A semi-parametric Bayesian extreme value model using a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities

In this paper, we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible for posterior density estimation and posterior inference for hig...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of applied statistics 2015-02, Vol.42 (2), p.267-280
1. Verfasser: Fuquene Patino, Jairo Alberto
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In this paper, we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible for posterior density estimation and posterior inference for high quantiles. The model works well even for small sample sizes and in the absence of prior information. We evaluate the performance of the proposed model through a simulation study. Finally, the proposed model is applied to a real environmental data.
ISSN:0266-4763
1360-0532
DOI:10.1080/02664763.2014.947357