Prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in low back pain patients consulted in primary care

Non-specific low back pain (NSLBP) is the most prevalent musculoskeletal condition in western countries and is associated with persistent disability and high consumption of health care resources. NSLBP patients first seek primary health care services but the outcomes are often uncertain. This study...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2020-03, Vol.15 (3), p.e0229265-e0229265
Hauptverfasser: Cruz, Eduardo B, Canhão, Helena, Fernandes, Rita, Caeiro, Carmen, Branco, Jaime C, Rodrigues, Ana M, Pimentel-Santos, Fernando, Gomes, Luís A, Paiva, Sofia, Pinto, Isabel, Moniz, Rubina, Nunes, Carla
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container_title PloS one
container_volume 15
creator Cruz, Eduardo B
Canhão, Helena
Fernandes, Rita
Caeiro, Carmen
Branco, Jaime C
Rodrigues, Ana M
Pimentel-Santos, Fernando
Gomes, Luís A
Paiva, Sofia
Pinto, Isabel
Moniz, Rubina
Nunes, Carla
description Non-specific low back pain (NSLBP) is the most prevalent musculoskeletal condition in western countries and is associated with persistent disability and high consumption of health care resources. NSLBP patients first seek primary health care services but the outcomes are often uncertain. This study aimed to examine the clinical course of the outcomes and to identify prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in NSLBP patients who consulted primary care. A prospective cohort study of 115 patients seeking treatment for NSLBP in primary care was conducted. Participants were consecutively recruited by their General Practitioners (GPs) and then assessed at baseline and 2 and 6 months later. Baseline assessment included socio-demographic and clinical data, psychosocial factors, pain, disability, and health related quality of life (HRQoL). Pain, disability, HRQoL and global perception of change were also assessed at 2 and 6-months' follow-up. In addition, information regarding the GP' practice was collected. Poor outcomes were determined according to the cut-off point used to define a persistent disabling condition and the minimal important change established for disability, pain and for global perception of change. The relationship between variables on baseline and poor outcomes was modulated through binary logistic regression analysis. The significance of associations was evaluated at ≤ 0.05 p-value with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted odds ratios (AOR). 110 (94.8%) and 104 (89.7%) participants completed the follow-up assessment at 2 and 6 months, respectively. The mean age (±SD) was 48.06 ± 11.41, with 53.9%, (N = 62) reporting an acute presentation of NSLBP. Six months after GP consultation, 53.8% (N = 56) of the participants reported a persistent disabling condition. An "LBP episode of less than 12 weeks" [AOR: 0.26; 95% CI (0.10, 0.65); AOR: 0.34; 95% CI (0.14, 0.81); AOR: 0.21; 95% CI (0.09, 0.53)],"maladaptive psychosocial factors" [AOR: 2.06; 95% CI (1.40, 3.04); AOR: 1.82; 95% CI (1.27, 2.59); AOR: 1.72; 95% CI (1.20, 2.47)] were significantly associated with poor outcomes on disability, pain and global perception of change, respectively. Besides these factors, being employed reduces the chances of poor outcomes on disability [AOR 0.31; 95% CI (0.11, 0.92)]. A large proportion of LBP patients seeking primary health care reported poor outcomes 6 months after GP consultation. Patients who report chronic LBP, maladaptive psychosocial factors and ar
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NSLBP patients first seek primary health care services but the outcomes are often uncertain. This study aimed to examine the clinical course of the outcomes and to identify prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in NSLBP patients who consulted primary care. A prospective cohort study of 115 patients seeking treatment for NSLBP in primary care was conducted. Participants were consecutively recruited by their General Practitioners (GPs) and then assessed at baseline and 2 and 6 months later. Baseline assessment included socio-demographic and clinical data, psychosocial factors, pain, disability, and health related quality of life (HRQoL). Pain, disability, HRQoL and global perception of change were also assessed at 2 and 6-months' follow-up. In addition, information regarding the GP' practice was collected. Poor outcomes were determined according to the cut-off point used to define a persistent disabling condition and the minimal important change established for disability, pain and for global perception of change. The relationship between variables on baseline and poor outcomes was modulated through binary logistic regression analysis. The significance of associations was evaluated at ≤ 0.05 p-value with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted odds ratios (AOR). 