Fundamental Analysis and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: A Data-Mining Approach

We construct a "universe" of over 18,000 fundamental signals from financial statements and use a bootstrap approach to evaluate the impact of data mining on fundamental-based anomalies. We find that many fundamental signals are significant predictors of cross-sectional stock returns even a...

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Veröffentlicht in:	The Review of financial studies 2017-04, Vol.30 (4), p.1382-1423
Hauptverfasser:	Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), Zheng, Lingling
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Arbitrage Bootstrap method Data mining Financial statements Predictions Rates of return Studies
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creator	Yan, Xuemin (Sterling) Zheng, Lingling
description	We construct a "universe" of over 18,000 fundamental signals from financial statements and use a bootstrap approach to evaluate the impact of data mining on fundamental-based anomalies. We find that many fundamental signals are significant predictors of cross-sectional stock returns even after accounting for data mining. This predictive ability is more pronounced following high-sentiment periods and among stocks with greater limits to arbitrage. Our evidence suggests that fundamental-based anomalies, including those newly discovered in this study, cannot be attributed to random chance, and they are better explained by mispricing. Our approach is general and we also apply it to past return–based anomalies.
doi_str_mv	10.1093/rfs/hhx001
format	Article
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source	Business Source Complete; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects	Arbitrage Bootstrap method Data mining Financial statements Predictions Rates of return Studies
title	Fundamental Analysis and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: A Data-Mining Approach
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