The economic impact of the Trans‐Pacific Partnership: What have we learned from CGE simulation?

The Trans‐Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, if were it to be successfully implemented, would be one of the largest regional agreements ever seen. It is the only exemplar to date of a “mega‐regional” FTA for which negotiations have been successfully concluded, and a landmark in evolving appr...

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Veröffentlicht in:World economy 2018-03, Vol.41 (3), p.831-865
Hauptverfasser: Gilbert, John, Furusawa, Taiji, Scollay, Robert
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Furusawa, Taiji
Scollay, Robert
description The Trans‐Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, if were it to be successfully implemented, would be one of the largest regional agreements ever seen. It is the only exemplar to date of a “mega‐regional” FTA for which negotiations have been successfully concluded, and a landmark in evolving approaches to Asia–Pacific integration. As such, quantitative assessments of its potential effects are of considerable interest. One of the most widely used techniques for evaluating the economic impact of regional trading agreements is numerical simulation with computable general equilibrium, or CGE, models. There have now been a large number of papers written that use CGE methods to analyse the potential economic impact of the TPP agreement under varying theoretical and policy assumptions. In this paper we provide a synthesis of the key results that have emerged from the literature, and introduce some new simulation results of our own to anchor the discussion.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/twec.12573
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; PAIS Index; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Business Source Complete; Political Science Complete
subjects Agreements
Asia–Pacific
CGE
Economic analysis
Economic impact
International trade
Partnerships
Quantitative analysis
regional trade
Simulation
Trade agreements
Trading
Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement
Trans‐Pacific Partnership
title The economic impact of the Trans‐Pacific Partnership: What have we learned from CGE simulation?
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