Control strategies against COVID-19 in China: Significance of effective testing in the long run
The COVID-19 pandemic has become a long-term crisis that calls for long-term solutions. We combined an augmented SEIR simulation model with real-time human mobility data to decompose the effects of lockdown, travel bans and effective testing measures in the curtailment of COVID-19 spread in China ov...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2021-07, Vol.16 (7), p.e0253901-e0253901 |
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| creator | Lin, Yatang Peng, Fangyuan |
| description | The COVID-19 pandemic has become a long-term crisis that calls for long-term solutions. We combined an augmented SEIR simulation model with real-time human mobility data to decompose the effects of lockdown, travel bans and effective testing measures in the curtailment of COVID-19 spread in China over different time horizons. Our analysis reveals that the significant growth in the detection rate of infectious cases, thanks to the expansion in testing efficiency, were as effective as city lockdowns in explaining the reduction in new infections up to mid-March. However, as we extended the analysis to July, increasing the detection rate to at least 50% is the only reliable way to bring the spread under control. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0253901 |
| format | Article |
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However, as we extended the analysis to July, increasing the detection rate to at least 50% is the only reliable way to bring the spread under control.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253901</identifier><identifier>PMID: 34242278</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>San Francisco: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Bans ; Cellular telephones ; China ; Cities ; Control ; Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; Disease transmission ; Earth Sciences ; Engineering and Technology ; Epidemics ; Infection control ; Infections ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Methods ; Migration ; Pandemics ; People and Places ; Population ; Quarantine ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Social Sciences</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2021-07, Vol.16 (7), p.e0253901-e0253901</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2021 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2021 Lin, Peng. 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We combined an augmented SEIR simulation model with real-time human mobility data to decompose the effects of lockdown, travel bans and effective testing measures in the curtailment of COVID-19 spread in China over different time horizons. Our analysis reveals that the significant growth in the detection rate of infectious cases, thanks to the expansion in testing efficiency, were as effective as city lockdowns in explaining the reduction in new infections up to mid-March. 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| subjects | Bans Cellular telephones China Cities Control Coronaviruses COVID-19 Disease transmission Earth Sciences Engineering and Technology Epidemics Infection control Infections Medicine and Health Sciences Methods Migration Pandemics People and Places Population Quarantine Research and Analysis Methods Social Sciences |
| title | Control strategies against COVID-19 in China: Significance of effective testing in the long run |
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