Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts

Verification of probability forecasts traditionally consists largely of the computation of a few overall performance measures. This paper outlines a diagnostic approach to the evaluation of probability forecasts. The basic elements of this approach are the joint distribution of forecasts and observa...

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Veröffentlicht in:	International journal of forecasting 1992-03, Vol.7 (4), p.435-455
Hauptverfasser:	Murphy, Allan H., Winkler, Robert L.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Forecast verification, Diagnostic verification of forecasts, Aspects of forecast quality, Probability forecasts, Weather forecasts Forecasting techniques Mathematical models Probability Rain Verification Weather conditions Weather forecasting
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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