Update to the Global Climate Data package: analysis of empirical bias correction methods in the context of producing very high resolution climate projections
ABSTRACT While global climate models (GCMs) are useful for simulating climatic responses to perturbations in the Earth's climate system, there are many instances where higher spatial resolution information is necessary. In all instances, interpretation of interpolated or downscaled GCMs must be...
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Veröffentlicht in: | International journal of climatology 2018-02, Vol.38 (2), p.825-840 |
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While global climate models (GCMs) are useful for simulating climatic responses to perturbations in the Earth's climate system, there are many instances where higher spatial resolution information is necessary. In all instances, interpretation of interpolated or downscaled GCMs must be done cautiously because each method has its own set of assumptions and potential disadvantages. Here, we present an update to the Global Climate Data (GCD) package, which enables the package to efficiently bias correct and interpolate precipitation and air temperature output from GCM simulations to very high spatial resolutions using the delta change method. While the delta change method is relatively simple, it has previously been shown to enhance the physical representation of interpolated climate time‐series compared to directly interpolating the gridded climate time‐series to a higher spatial resolution. The bias correction methods programmed into the GCD package are univariate empirical quantile mapping (QM) and bivariate empirical joint bias correction (JBC). The skill of QM and JBC for improving GCM simulations processed with the delta change method is evaluated through comparing the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the interpolated GCM simulations to the CDFs of Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) station observations for three test regions: Oregon (in the USA), the Alps (spanning several countries in Europe), and the Ganges Delta (in India and Bangladesh). We also assess the representation of precipitation and mean temperature joint probability distributions relative to those present in GHCN station observations. Overall, GCM simulations that are bias corrected with QM prior to being input to the delta change method perform best under our analysis.
The Global Climate Data (GCD) package, available at www.GlobalClimateData.org, is an open‐source model written in Matlab to create very high resolution monthly climate surfaces for any global land area. The GCD package is able to read a wide range of input data formats and synthesizes climate surfaces using the delta change method. This update to the GCD package enables climate models to be bias corrected relative to a reference gridded time‐series before being. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1002/joc.5213 |
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While global climate models (GCMs) are useful for simulating climatic responses to perturbations in the Earth's climate system, there are many instances where higher spatial resolution information is necessary. In all instances, interpretation of interpolated or downscaled GCMs must be done cautiously because each method has its own set of assumptions and potential disadvantages. Here, we present an update to the Global Climate Data (GCD) package, which enables the package to efficiently bias correct and interpolate precipitation and air temperature output from GCM simulations to very high spatial resolutions using the delta change method. While the delta change method is relatively simple, it has previously been shown to enhance the physical representation of interpolated climate time‐series compared to directly interpolating the gridded climate time‐series to a higher spatial resolution. The bias correction methods programmed into the GCD package are univariate empirical quantile mapping (QM) and bivariate empirical joint bias correction (JBC). The skill of QM and JBC for improving GCM simulations processed with the delta change method is evaluated through comparing the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the interpolated GCM simulations to the CDFs of Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) station observations for three test regions: Oregon (in the USA), the Alps (spanning several countries in Europe), and the Ganges Delta (in India and Bangladesh). We also assess the representation of precipitation and mean temperature joint probability distributions relative to those present in GHCN station observations. Overall, GCM simulations that are bias corrected with QM prior to being input to the delta change method perform best under our analysis.
