Global convergence of COVID-19 basic reproduction number and estimation from early-time SIR dynamics

The SIR ('susceptible-infectious-recovered') formulation is used to uncover the generic spread mechanisms observed by COVID-19 dynamics globally, especially in the early phases of infectious spread. During this early period, potential controls were not effectively put in place or enforced...

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Veröffentlicht in:	PloS one 2020-09, Vol.15 (9), p.e0239800
Hauptverfasser:	Katul, Gabriel G, Mrad, Assaad, Bonetti, Sara, Manoli, Gabriele, Parolari, Anthony J
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Basic converters Basic Reproduction Number Betacoronavirus Biology and Life Sciences Communicable Disease Control Computer and Information Sciences Convergence Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronaviruses COVID-19 Disease prevention Disease susceptibility Disease transmission Dynamical systems Environmental engineering Epidemics Epidemiology Forecasting Humans Infections International aspects Mathematical models Medicine and Health Sciences Models, Statistical Pandemics People and places Physical Sciences Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Population Reproduction Research and Analysis Methods SARS-CoV-2 Spreaders Statistics United Kingdom
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