The impact of preferential trade agreements on bilateral trade: A structural gravity model analysis
Trade agreements are thought to raise trade integration, but existing preferential trade agreements (PTAs) are insufficient in measuring market access of products. This study develops a product-based coverage index of PTAs using the World Trade Organization (WTO) preferential trade agreements and ca...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2021-03, Vol.16 (3), p.e0249118 |
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| creator | Yao, Xing Zhang, Yongzhong Yasmeen, Rizwana Cai, Zhen |
| description | Trade agreements are thought to raise trade integration, but existing preferential trade agreements (PTAs) are insufficient in measuring market access of products. This study develops a product-based coverage index of PTAs using the World Trade Organization (WTO) preferential trade agreements and calculates bilateral trade measures using the EORA multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables covering 189 countries worldwide over the period 1990-2015; the structural gravity model is employed to test how PTAs affect bilateral trade. Our findings show that countries sharing a common PTA could boost the trade volume compared to those without PTAs, supporting the trade creation effect. However, the trade promotion effect of the product-based coverage index of PTAs is significant only if the member countries are low-and middle-income countries. Further, the wide range of product liberalization brought by PTAs can promote global production networks by stimulating the trade of intermediate goods. Our results are important for understanding the market access effect of PTAs with the increasing development of trade integration and global value chains (GVCs). |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0249118 |
| format | Article |
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This study develops a product-based coverage index of PTAs using the World Trade Organization (WTO) preferential trade agreements and calculates bilateral trade measures using the EORA multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables covering 189 countries worldwide over the period 1990-2015; the structural gravity model is employed to test how PTAs affect bilateral trade. Our findings show that countries sharing a common PTA could boost the trade volume compared to those without PTAs, supporting the trade creation effect. However, the trade promotion effect of the product-based coverage index of PTAs is significant only if the member countries are low-and middle-income countries. Further, the wide range of product liberalization brought by PTAs can promote global production networks by stimulating the trade of intermediate goods. Our results are important for understanding the market access effect of PTAs with the increasing development of trade integration and global value chains (GVCs).</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0249118</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33784357</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Analysis ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Commerce ; Commercial treaties ; Cooperation ; COVID-19 ; Economic analysis ; Economic aspects ; Economic models ; Economics ; Free trade ; GDP ; Gravitation ; Gross Domestic Product ; Humans ; Intellectual property ; International Cooperation ; Investigations ; Liberalization ; Markets ; Models, Economic ; People and Places ; Property rights ; Regional development ; Social Sciences ; Statistical analysis ; Tariffs ; Trade ; Trade agreements ; Variables</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2021-03, Vol.16 (3), p.e0249118</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2021 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2021 Yao et al. 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This study develops a product-based coverage index of PTAs using the World Trade Organization (WTO) preferential trade agreements and calculates bilateral trade measures using the EORA multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables covering 189 countries worldwide over the period 1990-2015; the structural gravity model is employed to test how PTAs affect bilateral trade. Our findings show that countries sharing a common PTA could boost the trade volume compared to those without PTAs, supporting the trade creation effect. However, the trade promotion effect of the product-based coverage index of PTAs is significant only if the member countries are low-and middle-income countries. Further, the wide range of product liberalization brought by PTAs can promote global production networks by stimulating the trade of intermediate goods. Our results are important for understanding the market access effect of PTAs with the increasing development of trade integration and global value chains (GVCs).</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>33784357</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0249118</doi><tpages>e0249118</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8590-7773</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Analysis Biology and Life Sciences Commerce Commercial treaties Cooperation COVID-19 Economic analysis Economic aspects Economic models Economics Free trade GDP Gravitation Gross Domestic Product Humans Intellectual property International Cooperation Investigations Liberalization Markets Models, Economic People and Places Property rights Regional development Social Sciences Statistical analysis Tariffs Trade Trade agreements Variables |
| title | The impact of preferential trade agreements on bilateral trade: A structural gravity model analysis |
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