The Global Climate Data (GCD) package, available at www.GlobalClimateData.org, is an open‐source model written in Matlab to create very high resolution monthly climate surfaces for any global land area. The GCD package is able to read a wide range of input data formats and synthesizes climate surfaces using the delta change method. This update to the GCD package enables climate models to be bias corrected relative to a reference gridded time‐series before being.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0899-8418</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1097-0088</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/joc.5213</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd</publisher><subject>Air temperature ; Bias ; bias correction ; Bivariate analysis ; change factors ; Climate ; Climate models ; Climate system ; Climatic analysis ; Climatic data ; Climatology ; Computer simulation ; Data processing ; delta change method ; Distribution functions ; Earth ; Empirical analysis ; Global climate ; Global climate models ; gridded climate ; Mean temperatures ; Meteorological satellites ; Methods ; monthly time‐series ; Precipitation ; Probability theory ; Representations ; Resolution ; Simulation ; Spatial resolution ; temperature ; Time series</subject><ispartof>International journal of climatology, 2018-02, Vol.38 (2), p.825-840</ispartof><rights>2017 Royal Meteorological Society</rights><rights>2018 Royal Meteorological Society</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3593-d8baf316742f06b5470ad16f1e4370679b19fd3d067b000c3f2fe0e3ffaa8e083</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3593-d8baf316742f06b5470ad16f1e4370679b19fd3d067b000c3f2fe0e3ffaa8e083</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-4071-4417</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fjoc.5213$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fjoc.5213$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>315,781,785,1418,27929,27930,45579,45580</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Mosier, Thomas M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hill, David F.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sharp, Kendra V.</creatorcontrib><title>Update to the Global Climate Data package: analysis of empirical bias correction methods in the context of producing very high resolution climate projections</title><title>International journal of climatology</title><description>ABSTRACT
While global climate models (GCMs) are useful for simulating climatic responses to perturbations in the Earth's climate system, there are many instances where higher spatial resolution information is necessary. In all instances, interpretation of interpolated or downscaled GCMs must be done cautiously because each method has its own set of assumptions and potential disadvantages. Here, we present an update to the Global Climate Data (GCD) package, which enables the package to efficiently bias correct and interpolate precipitation and air temperature output from GCM simulations to very high spatial resolutions using the delta change method. While the delta change method is relatively simple, it has previously been shown to enhance the physical representation of interpolated climate time‐series compared to directly interpolating the gridded climate time‐series to a higher spatial resolution. The bias correction methods programmed into the GCD package are univariate empirical quantile mapping (QM) and bivariate empirical joint bias correction (JBC). The skill of QM and JBC for improving GCM simulations processed with the delta change method is evaluated through comparing the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the interpolated GCM simulations to the CDFs of Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) station observations for three test regions: Oregon (in the USA), the Alps (spanning several countries in Europe), and the Ganges Delta (in India and Bangladesh). We also assess the representation of precipitation and mean temperature joint probability distributions relative to those present in GHCN station observations. Overall, GCM simulations that are bias corrected with QM prior to being input to the delta change method perform best under our analysis.
The Global Climate Data (GCD) package, available at www.GlobalClimateData.org, is an open‐source model written in Matlab to create very high resolution monthly climate surfaces for any global land area. The GCD package is able to read a wide range of input data formats and synthesizes climate surfaces using the delta change method. This update to the GCD package enables climate models to be bias corrected relative to a reference gridded time‐series before being.</description><subject>Air temperature</subject><subject>Bias</subject><subject>bias correction</subject><subject>Bivariate analysis</subject><subject>change factors</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate models</subject><subject>Climate system</subject><subject>Climatic analysis</subject><subject>Climatic data</subject><subject>Climatology</subject><subject>Computer simulation</subject><subject>Data processing</subject><subject>delta change method</subject><subject>Distribution functions</subject><subject>Earth</subject><subject>Empirical analysis</subject><subject>Global climate</subject><subject>Global climate models</subject><subject>gridded climate</subject><subject>Mean temperatures</subject><subject>Meteorological satellites</subject><subject>Methods</subject><subject>monthly time‐series</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Probability theory</subject><subject>Representations</subject><subject>Resolution</subject><subject>Simulation</subject><subject>Spatial resolution</subject><subject>temperature</subject><subject>Time series</subject><issn>0899-8418</issn><issn>1097-0088</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kE1OwzAQhS0EEqUgcQRLbNik2HGa2OxQgQKq1A1dR44zbl3SONgukMNwV9yfLasZjb73Zt4gdE3JiBKS3q2tGo1Tyk7QgBJRJIRwfooGhAuR8Izyc3Th_ZoQIgTNB-h30dUyAA4WhxXgaWMr2eBJYza76aMMEndSfcgl3GPZyqb3xmOrMWw644yKbGWkx8o6ByoY2-INhJWtPTbt3lHZNsBP2Gk6Z-utMu0Sf4Hr8cosV9iBt812L1THpRFbH7z8JTrTsvFwdaxDtHh-ep-8JLP59HXyMEsUGwuW1LySmtG8yFJN8mqcFUTWNNcUMlaQvBAVFbpmdWyrmFwxnWogwLSWkgPhbIhuDr5x9-cWfCjXdutiXF9SIVLOaMZFpG4PlHLWewe67Fw82fUlJeXu-VGlyt3zI5oc0G_TQP8vV77NJ3v-D39hiI0</recordid><startdate>201802</startdate><enddate>201802</enddate><creator>Mosier, Thomas M.