The Impact of Fiscal Stress on Local Government Fiscal Structures: An Event Study of the Orange County Bankruptcy
I analyze the effect of fiscal stress on local government fiscal structures. In 1994, sudden investment losses of nearly $1.7 billion led to Orange County's default on debt obligations and bankruptcy. This event study provides a descriptive analysis of one of the most extreme fiscal crises in r...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Public budgeting & finance 2017-06, Vol.37 (2), p.102-124 |
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description | I analyze the effect of fiscal stress on local government fiscal structures. In 1994, sudden investment losses of nearly $1.7 billion led to Orange County's default on debt obligations and bankruptcy. This event study provides a descriptive analysis of one of the most extreme fiscal crises in recent decades. I use a synthetic control methodology to measure the impact of the investment losses and find the investment losses resulted in Orange County total revenue falling by 12 percent, cash and securities by 66 percent, and total expenditure by 11 percent, while total debt increased by 17 percent. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/pbaf.12149 |
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I use a synthetic control methodology to measure the impact of the investment losses and find the investment losses resulted in Orange County total revenue falling by 12 percent, cash and securities by 66 percent, and total expenditure by 11 percent, while total debt increased by 17 percent.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0275-1100</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1540-5850</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/pbaf.12149</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Malden: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Bankruptcy ; Debt ; Fiscal policy ; Investments ; Local government ; Obligations ; Revenue ; Securities</subject><ispartof>Public budgeting & finance, 2017-06, Vol.37 (2), p.102-124</ispartof><rights>2017 Public Financial Publications, Inc.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3669-98653856561eb5a2e8bc23137770dc79326d30f298461818dd2ee9285edfe12c3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3669-98653856561eb5a2e8bc23137770dc79326d30f298461818dd2ee9285edfe12c3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fpbaf.12149$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fpbaf.12149$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27845,27903,27904,45553,45554</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>MacKay, Robert C.</creatorcontrib><title>The Impact of Fiscal Stress on Local Government Fiscal Structures: An Event Study of the Orange County Bankruptcy</title><title>Public budgeting & finance</title><description>I analyze the effect of fiscal stress on local government fiscal structures. 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I use a synthetic control methodology to measure the impact of the investment losses and find the investment losses resulted in Orange County total revenue falling by 12 percent, cash and securities by 66 percent, and total expenditure by 11 percent, while total debt increased by 17 percent.</description><subject>Bankruptcy</subject><subject>Debt</subject><subject>Fiscal policy</subject><subject>Investments</subject><subject>Local government</subject><subject>Obligations</subject><subject>Revenue</subject><subject>Securities</subject><issn>0275-1100</issn><issn>1540-5850</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2017</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7TQ</sourceid><sourceid>7UB</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1PAjEQhhujiYhe_AVNvJks9mPb7XoDAkhCggl4bkq3qyC0S9vF7L93Vzx4ci6TyTzzTPICcI_RALf1VG1UOcAEp_kF6GGWooQJhi5BD5GMJRgjdA1uQtghhFKesR44rj8MnB8qpSN0JZxug1Z7uIrehACdhQvXzTN3Mt4ejI1_iFrHusWe4dDCyanbrWJdNJ0mttKlV_bdwLGrbWzgSNlPX1dRN7fgqlT7YO5-ex-8TSfr8UuyWM7m4-Ei0ZTzPMkFZ1Qwzjg2G6aIERtNKKZZlqFCZzklvKCoJLlIORZYFAUxJieCmaI0mGjaBw9nb-XdsTYhyp2rvW1fStJGlXFMW10fPJ4p7V0I3pSy8tuD8o3ESHaRyi5S-RNpC-Mz_LXdm-YfUr6OhtPzzTdmJXe1</recordid><startdate>20170601</startdate><enddate>20170601</enddate><creator>MacKay, Robert C.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7TQ</scope><scope>7UB</scope><scope>DHY</scope><scope>DON</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20170601</creationdate><title>The Impact of Fiscal Stress on Local Government Fiscal Structures: An Event Study of the Orange County Bankruptcy</title><author>MacKay, Robert C.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3669-98653856561eb5a2e8bc23137770dc79326d30f298461818dd2ee9285edfe12c3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2017</creationdate><topic>Bankruptcy</topic><topic>Debt</topic><topic>Fiscal policy</topic><topic>Investments</topic><topic>Local government</topic><topic>Obligations</topic><topic>Revenue</topic><topic>Securities</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>MacKay, Robert C.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>PAIS Index</collection><collection>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</collection><collection>PAIS International</collection><collection>PAIS International (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Public budgeting & finance</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>MacKay, Robert C.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Impact of Fiscal Stress on Local Government Fiscal Structures: An Event Study of the Orange County Bankruptcy</atitle><jtitle>Public budgeting & finance</jtitle><date>2017-06-01</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>37</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>102</spage><epage>124</epage><pages>102-124</pages><issn>0275-1100</issn><eissn>1540-5850</eissn><abstract>I analyze the effect of fiscal stress on local government fiscal structures. In 1994, sudden investment losses of nearly $1.7 billion led to Orange County's default on debt obligations and bankruptcy. This event study provides a descriptive analysis of one of the most extreme fiscal crises in recent decades. I use a synthetic control methodology to measure the impact of the investment losses and find the investment losses resulted in Orange County total revenue falling by 12 percent, cash and securities by 66 percent, and total expenditure by 11 percent, while total debt increased by 17 percent.</abstract><cop>Malden</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/pbaf.12149</doi><tpages>23</tpages></addata></record> |
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source | Political Science Complete; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; PAIS Index; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Business Source Complete |
subjects | Bankruptcy Debt Fiscal policy Investments Local government Obligations Revenue Securities |
title | The Impact of Fiscal Stress on Local Government Fiscal Structures: An Event Study of the Orange County Bankruptcy |
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