The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from China

This study explores the empirical validity of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle for China in the presence of structural breaks. As such, we employ a recently proposed multiple-break cointegration test. Once the existence of the cointegration between domestic savings and investment is ensured by allowing...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of the Asia Pacific economy 2018-07, Vol.23 (3), p.374-392
Hauptverfasser: Yildirim, Dilem, Orman, Ethem Erdem
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description This study explores the empirical validity of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle for China in the presence of structural breaks. As such, we employ a recently proposed multiple-break cointegration test. Once the existence of the cointegration between domestic savings and investment is ensured by allowing for endogenous structural breaks, Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimation procedures are implemented to obtain reliable inferences. Empirical results reveal that the relationship between Chinese domestic savings and investment has undergone some major changes. More specifically, with the introduction of managed floating exchange rate regime, a substantial reduction is observed in the almost unitary saving retention coefficient of the fixed exchange rate period. Furthermore, the correlation has experienced a slight increase since 2009, which coincides with the worldwide protectionist policies adopted in the depth of the global financial crisis.
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subjects 2008-2009 global financial crises
capital mobility
China
Cointegration analysis
Economic crisis
Economic models
Endogenous
Estimation
exchange rate regimes
Feldstein-Horioka puzzle
Fixed exchange rates
Floating exchange rates
Foreign exchange rates
International finance
Investments
Savings
structural breaks
title The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from China
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