Determinants of trading volume in futures markets

The determinants of volume in metal futures markets are examined empirically by first developing a theoretical model. Under the assumption that the trading agents can be categorized into 2 groups, speculators and hedgers, it is shown that volume can be represented as a function of inter- and intrada...

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Veröffentlicht in:The journal of futures markets 1987-06, Vol.7 (3), p.233-244
Hauptverfasser: Martell, Terrence F., Wolf, Avner S.
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container_title The journal of futures markets
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creator Martell, Terrence F.
Wolf, Avner S.
description The determinants of volume in metal futures markets are examined empirically by first developing a theoretical model. Under the assumption that the trading agents can be categorized into 2 groups, speculators and hedgers, it is shown that volume can be represented as a function of inter- and intraday price volatilities and an information set. Using data that cover the period January 1, 1976-December 1, 1982, the model is employed to test daily and monthly relationships between the volume of trade and the various empirical variables. The results show that, in both the daily and the monthly regression equations, the most important variables are the volatility measures, with interest rates, open interest, and inflation also recording expected results. The basic conclusion is that volume in general is a function of more than one variable.
doi_str_mv 10.1002/fut.3990070302
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language eng
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source Business Source Complete; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Commodities
Equilibrium
Futures market
Hedging
Metals
Prices
Regression analysis
Studies
Trading
Variables
Volatility
Volume
title Determinants of trading volume in futures markets
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