Do extreme summers increase blood vitamin D (25-hydroxyvitamin D) levels?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency of extreme weather events, such as extended heat waves and droughts in the northern hemisphere. Besides affecting ecosystems worldwide, these changes in climate patterns will also affect the environmental health of human populations. While the med...
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description | Climate change is expected to increase the frequency of extreme weather events, such as extended heat waves and droughts in the northern hemisphere. Besides affecting ecosystems worldwide, these changes in climate patterns will also affect the environmental health of human populations. While the medical community is mostly concerned with the negative impact of climate change, there might also be some beneficial effects. In this study we used laboratory data from a large university clinic in Germany (n = 13 406), to test for any detectable impact of two extreme summers on Vitamin-D [25(OH)D] plasma concentrations over a six year period (2014-2019). For the two years with extreme summers (2018 and 2019) the 25(OH)D plasma concentrations were significantly higher than in the previous four years (p < 0.001). A time series analysis (autoregressive term, AR, φ = 0.84, with an AR of one indicating a persistent effect) showed that 25(OH)D concentrations rise by 0.04 nmol/l (95% CI: 0.04-0.05 nmol/l) per hour of sunshine. The incidence of vitamin D deficiency was generally high (60% for 2014-2017) but dropped by 10% in 2018 and 2019. As such, the summers of 2018 and 2019, which are among the hottest and driest in Germany since the start of modern climate recordings, had a measurable positive effect on 25(OH)D plasma levels of the examined population. Given that 25(OH)D deficiency is widespread in higher latitudes, this implies that while mostly considered negative, climate change might also confer some health benefits with regard to vitamin D related medical conditions. |
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Besides affecting ecosystems worldwide, these changes in climate patterns will also affect the environmental health of human populations. While the medical community is mostly concerned with the negative impact of climate change, there might also be some beneficial effects. In this study we used laboratory data from a large university clinic in Germany (n = 13 406), to test for any detectable impact of two extreme summers on Vitamin-D [25(OH)D] plasma concentrations over a six year period (2014-2019). For the two years with extreme summers (2018 and 2019) the 25(OH)D plasma concentrations were significantly higher than in the previous four years (p < 0.001). A time series analysis (autoregressive term, AR, φ = 0.84, with an AR of one indicating a persistent effect) showed that 25(OH)D concentrations rise by 0.04 nmol/l (95% CI: 0.04-0.05 nmol/l) per hour of sunshine. The incidence of vitamin D deficiency was generally high (60% for 2014-2017) but dropped by 10% in 2018 and 2019. As such, the summers of 2018 and 2019, which are among the hottest and driest in Germany since the start of modern climate recordings, had a measurable positive effect on 25(OH)D plasma levels of the examined population. Given that 25(OH)D deficiency is widespread in higher latitudes, this implies that while mostly considered negative, climate change might also confer some health benefits with regard to vitamin D related medical conditions.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242230</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33170904</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>25-Hydroxyvitamin D ; Adult ; Aged ; Autoregressive processes ; Bias ; Biology and life sciences ; Calciferol ; Climate Change ; Databases, Factual ; Drought ; Earth Sciences ; Environmental aspects ; Environmental changes ; Environmental health ; Environmental impact ; Extreme weather ; Female ; Germany ; Health aspects ; Heat waves ; Hospitals ; Human populations ; Humans ; Immunoassay ; Male ; Medical laboratories ; Medicine and health sciences ; Middle Aged ; Northern Hemisphere ; Parameter estimation ; Patients ; People and places ; Physical sciences ; Plasma levels ; Quality control ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Retrospective Studies ; Seasons ; Summer ; Time series ; Vitamin D ; Vitamin D - analogs & derivatives ; Vitamin D - blood ; Vitamin deficiency ; Weather</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2020-11, Vol.15 (11), p.e0242230</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2020 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2020 Kraus et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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Besides affecting ecosystems worldwide, these changes in climate patterns will also affect the environmental health of human populations. While the medical community is mostly concerned with the negative impact of climate change, there might also be some beneficial effects. In this study we used laboratory data from a