Estimating dominant runoff modes across the conterminous United States
Effective natural resource planning depends on understanding the prevalence of runoff generating processes. Within a specific area of interest, this demands reproducible, straightforward information that can complement available local data and can orient and guide stakeholders with diverse training...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Hydrological processes 2018-12, Vol.32 (26), p.3881-3890 |
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| container_title | Hydrological processes |
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| creator | Buchanan, Brian Auerbach, Daniel A. Knighton, James Evensen, Darrick Fuka, Daniel R. Easton, Zachary Wieczorek, Michael Archibald, Josephine A. McWilliams, Brandon Walter, Todd |
| description | Effective natural resource planning depends on understanding the prevalence of runoff generating processes. Within a specific area of interest, this demands reproducible, straightforward information that can complement available local data and can orient and guide stakeholders with diverse training and backgrounds. To address this demand within the contiguous United States (CONUS), we characterized and mapped the predominance of two primary runoff generating processes: infiltration‐excess and saturation‐excess runoff (IE vs. SE, respectively). Specifically, we constructed a gap‐filled grid of surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity using the Soil Survey Geographic and State Soil Geographic soils databases. We then compared surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity values with 1‐hr rainfall‐frequency estimates across a range of return intervals derived from CONUS‐scale random forest models. This assessment of the prevalence of IE versus SE runoff also incorporated a simple uncertainty analysis, as well as a case study of how the approach could be used to evaluate future alterations in runoff processes resulting from climate change. We found a low likelihood of IE runoff on undisturbed soils over much of CONUS for 1‐hr storms with return intervals |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1002/hyp.13296 |
| format | Article |
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Within a specific area of interest, this demands reproducible, straightforward information that can complement available local data and can orient and guide stakeholders with diverse training and backgrounds. To address this demand within the contiguous United States (CONUS), we characterized and mapped the predominance of two primary runoff generating processes: infiltration‐excess and saturation‐excess runoff (IE vs. SE, respectively). Specifically, we constructed a gap‐filled grid of surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity using the Soil Survey Geographic and State Soil Geographic soils databases. We then compared surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity values with 1‐hr rainfall‐frequency estimates across a range of return intervals derived from CONUS‐scale random forest models. This assessment of the prevalence of IE versus SE runoff also incorporated a simple uncertainty analysis, as well as a case study of how the approach could be used to evaluate future alterations in runoff processes resulting from climate change. We found a low likelihood of IE runoff on undisturbed soils over much of CONUS for 1‐hr storms with return intervals <5 years. Conversely, IE runoff is most likely in the Central United States (i.e., Texas, Louisiana, Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska, and Western South Dakota), and the relative predominance of runoff types is highly sensitive to the accuracy of the estimated soil properties. Leveraging publicly available data sets and reproducible workflows, our approach offers greater understanding of predominant runoff generating processes over a continental extent and expands the technical resources available to environmental planners, regulators, and modellers.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0885-6087</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1099-1085</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13296</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Chichester: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Case studies ; Climate change ; contiguous United States ; Frequency estimation ; Hydraulic conductivity ; Infiltration ; infiltration excess runoff ; Intervals ; Natural resources ; precipitation frequency analysis ; Rain ; Rainfall ; Rainfall frequency ; random forest ; Regulators ; Runoff ; runoff generation ; Saturation ; saturation excess runoff ; Soil ; Soil properties ; Storms ; Surveying ; Training ; Uncertainty analysis</subject><ispartof>Hydrological processes, 2018-12, Vol.32 (26), p.3881-3890</ispartof><rights>2018 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3326-14ea11475387d7af6634f511726e5fa238faa3e6326f2fab2218ed06ec98261e3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3326-14ea11475387d7af6634f511726e5fa238faa3e6326f2fab2218ed06ec98261e3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3655-5206 ; 0000-0003-0641-4450</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fhyp.13296$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fhyp.13296$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Buchanan, Brian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Auerbach, Daniel A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Knighton, James</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Evensen, Darrick</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fuka, Daniel R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Easton, Zachary</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wieczorek, Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Archibald, Josephine