Local Economic Voting and the Agricultural Boom in Argentina, 2007–2015

This article investigates the effect of local economic conditions on voting behavior by focusing on the export-oriented agricultural areas of Argentina during the commodities boom. It assesses the marginal effect of export wealth on electoral outcomes by studying the impact of soybean production, th...

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Veröffentlicht in:Latin American politics and society 2018-10, Vol.60 (3), p.27-53
Hauptverfasser: Mangonnet, Jorge, Murillo, María Victoria, Rubio, Julia María
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creator Mangonnet, Jorge
Murillo, María Victoria
Rubio, Julia María
description This article investigates the effect of local economic conditions on voting behavior by focusing on the export-oriented agricultural areas of Argentina during the commodities boom. It assesses the marginal effect of export wealth on electoral outcomes by studying the impact of soybean production, the main Argentine export product during this period. The combination of rising agricultural prices and a salient national tax on exports allows us to evaluate how wealth and tax policy shape local electoral behavior. This study relies on a spatial econometric analysis of the vote across Argentine departments for the 2007–15 period, along with qualitative evidence from interviews and a descriptive analysis of government appointments.
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source PAIS Index; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Political Science Complete; Cambridge University Press Journals Complete
subjects Agriculture
Commodities
Econometrics
Economic conditions
Economic models
Election results
Export taxes
Exports
International trade
Lagrange multiplier
Local elections
Political appointments
Politics
Presidential elections
Prices
Primaries & caucuses
Soybeans
Tariffs
Taxation
Variables
Voter behavior
Voters
Voting
Wealth
title Local Economic Voting and the Agricultural Boom in Argentina, 2007–2015
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