Linkages Among Commodity Futures Markets and Dynamic Welfare Analysis

This study constructs dynamic welfare measures for a system of futures markets that express the allocative efficiency of a particular market as a function of its accuracy and speed of adjustment following a shock to the system. The system comprises future prices for T-bills, exchange rates (German m...

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Veröffentlicht in:The review of economics and statistics 1990-11, Vol.72 (4), p.631-639
Hauptverfasser: Rausser, Gordon C., Walraven, Nicholas A.
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Walraven, Nicholas A.
description This study constructs dynamic welfare measures for a system of futures markets that express the allocative efficiency of a particular market as a function of its accuracy and speed of adjustment following a shock to the system. The system comprises future prices for T-bills, exchange rates (German mark, British pound, Canadian dollar and yen), and agricultural commodities (corn, wheat, and cotton) for delivery in 1981 and 1982. The results suggest that, although agricultural, exchange, and financial markets all overreact to a disturbance, agricultural markets do so to a much greater degree. Owing to their much greater size, however, the welfare loss arising from the overshooting is likely to be much larger for interest rate and exchange markets.
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subjects Agricultural commodities
Agricultural markets
Agriculture
Commodities trading
Commodity futures
Disequilibrium
Economic conditions
Economic models
Economic statistics
Efficiency
Elasticity of demand
Elasticity of supply
Exchange rates
Futures market
Market prices
Price level changes
Securities markets
Statistical analysis
Supply and demand
United States Treasury bills
Welfare economics
Welfare losses
Wheat
title Linkages Among Commodity Futures Markets and Dynamic Welfare Analysis
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