Predictors of severity and development of critical illness of Egyptian COVID-19 patients: A multicenter study

Objectives We conducted the present multicenter, retrospective study to assess the epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics associated with critical illness among patients with COVID-19 from Egypt. Methods The present study was a multicenter, retrospective study that r...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2021-09, Vol.16 (9), p.e0256203-e0256203
Hauptverfasser: Omran, Dalia, Al Soda, Mohamed, Bahbah, Eshak, Esmat, Gamal, Shousha, Hend, Elgebaly, Ahmed, Abdel Ghaffar, Muhammad, Alsheikh, Mohamed, El Sayed, Enass, Afify, Shimaa, Abdel Hafez, Samah, Elkelany, Khaled, Eltayar, Ayman, Ali, Omnia, Kamal, Lamiaa, Heiba, Ahmed
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container_issue 9
container_start_page e0256203
container_title PloS one
container_volume 16
creator Omran, Dalia
Al Soda, Mohamed
Bahbah, Eshak
Esmat, Gamal
Shousha, Hend
Elgebaly, Ahmed
Abdel Ghaffar, Muhammad
Alsheikh, Mohamed
El Sayed, Enass
Afify, Shimaa
Abdel Hafez, Samah
Elkelany, Khaled
Eltayar, Ayman
Ali, Omnia
Kamal, Lamiaa
Heiba, Ahmed
description Objectives We conducted the present multicenter, retrospective study to assess the epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics associated with critical illness among patients with COVID-19 from Egypt. Methods The present study was a multicenter, retrospective study that retrieved the data of all Egyptian cases with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to hospitals affiliated to the General Organization for Teaching Hospitals and Institutes (GOTHI) through the period from March to July 2020. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was based on a positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) laboratory test. Results This retrospective study included 2724 COVID-19 patients, of whom 423 (15.52%) were critically ill. Approximately 45.86% of the critical group aged above 60 years, compared to 39.59% in the non-critical group (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed that many factors were predictors of critically illness, including age >60 years (OR = 1.30, 95% CI [1.05, 1.61], p = 0.014), low oxygen saturation (OR = 0.93, 95% CI [0.91, 0.95], p
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Methods The present study was a multicenter, retrospective study that retrieved the data of all Egyptian cases with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to hospitals affiliated to the General Organization for Teaching Hospitals and Institutes (GOTHI) through the period from March to July 2020. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was based on a positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) laboratory test. Results This retrospective study included 2724 COVID-19 patients, of whom 423 (15.52%) were critically ill. Approximately 45.86% of the critical group aged above 60 years, compared to 39.59% in the non-critical group (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed that many factors were predictors of critically illness, including age &gt;60 years (OR = 1.30, 95% CI [1.05, 1.61], p = 0.014), low oxygen saturation (OR = 0.93, 95% CI [0.91, 0.95], p&lt;0.001), low Glasgow coma scale (OR = 0.75, 95% CI [0.67, 0.84], p&lt;0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.62, 95% CI [1.26, 2.08], p&lt;0.001), cancer (OR = 2.47, 95% CI [1.41, 4.35], p = 0.002), and serum ferritin (OR = 1.004, 95% CI [1.0003, 1.008], p = 0.031). Conclusion In the present report, we demonstrated that many factors are associated with COVID-19 critical illness, including older age groups, fatigue, elevated temperature, increased pulse, lower oxygen saturation, the preexistence of diabetes, malignancies, cardiovascular disease, renal diseases, and pulmonary disease. Moreover, elevated serum levels of ALT, AST, and ferritin are associated with worse outcomes. Further studies are required to identify independent predictors of mortality for patients with COVID-19.