large university clinic in Germany (n = 13 406), to test for any detectable impact of two extreme summers on Vitamin-D [25(OH)D] plasma concentrations over a six year period (2014-2019). For the two years with extreme summers (2018 and 2019) the 25(OH)D plasma concentrations were significantly higher than in the previous four years (p < 0.001). A time series analysis (autoregressive term, AR, φ = 0.84, with an AR of one indicating a persistent effect) showed that 25(OH)D concentrations rise by 0.04 nmol/l (95% CI: 0.04-0.05 nmol/l) per hour of sunshine. The incidence of vitamin D deficiency was generally high (60% for 2014-2017) but dropped by 10% in 2018 and 2019. As such, the summers of 2018 and 2019, which are among the hottest and driest in Germany since the start of modern climate recordings, had a measurable positive effect on 25(OH)D plasma levels of the examined population. Given that 25(OH)D deficiency is widespread in higher latitudes, this implies that while mostly considered negative, climate change might also confer some health benefits with regard to vitamin D related medical conditions.</description><subject>25-Hydroxyvitamin D</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Autoregressive processes</subject><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Biology and life sciences</subject><subject>Calciferol</subject><subject>Climate Change</subject><subject>Databases, Factual</subject><subject>Drought</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Environmental aspects</subject><subject>Environmental changes</subject><subject>Environmental health</subject><subject>Environmental impact</subject><subject>Extreme weather</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Germany</subject><subject>Health aspects</subject><subject>Heat waves</subject><subject>Hospitals</subject><subject>Human populations</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Immunoassay</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical laboratories</subject><subject>Medicine and health sciences</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Northern Hemisphere</subject><subject>Parameter estimation</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>People and places</subject><subject>Physical sciences</subject><subject>Plasma levels</subject><subject>Quality control</subject><subject>Research and Analysis Methods</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Summer</subject><subject>Time series</subject><subject>Vitamin D</subject><subject>Vitamin D - 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Besides affecting ecosystems worldwide, these changes in climate patterns will also affect the environmental health of human populations. While the medical community is mostly concerned with the negative impact of climate change, there might also be some beneficial effects. In this study we used laboratory data from a large university clinic in Germany (n = 13 406), to test for any detectable impact of two extreme summers on Vitamin-D [25(OH)D] plasma concentrations over a six year period (2014-2019). For the two years with extreme summers (2018 and 2019) the 25(OH)D plasma concentrations were significantly higher than in the previous four years (p < 0.001). A time series analysis (autoregressive term, AR, φ = 0.84, with an AR of one indicating a persistent effect) showed that 25(OH)D concentrations rise by 0.04 nmol/l (95% CI: 0.04-0.05 nmol/l) per hour of sunshine. The incidence of vitamin D deficiency was generally high (60% for 2014-2017) but dropped by 10% in 2018 and 2019. As such, the summers of 2018 and 2019, which are among the hottest and driest in Germany since the start of modern climate recordings, had a measurable positive effect on 25(OH)D plasma levels of the examined population. Given that 25(OH)D deficiency is widespread in higher latitudes, this implies that while mostly considered negative, climate change might also confer some health benefits with regard to vitamin D related medical conditions.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>33170904</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0242230</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4354-9952</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8920-2853</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Adult Aged Autoregressive processes Bias Biology and life sciences Calciferol Climate Change Databases, Factual Drought Earth Sciences Environmental aspects Environmental changes Environmental health Environmental impact Extreme weather Female Germany Health aspects Heat waves Hospitals Human populations Humans Immunoassay Male Medical laboratories Medicine and health sciences Middle Aged Northern Hemisphere Parameter estimation Patients People and places Physical sciences Plasma levels Quality control Research and Analysis Methods Retrospective Studies Seasons Summer Time series Vitamin D Vitamin D - analogs & derivatives Vitamin D - blood Vitamin deficiency Weather |
title | Do extreme summers increase blood vitamin D (25-hydroxyvitamin D) levels? |
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