110 (94.8%) and 104 (89.7%) participants completed the follow-up assessment at 2 and 6 months, respectively. The mean age (±SD) was 48.06 ± 11.41, with 53.9%, (N = 62) reporting an acute presentation of NSLBP. Six months after GP consultation, 53.8% (N = 56) of the participants reported a persistent disabling condition. An "LBP episode of less than 12 weeks" [AOR: 0.26; 95% CI (0.10, 0.65); AOR: 0.34; 95% CI (0.14, 0.81); AOR: 0.21; 95% CI (0.09, 0.53)],"maladaptive psychosocial factors" [AOR: 2.06; 95% CI (1.40, 3.04); AOR: 1.82; 95% CI (1.27, 2.59); AOR: 1.72; 95% CI (1.20, 2.47)] were significantly associated with poor outcomes on disability, pain and global perception of change, respectively. Besides these factors, being employed reduces the chances of poor outcomes on disability [AOR 0.31; 95% CI (0.11, 0.92)]. A large proportion of LBP patients seeking primary health care reported poor outcomes 6 months after GP consultation. Patients who report chronic LBP, maladaptive psychosocial factors and are unemployed have a significant increase in the risk of poor outcome. These findings suggest the need of implementing effective models of care able to provide early screening and appropriate treatment to those at greatest risk of a poor outcome. Current Controlled Trials NCT04046874 (August 6, 2019). 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This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2020 Cruz et al 2020 Cruz et al</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c692t-72b30b778f3dc9d2e4088e7999206db5bf0bacc17b5c3b12e847b1c97a4558e33</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c692t-72b30b778f3dc9d2e4088e7999206db5bf0bacc17b5c3b12e847b1c97a4558e33</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-4562-1057 ; 0000-0003-1812-1815</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7100970/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7100970/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,315,728,781,785,865,886,2103,2929,23868,27926,27927,53793,53795</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32218561$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><contributor>Tu, Wen-Jun</contributor><creatorcontrib>Cruz, Eduardo B</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Canhão, Helena</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fernandes, Rita</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Caeiro, Carmen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Branco, Jaime C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rodrigues, Ana M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pimentel-Santos, Fernando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gomes, Luís A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Paiva, Sofia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pinto, Isabel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Moniz, Rubina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nunes, Carla</creatorcontrib><title>Prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in low back pain patients consulted in primary care</title><title>PloS one</title><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><description>Non-specific low back pain (NSLBP) is the most prevalent musculoskeletal condition in western countries and is associated with persistent disability and high consumption of health care resources. NSLBP patients first seek primary health care services but the outcomes are often uncertain. This study aimed to examine the clinical course of the outcomes and to identify prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in NSLBP patients who consulted primary care. A prospective cohort study of 115 patients seeking treatment for NSLBP in primary care was conducted. Participants were consecutively recruited by their General Practitioners (GPs) and then assessed at baseline and 2 and 6 months later. Baseline assessment included socio-demographic and clinical data, psychosocial factors, pain, disability, and health related quality of life (HRQoL). Pain, disability, HRQoL and global perception of change were also assessed at 2 and 6-months' follow-up. In addition, information regarding the GP' practice was collected. Poor outcomes were determined according to the cut-off point used to define a persistent disabling condition and the minimal important change established for disability, pain and for global perception of change. The relationship between variables on baseline and poor outcomes was modulated through binary logistic regression analysis. The significance of associations was evaluated at ≤ 0.05 p-value with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted odds ratios (AOR). 