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256203</identifier><identifier>PMID: 34555027</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>San Francisco: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Biology and Life Sciences ; Cardiovascular diseases ; Care and treatment ; Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; Critically ill ; Diabetes ; Diabetes mellitus ; Epidemiology ; Ferritin ; High temperature ; Hospitals ; Illnesses ; Infectious diseases ; Laboratory tests ; Lung diseases ; Medical research ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Mortality ; Multivariate analysis ; Oxygen ; Oxygen content ; Patient outcomes ; Patients ; Physical Sciences ; Polymerase chain reaction ; Reverse transcription ; Saturation ; Serum levels ; Viral diseases</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2021-09, Vol.16 (9), p.e0256203-e0256203</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2021 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2021 Omran et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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Methods The present study was a multicenter, retrospective study that retrieved the data of all Egyptian cases with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to hospitals affiliated to the General Organization for Teaching Hospitals and Institutes (GOTHI) through the period from March to July 2020. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was based on a positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) laboratory test. Results This retrospective study included 2724 COVID-19 patients, of whom 423 (15.52%) were critically ill. Approximately 45.86% of the critical group aged above 60 years, compared to 39.59% in the non-critical group (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed that many factors were predictors of critically illness, including age &gt;60 years (OR = 1.30, 95% CI [1.05, 1.61], p = 0.014), low oxygen saturation (OR = 0.93, 95% CI [0.91, 0.95], p&lt;0.001), low Glasgow coma scale (OR = 0.75, 95% CI [0.67, 0.84], p&lt;0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.62, 95% CI [1.26, 2.08], p&lt;0.001), cancer (OR = 2.47, 95% CI [1.41, 4.35], p = 0.002), and serum ferritin (OR = 1.004, 95% CI [1.0003, 1.008], p = 0.031). Conclusion In the present report, we demonstrated that many factors are associated with COVID-19 critical illness, including older age groups, fatigue, elevated temperature, increased pulse, lower oxygen saturation, the preexistence of diabetes, malignancies, cardiovascular disease, renal diseases, and pulmonary disease. Moreover, elevated serum levels of ALT, AST, and ferritin are associated with worse outcomes. Further studies are required to identify independent predictors of mortality for patients with COVID-19.</description><subject>Biology and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Cardiovascular diseases</subject><subject>Care and treatment</subject><subject>Coronaviruses</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>Critically ill</subject><subject>Diabetes</subject><subject>Diabetes mellitus</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Ferritin</subject><subject>High temperature</subject><subject>Hospitals</subject><subject>Illnesses</subject><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subject>Laboratory tests</subject><subject>Lung diseases</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Multivariate analysis</subject><subject>Oxygen</subject><subject>Oxygen content</subject><subject>Patient outcomes</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Physical Sciences</subject><subject>Polymerase chain reaction</subject><subject>Reverse transcription</subject><subject>Saturation</subject><subject>Serum levels</subject><subject>Viral diseases</subject><issn>1932-6203</issn><issn>1932-6203</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNqNk1uLEzEUxwdR3HX1GwgOCKIPrUkmySQ-CKWuWlioeNnXkE6SNktmUpPMYr-9mXaUHdkHyUMu53f-50JOUTyHYA6rGr698X3opJvvfafnABGKQPWgOIe8QrPh_PDO-ax4EuMNAKRilD4uzipMCAGoPi_aL0Er2yQfYulNGfWtDjYdStmpUuWL8_tWd2mwNdlgG-lK61yn45G_3B72ycquXK6vVx9mkJd7mWx2iO_KRdn2Lnvkmw5lTL06PC0eGemifjbuF8WPj5ffl59nV-tPq-XiatZQytPMMMURlUxvKIYQK8UNMpQDpk0jITYMQ4mAAgQDoze8YqQxhjMtK1zXCjbVRfHipLt3PoqxU1EgUhMGc-kkE6sToby8EftgWxkOwksrjg8-bIUMOXmnRc6BIF4ppBDBULGNokwTBQBWktV6iPZ-jNZvWq2GgoN0E9GppbM7sfW3gmHCOQZZ4PUoEPzPXsckWhsb7ZzstO-PeVOKeW5FRl_-g95f3UhtZS7AdsbnuM0gKha0poRVjKFMze-h8lK6tU3-Vsbm94nDm4lDZpL-lbayj1Gsvn39f3Z9PWVf3WF3Wrq0i971yfouTkF8ApvgYwza_G0yBGKYij_dEMNUiHEqqt8xOP3X</recordid><startdate>20210923</startdate><enddate>20210923</enddate><creator>Omran, Dalia</creator><creator>Al