Generating Coherent Ensemble Forecasts After Hydrological Postprocessing: Adaptations of ECC‐Based Methods

Hydrological ensemble forecasts are frequently miscalibrated, and need to be statistically postprocessed in order to account for the total predictive uncertainty. Very often, this step relies on parametric, univariate techniques that ignore the between‐basins and between‐lead times dependencies. Thi...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Water resources research 2018-08, Vol.54 (8), p.5741-5762
Hauptverfasser:	Bellier, Joseph, Zin, Isabella, Bontron, Guillaume
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Adaptation Basins Case studies Coherence Dependence Ensemble copula coupling Ensemble forecasting Evaluation Hydrologic data Hydrologic forecasting Hydrological ensemble forecasting Hydrology multivariate postprocessing Perturbation Stream discharge Stream flow Streamflow data
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