at northern edge). Adaptive dispersal evolution always reduced neutral genetic diversity across the species' range.
Main conclusions
Variation in dispersal abilities across C. edentula's range and adaptive evolution led to different predicted outcomes in range dynamics during climate change illustrating the importance of including spatial variation in dispersal into species distribution models.</abstract><cop>Oxford</cop><pub>Wiley</pub><doi>10.1111/ddi.12951</doi><tpages>12</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9535-0630</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Diversity & distributions, 2019-09, Vol.25 (9), p.1429-1440 |
| issn | 1366-9516 1472-4642 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_journals_2268938976 |
| source | JSTOR Open Access Journals |
| subjects | Animal behavior Biodiversity BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH Biological evolution Cakile edentula Climate change Climate models Climatic conditions Dispersal dispersal evolution Dispersion Dynamics Evolution Evolution & development expanding range limit Genetic diversity geographic range Lakes Life history Local population Niches Range extension Species Species diversity Temporal variations |
| title | Geographic variation in dispersal distance facilitates range expansion of a lake shore plant in response to climate change |
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