110 (94.8%) and 104 (89.7%) participants completed the follow-up assessment at 2 and 6 months, respectively. The mean age (±SD) was 48.06 ± 11.41, with 53.9%, (N = 62) reporting an acute presentation of NSLBP. Six months after GP consultation, 53.8% (N = 56) of the participants reported a persistent disabling condition. An "LBP episode of less than 12 weeks" [AOR: 0.26; 95% CI (0.10, 0.65); AOR: 0.34; 95% CI (0.14, 0.81); AOR: 0.21; 95% CI (0.09, 0.53)],"maladaptive psychosocial factors" [AOR: 2.06; 95% CI (1.40, 3.04); AOR: 1.82; 95% CI (1.27, 2.59); AOR: 1.72; 95% CI (1.20, 2.47)] were significantly associated with poor outcomes on disability, pain and global perception of change, respectively. Besides these factors, being employed reduces the chances of poor outcomes on disability [AOR 0.31; 95% CI (0.11, 0.92)]. A large proportion of LBP patients seeking primary health care reported poor outcomes 6 months after GP consultation. Patients who report chronic LBP, maladaptive psychosocial factors and are unemployed have a significant increase in the risk of poor outcome. These findings suggest the need of implementing effective models of care able to provide early screening and appropriate treatment to those at greatest risk of a poor outcome. Current Controlled Trials NCT04046874 (August 6, 2019). Retrospectively registered.</description><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Back pain</subject><subject>Care and treatment</subject><subject>Clinical trials</subject><subject>Confidence intervals</subject><subject>Disabilities</subject><subject>General practitioners</subject><subject>Health care</subject><subject>Health care industry</subject><subject>Hospital administration</subject><subject>Indicators</subject><subject>Low back pain</subject><subject>Medical prognosis</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Medical schools</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Pain</subject><subject>Pain perception</subject><subject>Patient outcomes</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Perception</subject><subject>Perceptions</subject><subject>Primary care</subject><subject>Primary health care</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Quality of life</subject><subject>Questionnaires</subject><subject>Regression analysis</subject><subject>Research and Analysis Methods</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Studies</subject><issn>1932-6203</issn><issn>1932-6203</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNqNk0lv1DAUxyMEoqXwDRBEQkJwmMFL4uWCVFUsI1UqYrtwsBznZcbFEwfbYfn2eDppNUE9oEiOl99b_H9-RfEYoyWmHL-69GPotVsOvoclIkQSVt8pjrGkZMEIoncP5kfFgxgvEaqpYOx-cUQJwaJm-Lj49iH4de9jsqa0fWuNTj7EsvOhHHwe_JiM30LMh6Xzv8pGm-_loPNq0MlCn2JpfB9Hl6DdMUOwWx3-lEYHeFjc67SL8Gj6nxRf3r75fPZ-cX7xbnV2er4wTJK04KShqOFcdLQ1siVQISGASykJYm1TNx3KUQ3mTW1ogwmIijfYSK6ruhZA6UnxdO93cD6qSZeoCBWUCyolysRqT7ReX6opR-W1VVcbPqyVDlkCB6pumhoRA6aTpjLAhJE5g6rTSKKOEZ19vZ6ijc0WWpM1CNrNnM5PertRa_9TcYyQ5LtkXkwOgv8xQkxqa6MB53QPfrzKuyKI5_Jk9Nk_6O23m6i1zhewfedzXLNzqk4ZFpzgirJMLW-h8tfC1uYaQmfz_szg5cwgMwl-p7UeY1SrTx__n734OmefH7Ab0C5tondjsvkhzcFqD5rgYwzQ3YiMkdr1wLUaatcDauqBbPbksEA3RtePnv4F6BcCUA</recordid><startdate>20200327</startdate><enddate>20200327</enddate><creator>Cruz, Eduardo B</creator><creator>Canhão, Helena</creator><creator>Fernandes, Rita</creator><creator>Caeiro, Carmen</creator><creator>Branco, Jaime C</creator><creator>Rodrigues, Ana M</creator><creator>Pimentel-Santos, Fernando</creator><creator>Gomes, Luís A</creator><creator>Paiva, Sofia</creator><creator>Pinto, Isabel</creator><creator>Moniz, Rubina</creator><creator>Nunes, Carla</creator><general>Public Library of Science</general><general>Public Library of Science (PLoS)</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>IOV</scope><scope>ISR</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TM</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X2</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ARAPS</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>D1I</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0K</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>P5Z</scope><scope>P62</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PDBOC</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4562-1057</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1812-1815</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20200327</creationdate><title>Prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in low back pain patients consulted in primary care</title><author>Cruz, Eduardo B ; 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Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Materials Science Database</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; Allied Health Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Meteorological &amp; Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest Engineering Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>Agricultural Science Database</collection><collection>Health &amp; Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Engineering Database</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies &amp; Aerospace Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Advanced Technologies &amp; Aerospace