Trends in Inter-Birth Intervals in Developing Countries 1965-2014
Birth spacing patterns are a fundamental feature of any reproductive regime, with direct bearing on maternal and child health. Analyzing birth history data from 274 surveys (WFS, DHS, RHS, MICS) conducted in 66 countries from 1975 to 2014, we generate estimates of key parameters of inter-birth inter...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Population and development review 2016-06, Vol.42 (2), p.173-194 |
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| creator | Casterline, John B. Odden, Colin |
| description | Birth spacing patterns are a fundamental feature of any reproductive regime, with direct bearing on maternal and child health. Analyzing birth history data from 274 surveys (WFS, DHS, RHS, MICS) conducted in 66 countries from 1975 to 2014, we generate estimates of key parameters of inter-birth intervals for five-year historical periods 1965-69 to 2010-14. Estimates are generated for the second birth interval and for intervals of all orders pooled. The estimates provide convincing evidence, for all major regions, of substantial increase in the inter-birth interval during contemporary fertility transitions. As fertility falls from TFR = 6 to TFR = 2.5 the median interval lengthens, generally by more than 12 months. The increase is larger for the second interval than for all intervals, and in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean than in the other two major regions (South and Southeast Asia, and West Asia and North Africa). Correspondingly, the incidence of short intervals ( |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2016.00134.x |
| format | Article |
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Analyzing birth history data from 274 surveys (WFS, DHS, RHS, MICS) conducted in 66 countries from 1975 to 2014, we generate estimates of key parameters of inter-birth intervals for five-year historical periods 1965-69 to 2010-14. Estimates are generated for the second birth interval and for intervals of all orders pooled. The estimates provide convincing evidence, for all major regions, of substantial increase in the inter-birth interval during contemporary fertility transitions. As fertility falls from TFR = 6 to TFR = 2.5 the median interval lengthens, generally by more than 12 months. The increase is larger for the second interval than for all intervals, and in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean than in the other two major regions (South and Southeast Asia, and West Asia and North Africa). Correspondingly, the incidence of short intervals (<24 months) has declined sharply— a real achievement for maternal and child health—and the incidence of long intervals (60+ months) has increased markedly. The lengthening of intervals accelerates as fertility decline progresses: a prominent feature of the emergent low-fertility regimes in many of these countries is long spacing between births.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0098-7921</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1728-4457</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2016.00134.x</identifier><identifier>CODEN: PDERDO</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Age composition ; Birth ; Birth intervals ; Birth spacing ; Births ; Childbirth & labor ; Demographic change ; Demographics ; Developing countries ; Fertility ; Intervals ; LDCs ; Maternal & child health</subject><ispartof>Population and development review, 2016-06, Vol.42 (2), p.173-194</ispartof><rights>2016 The Population Council, Inc.</rights><rights>2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4654-261442dd5e72c39390e8045b62c0f9b2a40181b458512fbfdd70c73dd83b52743</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4654-261442dd5e72c39390e8045b62c0f9b2a40181b458512fbfdd70c73dd83b52743</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/44015634$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/44015634$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,777,781,800,1412,27905,27906,30980,33755,45555,45556,57998,58231</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Casterline, John B.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Odden, Colin</creatorcontrib><title>Trends in Inter-Birth Intervals in Developing Countries 1965-2014</title><title>Population and development review</title><addtitle>Population and Development Review</addtitle><description>Birth spacing patterns are a fundamental feature of any reproductive regime, with direct bearing on maternal and child health. Analyzing birth history data from 274 surveys (WFS, DHS, RHS, MICS) conducted in 66 countries from 1975 to 2014, we generate estimates of key parameters of inter-birth intervals for five-year historical periods 1965-69 to 2010-14. Estimates are generated for the second birth interval and for intervals of all orders pooled. The estimates provide convincing evidence, for all major regions, of substantial increase in the inter-birth interval during contemporary fertility transitions. As fertility falls from TFR = 6 to TFR = 2.5 the median interval lengthens, generally by more than 12 months. The increase is larger for the second interval than for all intervals, and in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean than in the other two major regions (South and Southeast Asia, and West Asia and North Africa). Correspondingly, the incidence of short intervals (<24 months) has declined sharply— a real achievement for maternal and child health—and the incidence of long intervals (60+ months) has increased markedly. The lengthening of intervals accelerates as fertility decline progresses: a prominent feature of the emergent low-fertility regimes in many of these countries is long spacing between births.