Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data

•ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reduce the quality gap between reanalysis and satellite data.•ERA5 bias is similar to that of satellite data for inland regions with few clouds.•COSMO-REA6 is comparable to ERA5 for North and Central Europe.•The absolute error of reanalyses is large due to a deficient cloud pred...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Solar energy 2018-04, Vol.164, p.339-354
Hauptverfasser: Urraca, Ruben, Huld, Thomas, Gracia-Amillo, Ana, Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier, Kaspar, Frank, Sanz-Garcia, Andres
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page 354
container_issue
container_start_page 339
container_title Solar energy
container_volume 164
creator Urraca, Ruben
Huld, Thomas
Gracia-Amillo, Ana
Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier
Kaspar, Frank
Sanz-Garcia, Andres
description •ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reduce the quality gap between reanalysis and satellite data.•ERA5 bias is similar to that of satellite data for inland regions with few clouds.•COSMO-REA6 is comparable to ERA5 for North and Central Europe.•The absolute error of reanalyses is large due to a deficient cloud prediction.•COSMO-REA6 underestimates due to the overestimation of aerosols. This study examines the progress made by two new reanalyses in the estimation of surface irradiance: ERA5, the new global reanalysis from the ECMWF, and COSMO-REA6, the regional reanalysis from the DWD for Europe. Daily global horizontal irradiance data were evaluated with 41 BSRN stations worldwide, 294 stations in Europe, and two satellite-derived products (NSRDB and SARAH). ERA5 achieves a moderate positive bias worldwide and in Europe of +4.05 W/m2 and +4.54 W/m2 respectively, which entails a reduction in the average bias ranging from 50% to 75% compared to ERA-Interim and MERRA-2. This makes ERA5 comparable with satellite-derived products in terms of the mean bias in most inland stations, but ERA5 results degrade in coastal areas and mountains. The bias of ERA5 varies with the cloudiness, overestimating under cloudy conditions and slightly underestimating under clear-skies, which suggests a poor prediction of cloud patterns and leads to larger absolute errors than that of satellite-based products. In Europe, the regional COSMO-REA6 underestimates in most stations (MBE = −5.29 W/m2) showing the largest deviations under clear-sky conditions, which is most likely caused by the aerosol climatology used. Above 45°N the magnitude of the bias and absolute error of COSMO-REA6 are similar to ERA5 while it outperforms ERA5 in the coastal areas due to its high-resolution grid (6.2 km). We conclude that ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 have reduced the gap between reanalysis and satellite-based data, but further development is required in the prediction of clouds while the spatial grid of ERA5 (31 km) remains inadequate for places with high variability of surface irradiance (coasts and mountains). Satellite-based data should be still used when available, but having in mind their limitations, ERA5 is a valid alternative for situations in which satellite-based data are missing (polar regions and gaps in times series) while COSMO-REA6 complements ERA5 in Central and Northern Europe mitigating the limitations of ERA5 in coastal areas.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.solener.2018.02.059
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2078151483</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><els_id>S0038092X18301920</els_id><sourcerecordid>2078151483</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c489t-1648e1a818db35c59ae3edc5a023fa722a509a2ccd634bd0b4008e177d2a9fc93</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFkF1LwzAUhoMoOD9-ghDwuvUkbdb0SsaYH6AMpoJ34TRJZ0bXaNIKeuFvN2Pee3UC53kPeR9CLhjkDNj0apNH39nehpwDkznwHER9QCasrFjGuKgOyQSgkBnU_PWYnMS4AWAVk9WE_Cw-sRtxcL6nvqXrzjfY0Tcf3Lfvh_R0IaBx2GtLbRzcFgcbaRv8li5WM0GxN3S-fHpcZqvFbEqDxR67r5iYMbp-TdfBjwnZYTFFu84NNmswWkMNDnhGjlrsoj3_m6fk5WbxPL_LHpa39_PZQ6ZLWQ8Zm5bSMpRMmqYQWtRoC2u0QOBFixXnKKBGrrWZFmVjoCkBUqCqDMe61XVxSi73d9-D_xhTEbXxY0hfjYpDJZlgpSwSJfaUDj7GYFv1HlLj8KUYqJ1qtVF_qtVOtQKukuqUu97nbKrw6dI2ameTMuOC1YMy3v1z4RcxlIuQ</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2078151483</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data</title><source>Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals</source><creator>Urraca, Ruben ; Huld, Thomas ; Gracia-Amillo, Ana ; Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier ; Kaspar, Frank ; Sanz-Garcia, Andres</creator><creatorcontrib>Urraca, Ruben ; Huld, Thomas ; Gracia-Amillo, Ana ; Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier ; Kaspar, Frank ; Sanz-Garcia, Andres</creatorcontrib><description>•ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reduce the quality gap between reanalysis and satellite data.