Collection</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Science Database</collection><collection>Materials Science Collection</collection><collection>Access via ProQuest (Open Access)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>Engineering Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>Genetics Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><collection>DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Cruz, Eduardo B</au><au>Canhão, Helena</au><au>Fernandes, Rita</au><au>Caeiro, Carmen</au><au>Branco, Jaime C</au><au>Rodrigues, Ana M</au><au>Pimentel-Santos, Fernando</au><au>Gomes, Luís A</au><au>Paiva, Sofia</au><au>Pinto, Isabel</au><au>Moniz, Rubina</au><au>Nunes, Carla</au><au>Tu, Wen-Jun</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in low back pain patients consulted in primary care</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2020-03-27</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>15</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>e0229265</spage><epage>e0229265</epage><pages>e0229265-e0229265</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Non-specific low back pain (NSLBP) is the most prevalent musculoskeletal condition in western countries and is associated with persistent disability and high consumption of health care resources. NSLBP patients first seek primary health care services but the outcomes are often uncertain. This study aimed to examine the clinical course of the outcomes and to identify prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in NSLBP patients who consulted primary care. A prospective cohort study of 115 patients seeking treatment for NSLBP in primary care was conducted. Participants were consecutively recruited by their General Practitioners (GPs) and then assessed at baseline and 2 and 6 months later. Baseline assessment included socio-demographic and clinical data, psychosocial factors, pain, disability, and health related quality of life (HRQoL). Pain, disability, HRQoL and global perception of change were also assessed at 2 and 6-months' follow-up. In addition, information regarding the GP' practice was collected. Poor outcomes were determined according to the cut-off point used to define a persistent disabling condition and the minimal important change established for disability, pain and for global perception of change. The relationship between variables on baseline and poor outcomes was modulated through binary logistic regression analysis. The significance of associations was evaluated at ≤ 0.05 p-value with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted odds ratios (AOR). 110 (94.8%) and 104 (89.7%) participants completed the follow-up assessment at 2 and 6 months, respectively. The mean age (±SD) was 48.06 ± 11.41, with 53.9%, (N = 62) reporting an acute presentation of NSLBP. Six months after GP consultation, 53.8% (N = 56) of the participants reported a persistent disabling condition. An "LBP episode of less than 12 weeks" [AOR: 0.26; 95% CI (0.10, 0.65); AOR: 0.34; 95% CI (0.14, 0.81); AOR: 0.21; 95% CI (0.09, 0.53)],"maladaptive psychosocial factors" [AOR: 2.06; 95% CI (1.40, 3.04); AOR: 1.82; 95% CI (1.27, 2.59); AOR: 1.72; 95% CI (1.20, 2.47)] were significantly associated with poor outcomes on disability, pain and global perception of change, respectively. Besides these factors, being employed reduces the chances of poor outcomes on disability [AOR 0.31; 95% CI (0.11, 0.92)]. A large proportion of LBP patients seeking primary health care reported poor outcomes 6 months after GP consultation. Patients who report chronic LBP, maladaptive psychosocial factors and are unemployed have a significant increase in the risk of poor outcome. These findings suggest the need of implementing effective models of care able to provide early screening and appropriate treatment to those at greatest risk of a poor outcome. Current Controlled Trials NCT04046874 (August 6, 2019). Retrospectively registered.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>32218561</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0229265</doi><tpages>e0229265</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4562-1057</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1812-1815</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Analysis
Back pain
Care and treatment
Clinical trials
Confidence intervals
Disabilities
General practitioners
Health care
Health care industry
Hospital administration
Indicators
Low back pain
Medical prognosis
Medical research
Medical schools
Medicine and Health Sciences
Pain
Pain perception
Patient outcomes
Patients
Perception
Perceptions
Primary care
Primary health care
Public health
Quality of life
Questionnaires
Regression analysis
Research and Analysis Methods
Statistical analysis
Studies
title Prognostic indicators for poor outcomes in low back pain patients consulted in primary care
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