Inflation uncertainty and real economic activity: an alternative approach

Increased uncertainty about inflation is shown to encourage inflation hedging which, in turn, reduces the macro-economic costs of that uncertainty. Portfolio theory and empirical evidence support the contention that only the portion of inflation volatility that cannot be hedged has real economic eff...

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Veröffentlicht in:The review of economics and statistics 1986-08, Vol.68 (3), p.493-500
1. Verfasser: Kantor, L.G
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description Increased uncertainty about inflation is shown to encourage inflation hedging which, in turn, reduces the macro-economic costs of that uncertainty. Portfolio theory and empirical evidence support the contention that only the portion of inflation volatility that cannot be hedged has real economic effects. Additional empirical results suggest that: (i) increased inflation volatility in the early seventies was eventually followed by portfolio reallocations that allowed for greatly improved inflation hedging, and (ii) the deleterious effect of inflation uncertainty on real economic activity shown in previous studies is significantly smaller after 1975.
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identifier ISSN: 0034-6535
ispartof The review of economics and statistics, 1986-08, Vol.68 (3), p.493-500
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source Business Source Complete; Periodicals Index Online; JSTOR Mathematics & Statistics; Jstor Complete Legacy
subjects capital asset pricing model
Capital assets
Economic activity
Economic inflation
Economic theory
Economic uncertainty
Financial investments
Financial portfolios
futures trading
Hedging
Inflation
Inflation rates
Inflation risk
investment
Investment return rates
Investment risk
Macroeconomics
Market portfolios
portfolio balance approach
Pricing
Risk
Systematic
uncertainty
title Inflation uncertainty and real economic activity: an alternative approach
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