THE EFFECTS OF MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS AT GRADUATION ON OVEREDUCATION

This article shows that unfavorable economic conditions at graduation decrease the likelihood of a good job‐worker match over a worker's subsequent career. Mismatch is quantified in terms of overeducation by both industry and occupation. The German Socio‐Economic Panel and region‐level unemploy...

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Veröffentlicht in:Economic inquiry 2017-07, Vol.55 (3), p.1370-1387
Hauptverfasser: Summerfield, Fraser, Theodossiou, Ioannis
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Theodossiou, Ioannis
description This article shows that unfavorable economic conditions at graduation decrease the likelihood of a good job‐worker match over a worker's subsequent career. Mismatch is quantified in terms of overeducation by both industry and occupation. The German Socio‐Economic Panel and region‐level unemployment rates from 1994 to 2012 are used. Instrumental variables estimates account for endogenous graduation timing. A single percentage point increase in regional unemployment causes an increase in the probability of overeducation of 1.6–1.7 percentage points for university graduates. Effects for technical tertiary education and apprenticeship graduates are smaller. Labor market entry conditions affect workers for up to 9 years after graduation. (JEL J23, J22, E32, I23)
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subjects Analysis
Apprenticeships
College graduates
Economic conditions
Educational attainment
Endogenous
Higher education
Labor market
Macroeconomics
Market entry
Overeducation
Overqualification
Socioeconomic factors
Unemployment
United Kingdom
title THE EFFECTS OF MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS AT GRADUATION ON OVEREDUCATION
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