Response of future hydropower generation of cascade reservoirs to climate change in alpine regions
Climate warming accelerates the hydrological cycle, especially in high-latitude and high-altitude areas. The increase in temperature will increase the amount of snow and glacier melting and change the runoff, which will affect the operations of cascade reservoirs significantly. Therefore, taking the...
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| description | Climate warming accelerates the hydrological cycle, especially in high-latitude and high-altitude areas. The increase in temperature will increase the amount of snow and glacier melting and change the runoff, which will affect the operations of cascade reservoirs significantly. Therefore, taking the upper reaches of the Yellow River with an alpine climate as an example, we propose an improved SIMHYD-SNOW, which considers the snowmelt runoff process. The impacts of climate changes on the runoff process were revealed based on the SIMHYD-SNOW model using the precipitation and temperature data predicted by the SDSM model. A model for the maximum power generation of the cascade reservoirs in the upper reaches of the Yellow River was constructed to explore the impacts of climate changes on the inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation of the cascade reservoirs at different periods in the future. The results show that climate change has changed the spatial and temporal allocation of water resources in this area. The future runoff will decrease during the flood period (July to September) but increase significantly during the non-flood period. The inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario is significantly lower than the RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 climate change scenarios, and as the CO.sub.2 emission concentration increases, this gap increases significantly. This study can provide technical references for the precise formulation of water resources management under climate change. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0269389 |
| format | Article |
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The increase in temperature will increase the amount of snow and glacier melting and change the runoff, which will affect the operations of cascade reservoirs significantly. Therefore, taking the upper reaches of the Yellow River with an alpine climate as an example, we propose an improved SIMHYD-SNOW, which considers the snowmelt runoff process. The impacts of climate changes on the runoff process were revealed based on the SIMHYD-SNOW model using the precipitation and temperature data predicted by the SDSM model. A model for the maximum power generation of the cascade reservoirs in the upper reaches of the Yellow River was constructed to explore the impacts of climate changes on the inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation of the cascade reservoirs at different periods in the future. The results show that climate change has changed the spatial and temporal allocation of water resources in this area. The future runoff will decrease during the flood period (July to September) but increase significantly during the non-flood period. The inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario is significantly lower than the RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 climate change scenarios, and as the CO.sub.2 emission concentration increases, this gap increases significantly. This study can provide technical references for the precise formulation of water resources management under climate change.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0269389</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35984820</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>San Francisco: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Alpine climates ; Alpine regions ; Carbon dioxide ; Carbon dioxide emissions ; Climate change ; Climate change scenarios ; Climatic changes ; Earth Sciences ; Ecology and Environmental Sciences ; Emission analysis ; Environmental aspects ; Environmental impact ; Floods ; Glacial runoff ; Glacier melting ; Glaciers ; Glaciohydrology ; Global warming ; High altitude ; Hydroelectric power ; Hydroelectric power generation ; Hydrologic cycle ; Hydrology ; Influence ; Management ; Maximum power ; Neural networks ; Precipitation ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Reservoirs ; Resource allocation ; Rivers ; Runoff ; Runoff process ; Snowmelt ; Snowmelt runoff ; Temperature data ; Water ; Water management ; Water resources ; Water resources management</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2022-08, Vol.17 (8), p.e0269389-e0269389</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2022 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2022 Yan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2022 Yan et al 2022 Yan et al</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c618t-a535bfb9c290abd19c78c7b795c7c324d8ff30b401f43e70a97e1dfa944b0a53</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-4398-7007 ; 0000-0002-1607-4245</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9390902/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9390902/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,860,881,2095,2914,23846,27903,27904,53769,53771,79346,79347</link.rule.ids></links><search><contributor>Añel, Juan A.