On Speculation and Price Stability under Uncertainty

In previous studies that use mathematical models to investigate the impact of speculative activity on commodity prices, it was assumed that speculators know both current and future nonspeculative excess demand functions. The model used here describes a commodity market with both speculative and nons...

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Veröffentlicht in:The review of economics and statistics 1981-02, Vol.63 (1), p.129-132
Hauptverfasser: Jesse, Richard R., Radcliffe, Robert C.
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Radcliffe, Robert C.
description In previous studies that use mathematical models to investigate the impact of speculative activity on commodity prices, it was assumed that speculators know both current and future nonspeculative excess demand functions. The model used here describes a commodity market with both speculative and nonspeculative activities. An analytical framework provided by Telser, Kemp, Farrell, and Schimmler is extended in order to introduce uncertain future nonspeculative excess demand. A comparison of these results with those of the aforementioned studies reveals that, assuming linearity of the nonspeculators' excess demand curve, the results obtained in the prior studies continue to hold when the speculators are no longer assumed to know the nonspeculators' future excess demand function.
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source Business Source Complete; Periodicals Index Online; JSTOR Mathematics & Statistics; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing
subjects Commodities
Demand
Excess demand
Excess profits
Long run profit maximization
Market prices
Mathematical functions
Optimal
Price stabilization
Speculation
Speculative demand
Speculators
Statistical variance
Supply
Uncertainty
title On Speculation and Price Stability under Uncertainty
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