Generating prediction bands for path forecasts from SETAR models

Prediction bands for time series are usually generated point-wise by bootstrap methods. Such bands only convey the prediction uncertainty for each horizon separately. The joint distribution is not taken into account. To represent the forecast uncertainty over the entire horizon, methods for construc...

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Veröffentlicht in:Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics 2017-12, Vol.21 (5), p.1-18
Hauptverfasser: Grabowski, Daniel, Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna, Winker, Peter
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Sprache:eng
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