</contributor><creatorcontrib>Yan, Bing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Yi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Heng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Changshuo</creatorcontrib><title>Response of future hydropower generation of cascade reservoirs to climate change in alpine regions</title><title>PloS one</title><description>Climate warming accelerates the hydrological cycle, especially in high-latitude and high-altitude areas. The increase in temperature will increase the amount of snow and glacier melting and change the runoff, which will affect the operations of cascade reservoirs significantly. Therefore, taking the upper reaches of the Yellow River with an alpine climate as an example, we propose an improved SIMHYD-SNOW, which considers the snowmelt runoff process. The impacts of climate changes on the runoff process were revealed based on the SIMHYD-SNOW model using the precipitation and temperature data predicted by the SDSM model. A model for the maximum power generation of the cascade reservoirs in the upper reaches of the Yellow River was constructed to explore the impacts of climate changes on the inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation of the cascade reservoirs at different periods in the future. The results show that climate change has changed the spatial and temporal allocation of water resources in this area. The future runoff will decrease during the flood period (July to September) but increase significantly during the non-flood period. The inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario is significantly lower than the RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 climate change scenarios, and as the CO.sub.2 emission concentration increases, this gap increases significantly. This study can provide technical references for the precise formulation of water resources management under climate change.</description><subject>Alpine climates</subject><subject>Alpine regions</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide emissions</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate change scenarios</subject><subject>Climatic changes</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Ecology and Environmental Sciences</subject><subject>Emission analysis</subject><subject>Environmental aspects</subject><subject>Environmental impact</subject><subject>Floods</subject><subject>Glacial runoff</subject><subject>Glacier melting</subject><subject>Glaciers</subject><subject>Glaciohydrology</subject><subject>Global warming</subject><subject>High altitude</subject><subject>Hydroelectric power</subject><subject>Hydroelectric power generation</subject><subject>Hydrologic cycle</subject><subject>Hydrology</subject><subject>Influence</subject><subject>Management</subject><subject>Maximum power</subject><subject>Neural networks</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Research and Analysis Methods</subject><subject>Reservoirs</subject><subject>Resource allocation</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Runoff</subject><subject>Runoff process</subject><subject>Snowmelt</subject><subject>Snowmelt runoff</subject><subject>Temperature data</subject><subject>Water</subject><subject>Water management</subject><subject>Water resources</subject><subject>Water resources 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one</jtitle><date>2022-08-19</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>17</volume><issue>8</issue><spage>e0269389</spage><epage>e0269389</epage><pages>e0269389-e0269389</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Climate warming accelerates the hydrological cycle, especially in high-latitude and high-altitude areas. The increase in temperature will increase the amount of snow and glacier melting and change the runoff, which will affect the operations of cascade reservoirs significantly. Therefore, taking the upper reaches of the Yellow River with an alpine climate as an example, we propose an improved SIMHYD-SNOW, which considers the snowmelt runoff process. The impacts of climate changes on the runoff process were revealed based on the SIMHYD-SNOW model using the precipitation and temperature data predicted by the SDSM model. A model for the maximum power generation of the cascade reservoirs in the upper reaches of the Yellow River was constructed to explore the impacts of climate changes on the inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation of the cascade reservoirs at different periods in the future. The results show that climate change has changed the spatial and temporal allocation of water resources in this area. The future runoff will decrease during the flood period (July to September) but increase significantly during the non-flood period. The inter-annual and intra-annual hydropower generation under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario is significantly lower than the RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 climate change scenarios, and as the CO.sub.2 emission concentration increases, this gap increases significantly. This study can provide technical references for the precise formulation of water resources management under climate change.</abstract><cop>San Francisco</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>35984820</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0269389</doi><tpages>e0269389</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4398-7007</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1607-4245</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Alpine climates Alpine regions Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide emissions Climate change Climate change scenarios Climatic changes Earth Sciences Ecology and Environmental Sciences Emission analysis Environmental aspects Environmental impact Floods Glacial runoff Glacier melting Glaciers Glaciohydrology Global warming High altitude Hydroelectric power Hydroelectric power generation Hydrologic cycle Hydrology Influence Management Maximum power Neural networks Precipitation Research and Analysis Methods Reservoirs Resource allocation Rivers Runoff Runoff process Snowmelt Snowmelt runoff Temperature data Water Water management Water resources Water resources management |
| title | Response of future hydropower generation of cascade reservoirs to climate change in alpine regions |
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