•ERA5 bias is similar to that of satellite data for inland regions with few clouds.•COSMO-REA6 is comparable to ERA5 for North and Central Europe.•The absolute error of reanalyses is large due to a deficient cloud prediction.•COSMO-REA6 underestimates due to the overestimation of aerosols. This study examines the progress made by two new reanalyses in the estimation of surface irradiance: ERA5, the new global reanalysis from the ECMWF, and COSMO-REA6, the regional reanalysis from the DWD for Europe. Daily global horizontal irradiance data were evaluated with 41 BSRN stations worldwide, 294 stations in Europe, and two satellite-derived products (NSRDB and SARAH). ERA5 achieves a moderate positive bias worldwide and in Europe of +4.05 W/m2 and +4.54 W/m2 respectively, which entails a reduction in the average bias ranging from 50% to 75% compared to ERA-Interim and MERRA-2. This makes ERA5 comparable with satellite-derived products in terms of the mean bias in most inland stations, but ERA5 results degrade in coastal areas and mountains. The bias of ERA5 varies with the cloudiness, overestimating under cloudy conditions and slightly underestimating under clear-skies, which suggests a poor prediction of cloud patterns and leads to larger absolute errors than that of satellite-based products. In Europe, the regional COSMO-REA6 underestimates in most stations (MBE = −5.29 W/m2) showing the largest deviations under clear-sky conditions, which is most likely caused by the aerosol climatology used. Above 45°N the magnitude of the bias and absolute error of COSMO-REA6 are similar to ERA5 while it outperforms ERA5 in the coastal areas due to its high-resolution grid (6.2 km). We conclude that ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 have reduced the gap between reanalysis and satellite-based data, but further development is required in the prediction of clouds while the spatial grid of ERA5 (31 km) remains inadequate for places with high variability of surface irradiance (coasts and mountains). Satellite-based data should be still used when available, but having in mind their limitations, ERA5 is a valid alternative for situations in which satellite-based data are missing (polar regions and gaps in times series) while COSMO-REA6 complements ERA5 in Central and Northern Europe mitigating the limitations of ERA5 in coastal areas.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0038-092X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1471-1257</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.solener.2018.02.059</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Atmospheric models ; Bias ; Climatology ; Coastal zone ; Data analysis ; Global horizontal irradiance ; Irradiance ; Mountains ; Polar environments ; Radiation ; Reanalysis products ; Satellite-based products ; Satellites ; Solar energy ; Solar radiation</subject><ispartof>Solar energy, 2018-04, Vol.164, p.339-354</ispartof><rights>2018 The Author(s)</rights><rights>Copyright Pergamon Press Inc. Apr 2018</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c489t-1648e1a818db35c59ae3edc5a023fa722a509a2ccd634bd0b4008e177d2a9fc93</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c489t-1648e1a818db35c59ae3edc5a023fa722a509a2ccd634bd0b4008e177d2a9fc93</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3063-7374 ; 0000-0003-0413-4965 ; 0000-0001-8819-8450</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038092X18301920$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3536,27903,27904,65309</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Urraca, Ruben</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huld, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gracia-Amillo, Ana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kaspar, Frank</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sanz-Garcia, Andres</creatorcontrib><title>Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data</title><title>Solar energy</title><description>•ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reduce the quality gap between reanalysis and satellite data.•ERA5 bias is similar to that of satellite data for inland regions with few clouds.•COSMO-REA6 is comparable to ERA5 for North and Central Europe.•The absolute error of reanalyses is large due to a deficient cloud prediction.