Do Political Factors Affect the Risk of Local Government Default? Recent Evidence from Spain

High levels of debt, provoked by a situation of economic and financial crisis, constitute a major threat to the financial sustainability of governments in the euro zone and in many other parts of the world. This delicate state of public finances also affects local governments and has led researchers...

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Veröffentlicht in:Lex localis-journal of local self-government 2017-01, Vol.15 (1), p.43-66
Hauptverfasser: Navarro-Galera, Andrés, Buendía-Carrillo, Dionisio, Lara-Rubio, Juan, Rayo-Cantón, Salvador
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container_issue 1
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container_title Lex localis-journal of local self-government
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creator Navarro-Galera, Andrés
Buendía-Carrillo, Dionisio
Lara-Rubio, Juan
Rayo-Cantón, Salvador
description High levels of debt, provoked by a situation of economic and financial crisis, constitute a major threat to the financial sustainability of governments in the euro zone and in many other parts of the world. This delicate state of public finances also affects local governments and has led researchers to study the variables that influence the volume of bank debt. However, few have specifically analysed the causes of local government default, although it has provoked spending cutbacks and tax increases in many countries. The aim of this paper is to examine political factors that may increase the risk of local government default. Using a logit model for panel data and applying the Basel II rules, we studied the financial performance of large local Spanish governments for the period 2006-2011. Our empirical findings reveal four political factors that may increase the risk of default (the mayor’sknowledge of finance and economics, a low percentage of women councillors, a left-wing ideology and ideological alignment with the regional government).These findings are of great interest for stakeholders who may be affected by local government default, including voters, taxpayers, users of public services, managers, policymakers, financial institutions, creditors, fiscal authorities and central government.
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source Political Science Complete; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
subjects Banking
Budget deficits
Central government
Debts
Default
Economic crises
Economic crisis
Eurozone
Expenditures
Females
Financial institutions
Financial services
Ideology
Insolvency
Interest groups
Left wing politics
Loans
Local government
Mayors
Panel data
Political factors
Politics
Public finance
Public services
Rating services
Regional government
Risk
Studies
Sustainability
Tax increases
Taxation
Variables
Voters
title Do Political Factors Affect the Risk of Local Government Default? Recent Evidence from Spain
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