Causal Complexity and the Study of Politics
Theories that posit complex causation, or multiple causal paths, pervade the study of politics but have yet to find accurate statistical expression. To remedy this situation I derive new econometric procedures, Boolean probit and logit, based on the logic of complexity. The solution provides an answ...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Political analysis 2003, Vol.11 (3), p.209-233 |
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| container_title | Political analysis |
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| creator | Braumoeller, Bear F. |
| description | Theories that posit complex causation, or multiple causal paths, pervade the study of politics but have yet to find accurate statistical expression. To remedy this situation I derive new econometric procedures, Boolean probit and logit, based on the logic of complexity. The solution provides an answer to a puzzle in the rational deterrence literature: the divergence between theory and case-study findings, on the one hand, and the findings of quantitative studies, on the other, on the issue of the role of capabilities and willingness in the initiation of disputes. It also makes the case that different methodological traditions, rather than settling into “separate but equal” status, can instead inform and enrich one another. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1093/pan/mpg012 |
| format | Article |
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| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1047-1987 |
| ispartof | Political analysis, 2003, Vol.11 (3), p.209-233 |
| issn | 1047-1987 1476-4989 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_journals_194650995 |
| source | Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; Political Science Complete; Cambridge University Press Journals Complete |
| subjects | Boolean data Causality Causation Economic value International politics Mathematical independent variables Military deterrence Political science Politics Probabilities Studies Territorial disputes World wars |
| title | Causal Complexity and the Study of Politics |
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