A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McWilliams, Brandon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Walter, Todd</creatorcontrib><title>Estimating dominant runoff modes across the conterminous United States</title><title>Hydrological processes</title><description>Effective natural resource planning depends on understanding the prevalence of runoff generating processes. Within a specific area of interest, this demands reproducible, straightforward information that can complement available local data and can orient and guide stakeholders with diverse training and backgrounds. To address this demand within the contiguous United States (CONUS), we characterized and mapped the predominance of two primary runoff generating processes: infiltration‐excess and saturation‐excess runoff (IE vs. SE, respectively). Specifically, we constructed a gap‐filled grid of surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity using the Soil Survey Geographic and State Soil Geographic soils databases. We then compared surficial saturated hydraulic conductivity values with 1‐hr rainfall‐frequency estimates across a range of return intervals derived from CONUS‐scale random forest models. This assessment of the prevalence of IE versus SE runoff also incorporated a simple uncertainty analysis, as well as a case study of how the approach could be used to evaluate future alterations in runoff processes resulting from climate change. We found a low likelihood of IE runoff on undisturbed soils over much of CONUS for 1‐hr storms with return intervals <5 years. Conversely, IE runoff is most likely in the Central United States (i.e., Texas, Louisiana, Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska, and Western South Dakota), and the relative predominance of runoff types is highly sensitive to the accuracy of the estimated soil properties. Leveraging publicly available data sets and reproducible workflows, our approach offers greater understanding of predominant runoff generating processes over a continental extent and expands the technical resources available to environmental planners, regulators, and modellers.</description><subject>Case studies</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>contiguous United States</subject><subject>Frequency estimation</subject><subject>Hydraulic conductivity</subject><subject>Infiltration</subject><subject>infiltration excess runoff</subject><subject>Intervals</subject><subject>Natural resources</subject><subject>precipitation frequency analysis</subject><subject>Rain</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Rainfall frequency</subject><subject>random forest</subject><subject>Regulators</subject><subject>Runoff</subject><subject>runoff generation</subject><subject>Saturation</subject><subject>saturation excess runoff</subject><subject>Soil</subject><subject>Soil properties</subject><subject>Storms</subject><subject>Surveying</subject><subject>Training</subject><subject>Uncertainty analysis</subject><issn>0885-6087</issn><issn>1099-1085</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp10D1PwzAQBmALgUQpDPwDS0wMac924jgjqlqKVAkk6MBkmeRMU7VxsR2h_ntMw8p0y3NfLyG3DCYMgE83x8OECV7JMzJiUFUZA1WckxEoVWQSVHlJrkLYAkAOCkZkMQ-x3ZvYdp-0cfu2M12kvu-ctXTvGgzU1N6FQOMGae26iD4h1we67tqIDX2NJmK4JhfW7ALe_NUxWS_mb7Nltnp-fJo9rLJaCC4zlqNhLC8LocqmNFZKkduCsZJLLKzhQlljBMpkLbfmg3OmsAGJdaW4ZCjG5G6Ye_Duq8cQ9db1vksrNWeFqFSec5nU_aBOp3u0-uDTk_6oGejfmHSKSZ9iSnY62O92h8f_oV6-vwwdP8vWaSA</recordid><startdate>20181230</startdate><enddate>20181230</enddate><creator>Buchanan, Brian</creator><creator>Auerbach, Daniel A.</creator><creator>Knighton, James</creator><creator>Evensen, Darrick</creator><creator>Fuka, Daniel R.</creator><creator>Easton, Zachary</creator><creator>Wieczorek, Michael</creator><creator>Archibald, Josephine A.</creator><creator>McWilliams, Brandon</creator><creator>Walter, Todd</creator><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>SOI</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3655-5206</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0641-4450</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20181230</creationdate><title>Estimating dominant runoff modes across the conterminous United States</title><author>Buchanan, Brian ; 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This assessment of the prevalence of IE versus SE runoff also incorporated a simple uncertainty analysis, as well as a case study of how the approach could be used to evaluate future alterations in runoff processes resulting from climate change. We found a low likelihood of IE runoff on undisturbed soils over much of CONUS for 1‐hr storms with return intervals <5 years. Conversely, IE runoff is most likely in the Central United States (i.e., Texas, Louisiana, Kansas, Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska, and Western South Dakota), and the relative predominance of runoff types is highly sensitive to the accuracy of the estimated soil properties. 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| ispartof | Hydrological processes, 2018-12, Vol.32 (26), p.3881-3890 |
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| source | Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete |
| subjects | Case studies Climate change contiguous United States Frequency estimation Hydraulic conductivity Infiltration infiltration excess runoff Intervals Natural resources precipitation frequency analysis Rain Rainfall Rainfall frequency random forest Regulators Runoff runoff generation Saturation saturation excess runoff Soil Soil properties Storms Surveying Training Uncertainty analysis |
| title | Estimating dominant runoff modes across the conterminous United States |
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