Government Debt, Economic Activity, and Transmission of Economic Disturbances

This paper analyzes the effects of government debt on output and the trade balance in a two-country rational expectations model of the world economy. It is shown that perceived changes in government debt do not affect the level of economic activity but unperceived changes in the home country's...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of money, credit and banking credit and banking, 1987-08, Vol.19 (3), p.361-375
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description This paper analyzes the effects of government debt on output and the trade balance in a two-country rational expectations model of the world economy. It is shown that perceived changes in government debt do not affect the level of economic activity but unperceived changes in the home country's government debt are are correlated positively with her output and negatively with her trade balance. Unperceived increases in the foreign country's government debt, however, have a positive impact on the home country's output and the trade balance. Empirical evidence for the U.S. is consistent with most of the implications of the model. (Printed by permission of the publisher.)
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ispartof Journal of money, credit and banking, 1987-08, Vol.19 (3), p.361-375
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source Periodicals Index Online; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing
subjects Analysis
Balance of trade
Debt
Deficit financing
Economic fluctuations
Economic growth rate
Economic impact
Economic research
Economic theory
Government expenditures
Hypotheses
International economics
Market value
Mathematical models
National debt
Open economies
Output
Public debt
Public debts
Studies
title Government Debt, Economic Activity, and Transmission of Economic Disturbances
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