Moderation analysis of exchange rate, tourism and economic growth in Asia
This study brings novelty to the tourism literature by re-examining the role of exchange rate in the tourism-growth nexus. It differs from previous tourism-led growth narrative to probe whether tourism exerts a positive effect on economic growth when the exchange rate is accounted for. Using a moder...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2022-12, Vol.17 (12), p.e0279937-e0279937 |
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| creator | Adeleye, Bosede Ngozi Ogede, Jimoh Sina Rabbani, Mustafa Raza Adam, Lukman Shehu Mazhar, Maria |
| description | This study brings novelty to the tourism literature by re-examining the role of exchange rate in the tourism-growth nexus. It differs from previous tourism-led growth narrative to probe whether tourism exerts a positive effect on economic growth when the exchange rate is accounted for. Using a moderation modelling framework, instrumental variables general method of moments (IV-GMM) and quantile regression techniques in addition to real per capita GDP, tourism receipts and exchange rate, the study engages data on 44 Asian countries from 2010 to 2019. Results from the IV-GMM show that: (1) tourism exerts a positive effect on growth; (2) exchange rate depreciation hampers growth; (3) the interaction effect is positive but statistically not significant; and (4) results from EAP and SA samples are mixed. For the most part, constructive evidence from the quantile regression techniques reveals that the impact of tourism and exchange is significant at lower quantiles of 0.25 and 0.50 while the interaction effect is negative and statistically significant only for the SA sample. These are new contributions to the literature and policy recommendations are discussed. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0279937 |
| format | Article |
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These are new contributions to the literature and policy recommendations are discussed.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279937</identifier><identifier>PMID: 36584233</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Analysis ; Asia ; Carbon Dioxide - analysis ; Computer and Information Sciences ; Earnings ; Economic analysis ; Economic aspects ; Economic Development ; Economic growth ; Engineering and Technology ; Evaluation ; Foreign exchange ; Foreign exchange markets ; Foreign exchange rates ; Hypotheses ; Literature reviews ; Method of moments ; People and Places ; Physical Sciences ; Prices and rates ; Quantiles ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Social Sciences ; Statistical analysis ; Tourism ; Travel industry</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2022-12, Vol.17 (12), p.e0279937-e0279937</ispartof><rights>Copyright: © 2022 Adeleye et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2022 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2022 Adeleye et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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| subjects | Analysis Asia Carbon Dioxide - analysis Computer and Information Sciences Earnings Economic analysis Economic aspects Economic Development Economic growth Engineering and Technology Evaluation Foreign exchange Foreign exchange markets Foreign exchange rates Hypotheses Literature reviews Method of moments People and Places Physical Sciences Prices and rates Quantiles Research and Analysis Methods Social Sciences Statistical analysis Tourism Travel industry |
| title | Moderation analysis of exchange rate, tourism and economic growth in Asia |
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