Sustainability of the Slovenian Pension System: An Analysis with an Overlapping-Generations General Equilibrium Model

This paper uses a dynamic overlapping-generations (OLG) general equilibrium model to analyze welfare effects in Slovenia, the macroeconomic effects of the Slovenian pension reform, and the effects of the pension fund deficit on the sustainability of Slovenian public finances. Although young and new...

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Veröffentlicht in:Eastern European economics 2006-07, Vol.44 (4), p.60-81
Hauptverfasser: Verbič, Miroslav, Majcen, Boris, Van Nieuwkoop, Renger
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container_title Eastern European economics
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creator Verbič, Miroslav
Majcen, Boris
Van Nieuwkoop, Renger
description This paper uses a dynamic overlapping-generations (OLG) general equilibrium model to analyze welfare effects in Slovenia, the macroeconomic effects of the Slovenian pension reform, and the effects of the pension fund deficit on the sustainability of Slovenian public finances. Although young and new generations will lose from the pension reform, even complete implementation of reforms might not sufficiently compensate for unfavorable demographic developments. The level of expected deficit for the pay-as-you-go state pension fund seems to be most worrying. Financing the pension system with value-added tax revenues, as an extreme case, could result in more sustainable public finances, because gross domestic product and welfare levels ought to increase; however, this might be infea-sible to implement politically, given that generations of voters would have their welfare decreased. In addition, the present pension system is opaque and tremendously complicated and primarily, should be made more comprehensible to the public.
doi_str_mv 10.2753/EEE0012-8775440403
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source RePEc; PAIS Index; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing
subjects Demography
Dynamic programming
Economic growth rate
Economic models
Economic theory
Generations
Gross domestic product
Income taxes
Pension fund management
Pension funds
Pension plans
Reforms
Retirement age
Studies
Sustainable development
Sustainable economies
Value added taxes
title Sustainability of the Slovenian Pension System: An Analysis with an Overlapping-Generations General Equilibrium Model
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