Evolutionary disruption of S&P 500 trading concentration: An intriguing tale of a financial innovation
The novel finding of Balakrishnan, Miller & Shankar (2008) that investors, overwhelmed by the plethora of stock investment offerings, limit their analysis and daily choices to only a small subset of stocks (i.e., herding behavior) now seems to be common wisdom (Iosebashvili, 2019). We investigat...
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description | The novel finding of Balakrishnan, Miller & Shankar (2008) that investors, overwhelmed by the plethora of stock investment offerings, limit their analysis and daily choices to only a small subset of stocks (i.e., herding behavior) now seems to be common wisdom (Iosebashvili, 2019). We investigate whether the introduction of an innovation in financial products designed to allow investors to trade the entire product bundle of S&P 500 stocks, namely S&P 500 index funds, altered "herding behavior" by creating a new class of index investors. We model the distribution of daily trading concentration as a power law function and examine changes over the last six decades. Intriguingly, we discover a unique pattern in the trading concentration distribution that exhibits two distinct trends. For the period 1960-75, the trading concentration of the S&P 500 stocks tracks the increasing trend for the entire market, i.e., the unevenness in trading has steadily increased. However, after the introduction of S&P 500 index funds in 1975, concentration of trading in the S&P 500 stocks has steadily decreased, i.e., trading distribution has become more even across all 500 stocks, contrary to the current belief of equity analysts. This is also in sharp contrast to the case of U.S. stocks that are not in the S&P 500 index where trading concentration has steadily increased. We further corroborate the uniqueness of the inverted V-shape by a counterfactual investigation of the trading concentration patterns for other sets of 500 stock portfolios. This uniquely distinctive trading concentration pattern for S&P 500 stocks appears to be driven by the increasing dominance of bundle trading by index investors. |
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We investigate whether the introduction of an innovation in financial products designed to allow investors to trade the entire product bundle of S&P 500 stocks, namely S&P 500 index funds, altered "herding behavior" by creating a new class of index investors. We model the distribution of daily trading concentration as a power law function and examine changes over the last six decades. Intriguingly, we discover a unique pattern in the trading concentration distribution that exhibits two distinct trends. For the period 1960-75, the trading concentration of the S&P 500 stocks tracks the increasing trend for the entire market, i.e., the unevenness in trading has steadily increased. However, after the introduction of S&P 500 index funds in 1975, concentration of trading in the S&P 500 stocks has steadily decreased, i.e., trading distribution has become more even across all 500 stocks, contrary to the current belief of equity analysts. This is also in sharp contrast to the case of U.S. stocks that are not in the S&P 500 index where trading concentration has steadily increased. We further corroborate the uniqueness of the inverted V-shape by a counterfactual investigation of the trading concentration patterns for other sets of 500 stock portfolios. This uniquely distinctive trading concentration pattern for S&P 500 stocks appears to be driven by the increasing dominance of bundle trading by index investors.]]></description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230393</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32208426</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Backup software ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Disruption ; Finance ; Financial analysts ; Funds ; Herding ; Index funds ; Information technology services industry ; Innovations ; Investment ; Investments ; Laws, regulations and rules ; Novels ; People and Places ; Physical Sciences ; Power (Philosophy) ; Research and Analysis Methods ; Securities markets ; Shape ; Social Sciences ; Stock exchanges ; Stock market indexes ; Stock offerings ; Trends ; Unevenness</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2020-03, Vol.15 (3), p.e0230393-e0230393</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2020 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2020 Shankar et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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We investigate whether the introduction of an innovation in financial products designed to allow investors to trade the entire product bundle of S&P 500 stocks, namely S&P 500 index funds, altered "herding behavior" by creating a new class of index investors. We model the distribution of daily trading concentration as a power law function and examine changes over the last six decades. Intriguingly, we discover a unique pattern in the trading concentration distribution that exhibits two distinct trends. For the period 1960-75, the trading concentration of the S&P 500 stocks tracks the increasing trend for the entire market, i.e., the unevenness in trading has steadily increased. However, after the introduction of S&P 500 index funds in 1975, concentration of trading in the S&P 500 stocks has steadily decreased, i.e., trading distribution has become more even across all 500 stocks, contrary to the current belief of equity analysts. This is also in sharp contrast to the case of U.S. stocks that are not in the S&P 500 index where trading concentration has steadily increased. We further corroborate the uniqueness of the inverted V-shape by a counterfactual investigation of the trading concentration patterns for other sets of 500 stock portfolios. This uniquely distinctive trading concentration pattern for S&P 500 stocks appears to be driven by the increasing dominance of bundle trading by index investors.]]></description><subject>Backup software</subject><subject>Biology and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Disruption</subject><subject>Finance</subject><subject>Financial analysts</subject><subject>Funds</subject><subject>Herding</subject><subject>Index funds</subject><subject>Information technology services industry</subject><subject>Innovations</subject><subject>Investment</subject><subject>Investments</subject><subject>Laws, regulations and rules</subject><subject>Novels</subject><subject>People and Places</subject><subject>Physical Sciences</subject><subject>Power (Philosophy)</subject><subject>Research and Analysis Methods</subject><subject>Securities markets</subject><subject>Shape</subject><subject>Social Sciences</subject><subject>Stock exchanges</subject><subject>Stock market indexes</subject><subject>Stock 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Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Shankar, S Gowri</au><au>Miller, James M</au><au>Balakrishnan, P V Sundar</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Evolutionary disruption of S&P 500 trading concentration: An intriguing tale of a financial innovation</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2020-03-24</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>15</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>e0230393</spage><epage>e0230393</epage><pages>e0230393-e0230393</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract><![CDATA[The novel finding of Balakrishnan, Miller & Shankar (2008) that investors, overwhelmed by the plethora of stock investment offerings, limit their analysis and daily choices to only a small subset of stocks (i.e., herding behavior) now seems to be common wisdom (Iosebashvili, 2019). We investigate whether the introduction of an innovation in financial products designed to allow investors to trade the entire product bundle of S&P 500 stocks, namely S&P 500 index funds, altered "herding behavior" by creating a new class of index investors. We model the distribution of daily trading concentration as a power law function and examine changes over the last six decades. Intriguingly, we discover a unique pattern in the trading concentration distribution that exhibits two distinct trends. For the period 1960-75, the trading concentration of the S&P 500 stocks tracks the increasing trend for the entire market, i.e., the unevenness in trading has steadily increased. However, after the introduction of S&P 500 index funds in 1975, concentration of trading in the S&P 500 stocks has steadily decreased, i.e., trading distribution has become more even across all 500 stocks, contrary to the current belief of equity analysts. This is also in sharp contrast to the case of U.S. stocks that are not in the S&P 500 index where trading concentration has steadily increased. We further corroborate the uniqueness of the inverted V-shape by a counterfactual investigation of the trading concentration patterns for other sets of 500 stock portfolios. This uniquely distinctive trading concentration pattern for S&P 500 stocks appears to be driven by the increasing dominance of bundle trading by index investors.]]></abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>32208426</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0230393</doi><tpages>e0230393</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5546-5126</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2211-5506</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Backup software Biology and Life Sciences Disruption Finance Financial analysts Funds Herding Index funds Information technology services industry Innovations Investment Investments Laws, regulations and rules Novels People and Places Physical Sciences Power (Philosophy) Research and Analysis Methods Securities markets Shape Social Sciences Stock exchanges Stock market indexes Stock offerings Trends Unevenness |
title | Evolutionary disruption of S&P 500 trading concentration: An intriguing tale of a financial innovation |
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