Sex differences in the applicability of Western cardiovascular disease risk prediction equations in the Asian population

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the most common cause of death, but they can be effectively managed through appropriate prevention and treatment. An important aspect in preventing CVDs is assessing each individual's comprehensive risk profile, for which various risk engines have been develop...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2024-01, Vol.19 (1), p.e0292067-e0292067
Hauptverfasser: Lim, Hee-Sook, Han, Hyein, Won, Sungho, Ji, Sungin, Park, Yoonhyung, Lee, Hae-Young
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Han, Hyein
Won, Sungho
Ji, Sungin
Park, Yoonhyung
Lee, Hae-Young
description Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the most common cause of death, but they can be effectively managed through appropriate prevention and treatment. An important aspect in preventing CVDs is assessing each individual's comprehensive risk profile, for which various risk engines have been developed. The important keys to CVD risk engines are high reliability and accuracy, which show differences in predictability depending on disease status or race. Framingham risk score (FRS) and the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk equations (ASCVD) were applied to the Korean population to assess their suitability. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using National Health Insurance Corporation sample cohort from 2003 to 2015. The enrolled participants over 30 years of age and without CVD followed-up for 10 years. We compared the prediction performance of FRS and ASCVD and calculated the relative importance of each covariate. The AUCs of FRS (men: 0.750; women: 0.748) were higher than those of ASCVD (men: 0.718; women: 0.727) for both sexes (Delong test P
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An important aspect in preventing CVDs is assessing each individual's comprehensive risk profile, for which various risk engines have been developed. The important keys to CVD risk engines are high reliability and accuracy, which show differences in predictability depending on disease status or race. Framingham risk score (FRS) and the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk equations (ASCVD) were applied to the Korean population to assess their suitability. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using National Health Insurance Corporation sample cohort from 2003 to 2015. The enrolled participants over 30 years of age and without CVD followed-up for 10 years. We compared the prediction performance of FRS and ASCVD and calculated the relative importance of each covariate. The AUCs of FRS (men: 0.750; women: 0.748) were higher than those of ASCVD (men: 0.718; women: 0.727) for both sexes (Delong test P &lt;0.01). Goodness of fits (GOF) were poor for all models (Chi-square P &lt; 0.001), especially, underestimation of the risk was pronounced in women. When the men's coefficients were applied to women's data, AUC (0.748; Delong test P&lt;0.01) and the GOF (chi-square P = 0.746) were notably improved in FRS. Hypertension was found to be the most influential variable for CVD, and this is one of the reasons why FRS, having the highest relative weight to blood pressure, showed better performance. When applying existing tools to Korean women, there was a noticeable underestimation. To accurately predict the risk of CVD, it was more appropriate to use FRS with men's coefficient in women. 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An important aspect in preventing CVDs is assessing each individual's comprehensive risk profile, for which various risk engines have been developed. The important keys to CVD risk engines are high reliability and accuracy, which show differences in predictability depending on disease status or race. Framingham risk score (FRS) and the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk equations (ASCVD) were applied to the Korean population to assess their suitability. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using National Health Insurance Corporation sample cohort from 2003 to 2015. The enrolled participants over 30 years of age and without CVD followed-up for 10 years. We compared the prediction performance of FRS and ASCVD and calculated the relative importance of each covariate. The AUCs of FRS (men: 0.750; women: 0.748) were higher than those of ASCVD (men: 0.718; women: 0.727) for both sexes (Delong test P &lt;0.01). Goodness of fits (GOF) were poor for all models (Chi-square P &lt; 0.001), especially, underestimation of the risk was pronounced in women. When the men's coefficients were applied to women's data, AUC (0.748; Delong test P&lt;0.01) and the GOF (chi-square P = 0.746) were notably improved in FRS. Hypertension was found to be the most influential variable for CVD, and this is one of the reasons why FRS, having the highest relative weight to blood pressure, showed better performance. When applying existing tools to Korean women, there was a noticeable underestimation. To accurately predict the risk of CVD, it was more appropriate to use FRS with men's coefficient in women. 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subjects Adult
Arteriosclerosis
Atherosclerosis
Atherosclerosis - epidemiology
Blood pressure
Body mass index
Cardiovascular disease
Cardiovascular diseases
Cardiovascular Diseases - epidemiology
Chi-square test
Cholesterol
Chronic illnesses
Data collection
Demographic aspects
Diabetes
Diagnosis
Engines
Female
Gender differences
Health risks
Heart
High density lipoprotein
Humans
Hypertension
Hypertension - epidemiology
Ischemia
Low density lipoprotein
Male
Mathematical models
Medical screening
Medicine and Health Sciences
Men
National health insurance
Reproducibility of Results
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Sex Characteristics
Sex differences
Sexes
Stroke
Triglycerides
Women
Womens health
title Sex differences in the applicability of Western cardiovascular disease risk prediction equations in the Asian population
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