THE DISAPPEARANCE THAT WASN'T? "RANDOM VARIATION" IN THE NUMBER OF WOMEN SUPREME COURT CLERKS

In the world of American law, a Supreme Court clerkship is a position desired by many but attained by few. In the summer of 2006, news reports revealed that only seven out of the 37 clerks hired—a mere 19 percent—were women. This outcome represented a dramatic 50 percent drop from preceding years. Y...

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Veröffentlicht in:Jurimetrics (Chicago, Ill.) Ill.), 2008-06, Vol.48 (4), p.457-463
Hauptverfasser: Kaye, D.H., Gastwirth, Joseph L.
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description In the world of American law, a Supreme Court clerkship is a position desired by many but attained by few. In the summer of 2006, news reports revealed that only seven out of the 37 clerks hired—a mere 19 percent—were women. This outcome represented a dramatic 50 percent drop from preceding years. Yet, two Justices portrayed the change as the result of "random variation," a claim that struck many observers at the time as incredible. This essay applies standard statistical reasoning to analyze what the dip in 2006 might indicate. We show that the year's decline in women, considered as one point in a time series, was not so improbable after all.
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source HeinOnline Law Journal Library; Jstor Complete Legacy
subjects Clerks of court
Clinical trials
Courts of law
Legislation
Men
P values
Probabilities
Randomness
Reasoning
REFLECTIONS
Sample size
Sex discrimination against women
Standard deviation
Statistical significance
Statistical tests
Statistics
Supreme Court decisions
Supreme Court justices
Women attorneys
title THE DISAPPEARANCE THAT WASN'T? "RANDOM VARIATION" IN THE NUMBER OF WOMEN SUPREME COURT CLERKS
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