</description><subject>Age composition</subject><subject>Birth</subject><subject>Birth intervals</subject><subject>Birth spacing</subject><subject>Births</subject><subject>Childbirth & labor</subject><subject>Demographic change</subject><subject>Demographics</subject><subject>Developing countries</subject><subject>Fertility</subject><subject>Intervals</subject><subject>LDCs</subject><subject>Maternal & child health</subject><issn>0098-7921</issn><issn>1728-4457</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2016</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7QJ</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkFtLwzAYhoMoOKc_QSh4nZpzmgsvZtU5NqbIxMvQQ6qts51JN7d_b7rKrs1NPnjeJx95AQgwCrE_11WIJYkgY1yGBGERIoQpC7dHYHAAx2CAkIqgVASfgjPnKuRTUogBGC2sqXMXlHUwqVtj4W1p249-3iTLPbgzG7NsVmX9HsTNum5taVyAleDQL2Tn4KTwQXPxdw_B68P9In6Es6fxJB7NYMYEZ5AIzBjJc24kyaiiCpkIMZ4KkqFCpSRhCEc4ZTzimBRpkecSZZLmeURTTiSjQ3DVv7uyzffauFZXzdrWfqXGUgkiKNunoj6V2cY5awq9suVXYncaI90Vpivd9aK7XnRXmN4XprdevenVn3Jpdv_29PPo7sVP3r_s_cq1jT34zH-Miz2HPS9da7YHnthPLSSVXL_Nx1pN5yhW01hP6S92d4ZI</recordid><startdate>201606</startdate><enddate>201606</enddate><creator>Casterline, John B.</creator><creator>Odden, Colin</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QJ</scope><scope>7U4</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>BHHNA</scope><scope>DWI</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>WZK</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201606</creationdate><title>Trends in Inter-Birth Intervals in Developing Countries 1965-2014</title><author>Casterline, John B. ; Odden, Colin</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c4654-261442dd5e72c39390e8045b62c0f9b2a40181b458512fbfdd70c73dd83b52743</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>Age composition</topic><topic>Birth</topic><topic>Birth intervals</topic><topic>Birth spacing</topic><topic>Births</topic><topic>Childbirth & labor</topic><topic>Demographic change</topic><topic>Demographics</topic><topic>Developing countries</topic><topic>Fertility</topic><topic>Intervals</topic><topic>LDCs</topic><topic>Maternal & child health</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Casterline, John B.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Odden, Colin</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Population and development review</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Casterline, John B.</au><au>Odden, Colin</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Trends in Inter-Birth Intervals in Developing Countries 1965-2014</atitle><jtitle>Population and development review</jtitle><addtitle>Population and Development Review</addtitle><date>2016-06</date><risdate>2016</risdate><volume>42</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>173</spage><epage>194</epage><pages>173-194</pages><issn>0098-7921</issn><eissn>1728-4457</eissn><coden>PDERDO</coden><abstract>Birth spacing patterns are a fundamental feature of any reproductive regime, with direct bearing on maternal and child health. Analyzing birth history data from 274 surveys (WFS, DHS, RHS, MICS) conducted in 66 countries from 1975 to 2014, we generate estimates of key parameters of inter-birth intervals for five-year historical periods 1965-69 to 2010-14. Estimates are generated for the second birth interval and for intervals of all orders pooled. The estimates provide convincing evidence, for all major regions, of substantial increase in the inter-birth interval during contemporary fertility transitions. As fertility falls from TFR = 6 to TFR = 2.5 the median interval lengthens, generally by more than 12 months. The increase is larger for the second interval than for all intervals, and in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean than in the other two major regions (South and Southeast Asia, and West Asia and North Africa). Correspondingly, the incidence of short intervals (<24 months) has declined sharply— a real achievement for maternal and child health—and the incidence of long intervals (60+ months) has increased markedly. The lengthening of intervals accelerates as fertility decline progresses: a prominent feature of the emergent low-fertility regimes in many of these countries is long spacing between births.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/j.1728-4457.2016.00134.x</doi><tpages>22</tpages></addata></record> |
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| source | Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Sociological Abstracts; Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA); Jstor Complete Legacy |
| subjects | Age composition Birth Birth intervals Birth spacing Births Childbirth & labor Demographic change Demographics Developing countries Fertility Intervals LDCs Maternal & child health |
| title | Trends in Inter-Birth Intervals in Developing Countries 1965-2014 |
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