A nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study

Self-reported adherence to the Mediterranean diet has been modestly inversely associated with incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in cohort studies. There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated us...

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Veröffentlicht in:PLoS medicine 2023-04, Vol.20 (4), p.e1004221-e1004221
Hauptverfasser: Sobiecki, Jakub G, Imamura, Fumiaki, Davis, Courtney R, Sharp, Stephen J, Koulman, Albert, Hodgson, Jonathan M, Guevara, Marcela, Schulze, Matthias B, Zheng, Ju-Sheng, Agnoli, Claudia, Bonet, Catalina, Colorado-Yohar, Sandra M, Fagherazzi, Guy, Franks, Paul W, Gundersen, Thomas E, Jannasch, Franziska, Kaaks, Rudolf, Katzke, Verena, Molina-Montes, Esther, Nilsson, Peter M, Palli, Domenico, Panico, Salvatore, Papier, Keren, Rolandsson, Olov, Sacerdote, Carlotta, Tjønneland, Anne, Tong, Tammy Y N, van der Schouw, Yvonne T, Danesh, John, Butterworth, Adam S, Riboli, Elio, Murphy, Karen J, Wareham, Nicholas J, Forouhi, Nita G
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container_issue 4
container_start_page e1004221
container_title PLoS medicine
container_volume 20
creator Sobiecki, Jakub G
Imamura, Fumiaki
Davis, Courtney R
Sharp, Stephen J
Koulman, Albert
Hodgson, Jonathan M
Guevara, Marcela
Schulze, Matthias B
Zheng, Ju-Sheng
Agnoli, Claudia
Bonet, Catalina
Colorado-Yohar, Sandra M
Fagherazzi, Guy
Franks, Paul W
Gundersen, Thomas E
Jannasch, Franziska
Kaaks, Rudolf
Katzke, Verena
Molina-Montes, Esther
Nilsson, Peter M
Palli, Domenico
Panico, Salvatore
Papier, Keren
Rolandsson, Olov
Sacerdote, Carlotta
Tjønneland, Anne
Tong, Tammy Y N
van der Schouw, Yvonne T
Danesh, John
Butterworth, Adam S
Riboli, Elio
Murphy, Karen J
Wareham, Nicholas J
Forouhi, Nita G
description Self-reported adherence to the Mediterranean diet has been modestly inversely associated with incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in cohort studies. There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. We derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding. These findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully. Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (
doi_str_mv 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004221
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There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. We derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding. These findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully. 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There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. We derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding. These findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully. Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) ACTRN12613000602729 https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=363860.</description><subject>Adipose tissue</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Australia</subject><subject>Biological markers</subject><subject>Biology and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Biomarkers</subject><subject>Cancer</subject><subject>Care and treatment</subject><subject>Carotenoids</subject><subject>Chromatography</subject><subject>Clinical trials</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>Cohort Studies</subject><subject>Diabetes</subject><subject>Diabetes mellitus (non-insulin dependent)</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - diagnosis</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - prevention &amp; control</subject><subject>Diabetes therapy</subject><subject>Diagnosis</subject><subject>Diet</subject><subject>Diet therapy</subject><subject>Diet, Mediterranean</subject><subject>Fatty acids</subject><subject>Health Sciences</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Hälsovetenskap</subject><subject>Intervention</subject><subject>Laboratories</subject><subject>Legumes</subject><subject>Life Sciences</subject><subject>Medical and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Medicin och hälsovetenskap</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Neoplasms - complications</subject><subject>Nutrition and Dietetics</subject><subject>Nutrition research</subject><subject>Nuts</subject><subject>Näringslära</subject><subject>Olive oil</subject><subject>Oncology, Experimental</subject><subject>Physical Sciences</subject><subject>Questionnaires</subject><subject>Research and Analysis Methods</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Santé publique et épidémiologie</subject><subject>Self report</subject><subject>Standard deviation</subject><subject>Type 2 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nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study</title><author>Sobiecki, Jakub G ; Imamura, Fumiaki ; Davis, Courtney R ; Sharp, Stephen J ; Koulman, Albert ; Hodgson, Jonathan M ; Guevara, Marcela ; Schulze, Matthias B ; Zheng, Ju-Sheng ; Agnoli, Claudia ; Bonet, Catalina ; Colorado-Yohar, Sandra M ; Fagherazzi, Guy ; Franks, Paul W ; Gundersen, Thomas E ; Jannasch, Franziska ; Kaaks, Rudolf ; Katzke, Verena ; Molina-Montes, Esther ; Nilsson, Peter M ; Palli, Domenico ; Panico, Salvatore ; Papier, Keren ; Rolandsson, Olov ; Sacerdote, Carlotta ; Tjønneland, Anne ; Tong, Tammy Y N ; van der Schouw, Yvonne T ; Danesh, John ; Butterworth, Adam S ; Riboli, Elio ; Murphy, Karen J ; Wareham, Nicholas J ; Forouhi, Nita 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Franziska</au><au>Kaaks, Rudolf</au><au>Katzke, Verena</au><au>Molina-Montes, Esther</au><au>Nilsson, Peter M</au><au>Palli, Domenico</au><au>Panico, Salvatore</au><au>Papier, Keren</au><au>Rolandsson, Olov</au><au>Sacerdote, Carlotta</au><au>Tjønneland, Anne</au><au>Tong, Tammy Y N</au><au>van der Schouw, Yvonne T</au><au>Danesh, John</au><au>Butterworth, Adam S</au><au>Riboli, Elio</au><au>Murphy, Karen J</au><au>Wareham, Nicholas J</au><au>Forouhi, Nita G</au><au>Popkin, Barry M.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>A nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study</atitle><jtitle>PLoS medicine</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS Med</addtitle><date>2023-04-27</date><risdate>2023</risdate><volume>20</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>e1004221</spage><epage>e1004221</epage><pages>e1004221-e1004221</pages><issn>1549-1676</issn><issn>1549-1277</issn><eissn>1549-1676</eissn><abstract>Self-reported adherence to the Mediterranean diet has been modestly inversely associated with incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in cohort studies. There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. We derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding. These findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully. Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) ACTRN12613000602729 https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=363860.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>37104291</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pmed.1004221</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2641-2313</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3478-4758</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5033-5966</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6184-7764</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5652-8459</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9242-6364</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0428-2426</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6700-0780</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6560-4890</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6795-6080</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3866-2603</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4385-2097</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6509-6555</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4102-6835</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4605-435X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8008-5096</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5041-248X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0830-5277</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2375-1440</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6915-9015</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6841-8396</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0284-8959</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4472-1179</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1422-2993</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0520-7604</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9998-051X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5498-8312</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8015-9411</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2589-1319</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adipose tissue
Adult
Analysis
Australia
Biological markers
Biology and Life Sciences
Biomarkers
Cancer
Care and treatment
Carotenoids
Chromatography
Clinical trials
Cohort analysis
Cohort Studies
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus (non-insulin dependent)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - diagnosis
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - prevention & control
Diabetes therapy
Diagnosis
Diet
Diet therapy
Diet, Mediterranean
Fatty acids
Health Sciences
Humans
Hälsovetenskap
Intervention
Laboratories
Legumes
Life Sciences
Medical and Health Sciences
Medicin och hälsovetenskap
Medicine and Health Sciences
Neoplasms - complications
Nutrition and Dietetics
Nutrition research
Nuts
Näringslära
Olive oil
Oncology, Experimental
Physical Sciences
Questionnaires
Research and Analysis Methods
Risk Factors
Santé publique et épidémiologie
Self report
Standard deviation
Type 2 diabetes
title A nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study
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