Virtual Determinacy in Overlapping Generations Models

We reappraise the significance and robustness of indeterminacy in overlapping-generations models. In any of Gale's example economies with an equilibrium that is not locally unique, for instance, perturbing the economy by judiciously splitting each of Gale's goods into two close substitutes...

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Veröffentlicht in:Econometrica 2009-01, Vol.77 (1), p.235-247
1. Verfasser: Burke, Jonathan L.
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description We reappraise the significance and robustness of indeterminacy in overlapping-generations models. In any of Gale's example economies with an equilibrium that is not locally unique, for instance, perturbing the economy by judiciously splitting each of Gale's goods into two close substitutes restricts that indeterminacy to each period's allocation of consumption between those substitutes. In particular, prices, interest rates, the commodity value of nominal savings (including money), and utility levels become determinate. Any indeterminacy of equilibrium consumption in the perturbed economy is thus insignificant to consumers, and some forecasting and comparative-statics policy exercises become possible.
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; JSTOR Mathematics & Statistics; Jstor Complete Legacy
subjects Applications
Bartering
comparative statics
Consumer economics
Consumer equilibrium
Consumer prices
Consumption
Determinacy
Economic forecasting
Economic models
Economic theory
Endowments
Exact sciences and technology
forecasting
Indeterminacy
Inference from stochastic processes
time series analysis
Insurance, economics, finance
Local economy
Mathematics
overlapping generations
Probability and statistics
Probability theory and stochastic processes
robustness
Sciences and techniques of general use
Special processes (renewal theory, markov renewal processes, semi-markov processes, statistical mechanics type models, applications)
Statistics
Steady state economies
Studies
title Virtual Determinacy in Overlapping Generations Models
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