The UK productivity puzzle, 2008–2012: evidence using plant-level estimates of total factor productivity

This paper presents new information from plant-level data on the UK's productivity performance since 2008 and considers whether a fall in the capital-labour ratio explains the UK's productivity puzzle. The results show that, while both manufacturing and services experienced large declines in labour productivity post-2008, the UK's poor TFP productivity performance is primarily a service sector and small-plant phenomenon. Most of the fall in TFP in services is accounted for by a large negative TFP shock in 2008–2012. By decomposing the change in average labour productivity, it is shown that declines in the intermediate inputs-labour (rather than the capital–labour) ratio and decreases in TFP were responsible for the fall in labour productivity.