Determinants of under-five mortality in Sri Lanka: A multilevel analysis of 2016 Sri Lankan DHS data

Under-five mortality (U5M) is considered a major public health issue directly impacts a country’s development. This study analyzed the prognostic factors of U5M in Sri Lanka using data from the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 8123 children. The study employed both a binary logistic regre...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2023-09, Vol.18 (9), p.e0291246
Hauptverfasser: Thabrew, Kaludura Anupama Seuwandi, Sooriyarachchi, Marina Roshini, Jayakody, Dushantha Nalin K
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description Under-five mortality (U5M) is considered a major public health issue directly impacts a country’s development. This study analyzed the prognostic factors of U5M in Sri Lanka using data from the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 8123 children. The study employed both a binary logistic regression model (BLRM) and a binary logistic random intercept multilevel model (BLRIMM) and compared the accuracy of each model’s prediction percentage. The results showed that the BLRIMM had a higher correct prediction percentage (98.67%) compared to the BLRM (98.31%). The study found that children who were not breastfed (Odds Ratio (OR) = 116.74, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 62.97–216.41), were part of multiple births (OR = 3.73, 95% CI = 1.21–11.51), did not have a normal delivery (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.11–3.12), were born to mothers who had experienced previous miscarriages or child loss (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.26–4.11), and were born to mothers with a higher Body Mass Index (BMI) (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.003–1.10) had higher odds of U5M. The odds of U5M were found to be lower among Buddhists (OR = 0.06, 95% CI = 0.01–0.50), Hindus (OR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.01–0.46), and Roman Catholics (OR = 0.032, 95% CI = 0.003–0.307) compared to the "Other Religions" category in the dataset. The estimated covariance parameter of the random intercept (0.8231, p-value = 0.0405) indicated significant unobserved cluster-level variation in U5M. The study’s results emphasize the importance of addressing religion related differences of U5M and improving maternal education regarding healthy lifestyle, proper food intake, the significance of breastfeeding, safe delivery methods, safety measures during pregnancy and childbirth in cases of multiple births, and proper child care after birth.
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This study analyzed the prognostic factors of U5M in Sri Lanka using data from the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 8123 children. The study employed both a binary logistic regression model (BLRM) and a binary logistic random intercept multilevel model (BLRIMM) and compared the accuracy of each model’s prediction percentage. The results showed that the BLRIMM had a higher correct prediction percentage (98.67%) compared to the BLRM (98.31%). The study found that children who were not breastfed (Odds Ratio (OR) = 116.74, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 62.97–216.41), were part of multiple births (OR = 3.73, 95% CI = 1.21–11.51), did not have a normal delivery (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.11–3.12), were born to mothers who had experienced previous miscarriages or child loss (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.26–4.11), and were born to mothers with a higher Body Mass Index (BMI) (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.003–1.10) had higher odds of U5M. The odds of U5M were found to be lower among Buddhists (OR = 0.06, 95% CI = 0.01–0.50), Hindus (OR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.01–0.46), and Roman Catholics (OR = 0.032, 95% CI = 0.003–0.307) compared to the "Other Religions" category in the dataset. The estimated covariance parameter of the random intercept (0.8231, p-value = 0.0405) indicated significant unobserved cluster-level variation in U5M. 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This study analyzed the prognostic factors of U5M in Sri Lanka using data from the 2016 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) of 8123 children. The study employed both a binary logistic regression model (BLRM) and a binary logistic random intercept multilevel model (BLRIMM) and compared the accuracy of each model’s prediction percentage. The results showed that the BLRIMM had a higher correct prediction percentage (98.67%) compared to the BLRM (98.31%). The study found that children who were not breastfed (Odds Ratio (OR) = 116.74, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 62.97–216.41), were part of multiple births (OR = 3.73, 95% CI = 1.21–11.51), did not have a normal delivery (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.11–3.12), were born to mothers who had experienced previous miscarriages or child loss (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.26–4.11), and were born to mothers with a higher Body Mass Index (BMI) (OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.003–1.10) had higher odds of U5M. The odds of U5M were found to be lower among Buddhists (OR = 0.06, 95% CI = 0.01–0.50), Hindus (OR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.01–0.46), and Roman Catholics (OR = 0.032, 95% CI = 0.003–0.307) compared to the "Other Religions" category in the dataset. The estimated covariance parameter of the random intercept (0.8231, p-value = 0.0405) indicated significant unobserved cluster-level variation in U5M. The study’s results emphasize the importance of addressing religion related differences of U5M and improving maternal education regarding healthy lifestyle, proper food intake, the significance of breastfeeding, safe delivery methods, safety measures during pregnancy and childbirth in cases of multiple births, and proper child care after birth.</abstract><cop>San Francisco</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>37682906</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0291246</doi><tpages>e0291246</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0138-7417</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Analysis
Bangladesh
Biology and Life Sciences
Body mass
Body mass index
Body size
Breast feeding
Child mortality
Childbirth
Childbirth & labor
Children
Children & youth
Confidence intervals
Demographic aspects
Drinking water
Ethiopia
Ethnicity
Food intake
Health aspects
Households
Immunization
India
Infant mortality
Malnutrition
Medical prognosis
Medicine and Health Sciences
Model accuracy
Mortality
Mothers
Multiple births
Newborn babies
People and Places
Pregnancy
Public health
Regression models
Safety measures
Sanitation
Social Sciences
South Asia
Sri Lanka
Statistical analysis
Surveys
Tetanus
Tetanus antitoxin
Vaccines
Variables
title Determinants of under-five mortality in Sri Lanka: A multilevel analysis of 2016 Sri Lankan DHS data
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