Modelling COVID-19 transmission in supermarkets using an agent-based model

Since the outbreak of COVID-19 in early March 2020, supermarkets around the world have implemented different policies to reduce the virus transmission in stores to protect both customers and staff, such as restricting the maximum number of customers in a store, changes to the store layout, or enforc...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2021-04, Vol.16 (4), p.e0249821
Hauptverfasser: Ying, Fabian, O'Clery, Neave
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description Since the outbreak of COVID-19 in early March 2020, supermarkets around the world have implemented different policies to reduce the virus transmission in stores to protect both customers and staff, such as restricting the maximum number of customers in a store, changes to the store layout, or enforcing a mandatory face covering policy. To quantitatively assess these mitigation methods, we formulate an agent-based model of customer movement in a supermarket (which we represent by a network) with a simple virus transmission model based on the amount of time a customer spends in close proximity to infectious customers (which we call the exposure time). We apply our model to synthetic store and shopping data to show how one can use our model to estimate exposure time and thereby the number of infections due to human-to-human contact in stores and how to model different store interventions. The source code is openly available under https://github.com/fabianying/covid19-supermarket-abm. We encourage retailers to use the model to find the most effective store policies that reduce virus transmission in stores and thereby protect both customers and staff.
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To quantitatively assess these mitigation methods, we formulate an agent-based model of customer movement in a supermarket (which we represent by a network) with a simple virus transmission model based on the amount of time a customer spends in close proximity to infectious customers (which we call the exposure time). We apply our model to synthetic store and shopping data to show how one can use our model to estimate exposure time and thereby the number of infections due to human-to-human contact in stores and how to model different store interventions. The source code is openly available under https://github.com/fabianying/covid19-supermarket-abm. 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subjects Aerodynamics
Agent-based models
Air flow
Airflow models
Biology and life sciences
Computational fluid dynamics
Computer and Information Sciences
Computer applications
Consumer Behavior
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
COVID-19 - transmission
Customers
Differential equations
Disease Outbreaks
Disease transmission
Distribution
Drafting software
Ecology and Environmental Sciences
Editing
Epidemics
Fluid dynamics
Health aspects
Health risks
Humans
Hydrodynamics
Infections
Linear functions
Mathematical models
Medicine and Health Sciences
Models, Biological
Pandemics
Partial differential equations
Physical Sciences
Prevention
Quantitative research
Research and Analysis Methods
Retail stores
SARS-CoV-2
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Shopping
Shutdowns
Simulation
Social aspects
Spatial analysis
Supermarkets
United Kingdom
Viral diseases
Viruses
title Modelling COVID-19 transmission in supermarkets using an agent-based model
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