•COSMO-REA6 underestimates due to the overestimation of aerosols. This study examines the progress made by two new reanalyses in the estimation of surface irradiance: ERA5, the new global reanalysis from the ECMWF, and COSMO-REA6, the regional reanalysis from the DWD for Europe. Daily global horizontal irradiance data were evaluated with 41 BSRN stations worldwide, 294 stations in Europe, and two satellite-derived products (NSRDB and SARAH). ERA5 achieves a moderate positive bias worldwide and in Europe of +4.05 W/m2 and +4.54 W/m2 respectively, which entails a reduction in the average bias ranging from 50% to 75% compared to ERA-Interim and MERRA-2. This makes ERA5 comparable with satellite-derived products in terms of the mean bias in most inland stations, but ERA5 results degrade in coastal areas and mountains. The bias of ERA5 varies with the cloudiness, overestimating under cloudy conditions and slightly underestimating under clear-skies, which suggests a poor prediction of cloud patterns and leads to larger absolute errors than that of satellite-based products. In Europe, the regional COSMO-REA6 underestimates in most stations (MBE = −5.29 W/m2) showing the largest deviations under clear-sky conditions, which is most likely caused by the aerosol climatology used. Above 45°N the magnitude of the bias and absolute error of COSMO-REA6 are similar to ERA5 while it outperforms ERA5 in the coastal areas due to its high-resolution grid (6.2 km). We conclude that ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 have reduced the gap between reanalysis and satellite-based data, but further development is required in the prediction of clouds while the spatial grid of ERA5 (31 km) remains inadequate for places with high variability of surface irradiance (coasts and mountains). Satellite-based data should be still used when available, but having in mind their limitations, ERA5 is a valid alternative for situations in which satellite-based data are missing (polar regions and gaps in times series) while COSMO-REA6 complements ERA5 in Central and Northern Europe mitigating the limitations of ERA5 in coastal areas.</description><subject>Atmospheric models</subject><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Climatology</subject><subject>Coastal zone</subject><subject>Data analysis</subject><subject>Global horizontal irradiance</subject><subject>Irradiance</subject><subject>Mountains</subject><subject>Polar environments</subject><subject>Radiation</subject><subject>Reanalysis products</subject><subject>Satellite-based products</subject><subject>Satellites</subject><subject>Solar energy</subject><subject>Solar radiation</subject><issn>0038-092X</issn><issn>1471-1257</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqFkF1LwzAUhoMoOD9-ghDwuvUkbdb0SsaYH6AMpoJ34TRJZ0bXaNIKeuFvN2Pee3UC53kPeR9CLhjkDNj0apNH39nehpwDkznwHER9QCasrFjGuKgOyQSgkBnU_PWYnMS4AWAVk9WE_Cw-sRtxcL6nvqXrzjfY0Tcf3Lfvh_R0IaBx2GtLbRzcFgcbaRv8li5WM0GxN3S-fHpcZqvFbEqDxR67r5iYMbp-TdfBjwnZYTFFu84NNmswWkMNDnhGjlrsoj3_m6fk5WbxPL_LHpa39_PZQ6ZLWQ8Zm5bSMpRMmqYQWtRoC2u0QOBFixXnKKBGrrWZFmVjoCkBUqCqDMe61XVxSi73d9-D_xhTEbXxY0hfjYpDJZlgpSwSJfaUDj7GYFv1HlLj8KUYqJ1qtVF_qtVOtQKukuqUu97nbKrw6dI2ameTMuOC1YMy3v1z4RcxlIuQ</recordid><startdate>20180401</startdate><enddate>20180401</enddate><creator>Urraca, Ruben</creator><creator>Huld, Thomas</creator><creator>Gracia-Amillo, Ana</creator><creator>Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier</creator><creator>Kaspar, Frank</creator><creator>Sanz-Garcia, Andres</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Pergamon Press Inc</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SP</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L7M</scope><scope>SOI</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3063-7374</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0413-4965</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8819-8450</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20180401</creationdate><title>Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data</title><author>Urraca, Ruben ; Huld, Thomas ; Gracia-Amillo, Ana ; Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier ; Kaspar, Frank ; Sanz-Garcia, Andres</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c489t-1648e1a818db35c59ae3edc5a023fa722a509a2ccd634bd0b4008e177d2a9fc93</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Atmospheric models</topic><topic>Bias</topic><topic>Climatology</topic><topic>Coastal zone</topic><topic>Data analysis</topic><topic>Global horizontal irradiance</topic><topic>Irradiance</topic><topic>Mountains</topic><topic>Polar environments</topic><topic>Radiation</topic><topic>Reanalysis products</topic><topic>Satellite-based products</topic><topic>Satellites</topic><topic>Solar energy</topic><topic>Solar radiation</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Urraca, Ruben</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huld, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gracia-Amillo, Ana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kaspar, Frank</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sanz-Garcia, Andres</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Electronics &amp; Communications Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Solar energy</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Urraca, Ruben</au><au>Huld, Thomas</au><au>Gracia-Amillo, Ana</au><au>Martinez-de-Pison, Francisco Javier</au><au>Kaspar, Frank</au><au>Sanz-Garcia, Andres</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data</atitle><jtitle>Solar energy</jtitle><date>2018-04-01</date><risdate>2018</risdate><volume>164</volume><spage>339</spage><epage>354</epage><pages>339-354</pages><issn>0038-092X</issn><eissn>1471-1257</eissn><abstract>•ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reduce the quality gap between reanalysis and satellite data.•ERA5 bias is similar to that of satellite data for inland regions with few clouds.•COSMO-REA6 is comparable to ERA5 for North and Central Europe.•The absolute error of reanalyses is large due to a deficient cloud prediction.•COSMO-REA6 underestimates due to the overestimation of aerosols. This study examines the progress made by two new reanalyses in the estimation of surface irradiance: ERA5, the new global reanalysis from the ECMWF, and COSMO-REA6, the regional reanalysis from the DWD for Europe. Daily global horizontal irradiance data were evaluated with 41 BSRN stations worldwide, 294 stations in Europe, and two satellite-derived products (NSRDB and SARAH). ERA5 achieves a moderate positive bias worldwide and in Europe of +4.05 W/m2 and +4.54 W/m2 respectively, which entails a reduction in the average bias ranging from 50% to 75% compared to ERA-Interim and MERRA-2. This makes ERA5 comparable with satellite-derived products in terms of the mean bias in most inland stations, but ERA5 results degrade in coastal areas and mountains. The bias of ERA5 varies with the cloudiness, overestimating under cloudy conditions and slightly underestimating under clear-skies, which suggests a poor prediction of cloud patterns and leads to larger absolute errors than that of satellite-based products. In Europe, the regional COSMO-REA6 underestimates in most stations (MBE = −5.29 W/m2) showing the largest deviations under clear-sky conditions, which is most likely caused by the aerosol climatology used. Above 45°N the magnitude of the bias and absolute error of COSMO-REA6 are similar to ERA5 while it outperforms ERA5 in the coastal areas due to its high-resolution grid (6.2 km). We conclude that ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 have reduced the gap between reanalysis and satellite-based data, but further development is required in the prediction of clouds while the spatial grid of ERA5 (31 km) remains inadequate for places with high variability of surface irradiance (coasts and mountains). Satellite-based data should be still used when available, but having in mind their limitations, ERA5 is a valid alternative for situations in which satellite-based data are missing (polar regions and gaps in times series) while COSMO-REA6 complements ERA5 in Central and Northern Europe mitigating the limitations of ERA5 in coastal areas.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.solener.2018.02.059</doi><tpages>16</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3063-7374</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0413-4965</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8819-8450</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 0038-092X
ispartof Solar energy, 2018-04, Vol.164, p.339-354
issn 0038-092X
1471-1257
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_journals_2078151483
source Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals
subjects Atmospheric models
Bias
Climatology
Coastal zone
Data analysis
Global horizontal irradiance
Irradiance
Mountains
Polar environments
Radiation
Reanalysis products
Satellite-based products
Satellites
Solar energy
Solar radiation
title Evaluation of global horizontal irradiance estimates from ERA5 and COSMO-REA6 reanalyses using ground and satellite-based data
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-26T23%3A40%3A01IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Evaluation%20of%20global%20horizontal%20irradiance%20estimates%20from%20ERA5%20and%20COSMO-REA6%20reanalyses%20using%20ground%20and%20satellite-based%20data&rft.jtitle=Solar%20energy&rft.au=Urraca,%20Ruben&rft.date=2018-04-01&rft.volume=164&rft.spage=339&rft.epage=354&rft.pages=339-354&rft.issn=0038-092X&rft.eissn=1471-1257&rft_id=info:doi/10.1016/j.solener.2018.02.059&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2078151483%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2078151483&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_els_id=S0038092X18301920&rfr_iscdi=true