Model-free estimation of COVID-19 transmission dynamics from a complete outbreak
Examines the COVID-19 epidemic transmission tree in New Zealand using detailed case data and contact tracing information, noting it is an unusual dataset because it describes a closed outbreak in which there are no ongoing transmission chains, and many cases are epidemiologically linked to a likely...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2021-03, Vol.16 (3), p.e0238800-e0238800 |
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| creator | James, Alex |
| description | Examines the COVID-19 epidemic transmission tree in New Zealand using detailed case data and contact tracing information, noting it is an unusual dataset because it describes a closed outbreak in which there are no ongoing transmission chains, and many cases are epidemiologically linked to a likely index case. Uses Monte-Carlo network construction techniques to provide an estimate of the number of secondary cases for every individual infected during the outbreak, then applies standard statistical techniques to quantify differences between groups of individuals. Source: National Library of New Zealand Te Puna Matauranga o Aotearoa, licensed by the Department of Internal Affairs for re-use under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 New Zealand Licence. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0238800 |
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| subjects | Age Asymptomatic Bans Contact tracing Contact Tracing - methods Contact Tracing - statistics & numerical data Control Coronaviruses COVID-19 COVID-19 (Disease) COVID-19 - epidemiology COVID-19 - prevention & control COVID-19 - transmission Data processing Disease Outbreaks - prevention & control Disease transmission Editing Epidemics Epidemics - prevention & control Epidemiology Humans Infections Investigations Medicine and Health Sciences Methodology Monte Carlo Method New Zealand New Zealand - epidemiology People and places Physical Distancing Physics Quarantine SARS-CoV-2 - metabolism SARS-CoV-2 - pathogenicity School closures Social Sciences Statistics Transmission |
| title | Model-free estimation of COVID-19 transmission dynamics from a complete outbreak |
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