</creator><creator>Hill, David F.</creator><creator>Sharp, Kendra V.</creator><general>John Wiley & Sons, Ltd</general><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TN</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L.G</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4071-4417</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>201802</creationdate><title>Update to the Global Climate Data package: analysis of empirical bias correction methods in the context of producing very high resolution climate projections</title><author>Mosier, Thomas M. ; Hill, David F. ; Sharp, Kendra V.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3593-d8baf316742f06b5470ad16f1e4370679b19fd3d067b000c3f2fe0e3ffaa8e083</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Air temperature</topic><topic>Bias</topic><topic>bias correction</topic><topic>Bivariate analysis</topic><topic>change factors</topic><topic>Climate</topic><topic>Climate models</topic><topic>Climate system</topic><topic>Climatic analysis</topic><topic>Climatic data</topic><topic>Climatology</topic><topic>Computer simulation</topic><topic>Data processing</topic><topic>delta change method</topic><topic>Distribution functions</topic><topic>Earth</topic><topic>Empirical analysis</topic><topic>Global climate</topic><topic>Global climate models</topic><topic>gridded climate</topic><topic>Mean temperatures</topic><topic>Meteorological satellites</topic><topic>Methods</topic><topic>monthly time‐series</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Probability theory</topic><topic>Representations</topic><topic>Resolution</topic><topic>Simulation</topic><topic>Spatial resolution</topic><topic>temperature</topic><topic>Time series</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Mosier, Thomas M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hill, David F.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sharp, Kendra V.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><jtitle>International journal of climatology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Mosier, Thomas M.</au><au>Hill, David F.</au><au>Sharp, Kendra V.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Update to the Global Climate Data package: analysis of empirical bias correction methods in the context of producing very high resolution climate projections</atitle><jtitle>International journal of climatology</jtitle><date>2018-02</date><risdate>2018</risdate><volume>38</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>825</spage><epage>840</epage><pages>825-840</pages><issn>0899-8418</issn><eissn>1097-0088</eissn><abstract>ABSTRACT
While global climate models (GCMs) are useful for simulating climatic responses to perturbations in the Earth's climate system, there are many instances where higher spatial resolution information is necessary. In all instances, interpretation of interpolated or downscaled GCMs must be done cautiously because each method has its own set of assumptions and potential disadvantages. Here, we present an update to the Global Climate Data (GCD) package, which enables the package to efficiently bias correct and interpolate precipitation and air temperature output from GCM simulations to very high spatial resolutions using the delta change method. While the delta change method is relatively simple, it has previously been shown to enhance the physical representation of interpolated climate time‐series compared to directly interpolating the gridded climate time‐series to a higher spatial resolution. The bias correction methods programmed into the GCD package are univariate empirical quantile mapping (QM) and bivariate empirical joint bias correction (JBC). The skill of QM and JBC for improving GCM simulations processed with the delta change method is evaluated through comparing the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the interpolated GCM simulations to the CDFs of Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) station observations for three test regions: Oregon (in the USA), the Alps (spanning several countries in Europe), and the Ganges Delta (in India and Bangladesh). We also assess the representation of precipitation and mean temperature joint probability distributions relative to those present in GHCN station observations. Overall, GCM simulations that are bias corrected with QM prior to being input to the delta change method perform best under our analysis.
The Global Climate Data (GCD) package, available at www.GlobalClimateData.org, is an open‐source model written in Matlab to create very high resolution monthly climate surfaces for any global land area. The GCD package is able to read a wide range of input data formats and synthesizes climate surfaces using the delta change method. This update to the GCD package enables climate models to be bias corrected relative to a reference gridded time‐series before being.</abstract><cop>Chichester, UK</cop><pub>John Wiley & Sons, Ltd</pub><doi>10.1002/joc.5213</doi><tpages>16</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4071-4417</orcidid></addata></record> |
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subjects | Air temperature Bias bias correction Bivariate analysis change factors Climate Climate models Climate system Climatic analysis Climatic data Climatology Computer simulation Data processing delta change method Distribution functions Earth Empirical analysis Global climate Global climate models gridded climate Mean temperatures Meteorological satellites Methods monthly time‐series Precipitation Probability theory Representations Resolution Simulation Spatial resolution temperature Time series |
title | Update to the Global Climate Data package: analysis of empirical bias correction methods in the context of producing very high resolution climate projections |
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