FISCAL POLICY AND DEBT MANAGEMENT WITH INCOMPLETE MARKETS
A Ramsey planner chooses a distorting tax on labor and manages a portfolio of securities in an economy with incomplete markets. We develop a method that uses second order approximations of Ramsey policies to obtain formulas for conditional and unconditional moments of government debt and taxes that...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | The Quarterly journal of economics 2017-05, Vol.132 (2), p.617-663 |
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| container_end_page | 663 |
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| container_issue | 2 |
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| container_title | The Quarterly journal of economics |
| container_volume | 132 |
| creator | Bhandari, Anmol Evans, David Golosov, Mikhail Sargent, Thomas J. |
| description | A Ramsey planner chooses a distorting tax on labor and manages a portfolio of securities in an economy with incomplete markets. We develop a method that uses second order approximations of Ramsey policies to obtain formulas for conditional and unconditional moments of government debt and taxes that include means and variances of the invariant distribution as well as speeds of mean reversion. The asymptotic mean of the planner’s portfolio minimizes a measure of fiscal risk. We obtain analytic expressions that approximate moments of the invariant distribution and apply them to data on a primary government deficit, aggregate consumption, and returns on traded securities. For U.S. data, we find that the optimal target debt level is negative but close to zero, the invariant distribution of debt is very dispersed, and mean reversion is slow. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1093/qje/qjw041 |
| format | Article |
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| source | Business Source Complete; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current) |
| subjects | Approximation Consumption Debt management Deficit financing Fiscal policy Markets Risk assessment Studies Taxation |
| title | FISCAL POLICY AND DEBT MANAGEMENT WITH INCOMPLETE MARKETS |
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