When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States
Objective. Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods. I use the American National Election Studie...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Social science quarterly 2019-08, Vol.100 (5), p.1638-1650 |
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| container_title | Social science quarterly |
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| creator | de Geus, Roosmarijn A. |
| description | Objective. Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods. I use the American National Election Studies from 1980 to 2016 to conduct over time regression analyses of the identity and behavior of conflicted partisans. Results. The share of conflicted partisans is substantial, especially during economic recessions. Conflict is associated with weak levels of party identification, higher levels of nonvoting, and lower levels of in-party voting. Conclusion. A closer look at conflicted partisans suggests that partisan bias in economic judgments fluctuates over time and varies among party affiliates. The study further shows that conflict between party affiliation and economic judgments is associated with differential voting and turnout patterns among party identifiers. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/ssqu.12662 |
| format | Article |
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Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods. I use the American National Election Studies from 1980 to 2016 to conduct over time regression analyses of the identity and behavior of conflicted partisans. Results. The share of conflicted partisans is substantial, especially during economic recessions. Conflict is associated with weak levels of party identification, higher levels of nonvoting, and lower levels of in-party voting. Conclusion. A closer look at conflicted partisans suggests that partisan bias in economic judgments fluctuates over time and varies among party affiliates. The study further shows that conflict between party affiliation and economic judgments is associated with differential voting and turnout patterns among party identifiers.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0038-4941</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1540-6237</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.12662</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford: University of Texas Press</publisher><subject>Bias ; Conflict ; Identities and Participation ; Identity ; National elections ; Partisanship ; Party identification ; Political identity ; Recessions ; Voter behavior ; Voter turnout ; Voters ; Voting</subject><ispartof>Social science quarterly, 2019-08, Vol.100 (5), p.1638-1650</ispartof><rights>2019 by the Southwestern Social Science Association</rights><rights>2019 Southwestern Social Science Association</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3922-c9e701bb3895ffaf8d2f5e4d5a3feb93dd48c4465b7d8481fab08a96fc66b1cf3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3922-c9e701bb3895ffaf8d2f5e4d5a3feb93dd48c4465b7d8481fab08a96fc66b1cf3</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-3053-2123</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fssqu.12662$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fssqu.12662$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27901,27902,33751,45550,45551</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>de Geus, Roosmarijn A.</creatorcontrib><title>When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States</title><title>Social science quarterly</title><description>Objective. Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods. I use the American National Election Studies from 1980 to 2016 to conduct over time regression analyses of the identity and behavior of conflicted partisans. Results. The share of conflicted partisans is substantial, especially during economic recessions. Conflict is associated with weak levels of party identification, higher levels of nonvoting, and lower levels of in-party voting. Conclusion. A closer look at conflicted partisans suggests that partisan bias in economic judgments fluctuates over time and varies among party affiliates. The study further shows that conflict between party affiliation and economic judgments is associated with differential voting and turnout patterns among party identifiers.</description><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Conflict</subject><subject>Identities and Participation</subject><subject>Identity</subject><subject>National elections</subject><subject>Partisanship</subject><subject>Party identification</subject><subject>Political identity</subject><subject>Recessions</subject><subject>Voter behavior</subject><subject>Voter turnout</subject><subject>Voters</subject><subject>Voting</subject><issn>0038-4941</issn><issn>1540-6237</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7UB</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kM9LwzAUx4MoOKcX70LBm9CZX03TiyCj6mCgMofHkKYJZnTJlrTK_nu7VT36Lg8en-97vA8AlwhOUF-3MW67CcKM4SMwQhmFKcMkPwYjCAlPaUHRKTiLcQUhpJjyEbh7_9AueZGhtVG6ZFZr11pjlWytd4l0dVIq7_zaqqT8lE13mMdk6p1prGrPwYmRTdQXP30Mlg_l2_QpnT8_zqb381SRAuNUFTqHqKoILzJjpOE1NpmmdSaJ0VVB6ppyRSnLqrzmlCMjK8hlwYxirELKkDG4HvZugt92OrZi5bvg-pMC46zo_0WQ99TNQKngYwzaiE2waxl2AkGx9yP2fsTBTw-jAf6yjd79Q4rF4nX5m7kaMqvY-vCXwSxnMOeUfAPx_HJt</recordid><startdate>20190801</startdate><enddate>20190801</enddate><creator>de Geus, Roosmarijn A.</creator><general>University of Texas Press</general><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7U4</scope><scope>7UB</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>BHHNA</scope><scope>DWI</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>WZK</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3053-2123</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20190801</creationdate><title>When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict</title><author>de Geus, Roosmarijn A.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3922-c9e701bb3895ffaf8d2f5e4d5a3feb93dd48c4465b7d8481fab08a96fc66b1cf3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Bias</topic><topic>Conflict</topic><topic>Identities and Participation</topic><topic>Identity</topic><topic>National elections</topic><topic>Partisanship</topic><topic>Party identification</topic><topic>Political identity</topic><topic>Recessions</topic><topic>Voter behavior</topic><topic>Voter turnout</topic><topic>Voters</topic><topic>Voting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>de Geus, Roosmarijn A.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)</collection><collection>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Social science quarterly</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>de Geus, Roosmarijn A.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States</atitle><jtitle>Social science quarterly</jtitle><date>2019-08-01</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>100</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>1638</spage><epage>1650</epage><pages>1638-1650</pages><issn>0038-4941</issn><eissn>1540-6237</eissn><abstract>Objective. Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods. I use the American National Election Studies from 1980 to 2016 to conduct over time regression analyses of the identity and behavior of conflicted partisans. Results. The share of conflicted partisans is substantial, especially during economic recessions. Conflict is associated with weak levels of party identification, higher levels of nonvoting, and lower levels of in-party voting. Conclusion. A closer look at conflicted partisans suggests that partisan bias in economic judgments fluctuates over time and varies among party affiliates. The study further shows that conflict between party affiliation and economic judgments is associated with differential voting and turnout patterns among party identifiers.</abstract><cop>Oxford</cop><pub>University of Texas Press</pub><doi>10.1111/ssqu.12662</doi><tpages>13</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3053-2123</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Social science quarterly, 2019-08, Vol.100 (5), p.1638-1650 |
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| language | eng |
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| source | Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Business Source Complete; Sociological Abstracts |
| subjects | Bias Conflict Identities and Participation Identity National elections Partisanship Party identification Political identity Recessions Voter behavior Voter turnout Voters Voting |
| title | When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States |
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