Soda, Mohamed</creator><creator>Bahbah, Eshak</creator><creator>Esmat, Gamal</creator><creator>Shousha, Hend</creator><creator>Elgebaly, Ahmed</creator><creator>Abdel Ghaffar, Muhammad</creator><creator>Alsheikh, Mohamed</creator><creator>El Sayed, Enass</creator><creator>Afify, Shimaa</creator><creator>Abdel Hafez, Samah</creator><creator>Elkelany, Khaled</creator><creator>Eltayar, Ayman</creator><creator>Ali, Omnia</creator><creator>Kamal, Lamiaa</creator><creator>Heiba, Ahmed</creator><general>Public Library of Science</general><general>Public Library of Science (PLoS)</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>IOV</scope><scope>ISR</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TM</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X2</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ARAPS</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>COVID</scope><scope>D1I</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0K</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>P5Z</scope><scope>P62</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PDBOC</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5513-6955</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5200-5458</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20210923</creationdate><title>Predictors of severity and development of critical illness of Egyptian COVID-19 patients: A multicenter study</title><author>Omran, Dalia ; 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Methods The present study was a multicenter, retrospective study that retrieved the data of all Egyptian cases with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to hospitals affiliated to the General Organization for Teaching Hospitals and Institutes (GOTHI) through the period from March to July 2020. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was based on a positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) laboratory test. Results This retrospective study included 2724 COVID-19 patients, of whom 423 (15.52%) were critically ill. Approximately 45.86% of the critical group aged above 60 years, compared to 39.59% in the non-critical group (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed that many factors were predictors of critically illness, including age &gt;60 years (OR = 1.30, 95% CI [1.05, 1.61], p = 0.014), low oxygen saturation (OR = 0.93, 95% CI [0.91, 0.95], p&lt;0.001), low Glasgow coma scale (OR = 0.75, 95% CI [0.67, 0.84], p&lt;0.001), diabetes (OR = 1.62, 95% CI [1.26, 2.08], p&lt;0.001), cancer (OR = 2.47, 95% CI [1.41, 4.35], p = 0.002), and serum ferritin (OR = 1.004, 95% CI [1.0003, 1.008], p = 0.031). Conclusion In the present report, we demonstrated that many factors are associated with COVID-19 critical illness, including older age groups, fatigue, elevated temperature, increased pulse, lower oxygen saturation, the preexistence of diabetes, malignancies, cardiovascular disease, renal diseases, and pulmonary disease. Moreover, elevated serum levels of ALT, AST, and ferritin are associated with worse outcomes. Further studies are required to identify independent predictors of mortality for patients with COVID-19.</abstract><cop>San Francisco</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>34555027</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0256203</doi><tpages>e0256203</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5513-6955</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5200-5458</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 1932-6203
ispartof PloS one, 2021-09, Vol.16 (9), p.e0256203-e0256203
issn 1932-6203
1932-6203
language eng
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subjects Biology and Life Sciences
Cardiovascular diseases
Care and treatment
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Critically ill
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus
Epidemiology
Ferritin
High temperature
Hospitals
Illnesses
Infectious diseases
Laboratory tests
Lung diseases
Medical research
Medicine and Health Sciences
Mortality
Multivariate analysis
Oxygen
Oxygen content
Patient outcomes
Patients
Physical Sciences
Polymerase chain reaction
Reverse transcription
Saturation
Serum levels
Viral diseases
title Predictors of severity and development of critical illness of Egyptian COVID-19 patients: A multicenter study
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