The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters

An experiment examined the effects of outcome feedback and three types of performance feedback-calibration feedback, resolution feedback, and covariance feedback - on various aspects of the performance of probability forecasters. Subjects made 55 forecasts in each of four sessions, receiving feedbac...

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Veröffentlicht in:	International journal of forecasting 1992-12, Vol.8 (4), p.559-573
Hauptverfasser:	Benson, P.George, Önkal, Dilek
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Calibration Covariance decomposition Feedback Forecasting Judgmental forecasting Mathematical models Outcome feedback Performance feedback Performance standards Probability Probability forecasting Resolution Scoring rules Statistical analysis Studies Subjective probability
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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