Forecasts of mortality and economic losses from poor water and sanitation in sub-Saharan Africa
This paper presents country-level estimates of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH)-related mortality and the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 1990 to 2050. We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany ec...
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| description | This paper presents country-level estimates of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH)-related mortality and the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 1990 to 2050. We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany economic growth will "solve" water and sanitation problems in SSA and, if so, how long it will take. Our simulations suggest that WASH-related mortality will continue to differ markedly across countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In many countries, expected economic growth alone will not be sufficient to eliminate WASH-related mortality or eliminate the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure by 2050. In other countries, WASH-related mortality will sharply decline, although the economic losses associated with the time spent collecting water are forecast to persist. Overall, our findings suggest that in a subset of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Angola, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad and several others), WASH-related investments will remain a priority for decades and require a long-term, sustained effort from both the international community and national governments. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0227611 |
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We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany economic growth will "solve" water and sanitation problems in SSA and, if so, how long it will take. Our simulations suggest that WASH-related mortality will continue to differ markedly across countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In many countries, expected economic growth alone will not be sufficient to eliminate WASH-related mortality or eliminate the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure by 2050. In other countries, WASH-related mortality will sharply decline, although the economic losses associated with the time spent collecting water are forecast to persist. Overall, our findings suggest that in a subset of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Angola, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad and several others), WASH-related investments will remain a priority for decades and require a long-term, sustained effort from both the international community and national governments.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227611</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32196493</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Africa South of the Sahara - epidemiology ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Economic development ; Economic Development - trends ; Economic forecasting ; Economic growth ; Economic impact ; Economics ; Engineering and Technology ; Forecasting ; GDP ; Gross Domestic Product ; Health aspects ; Humans ; Hygiene ; Hygiene - economics ; Hygiene - standards ; Illnesses ; Infrastructure ; Infrastructure (Economics) ; Investments ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Mortality ; Mortality - trends ; People and Places ; Physical sciences ; Population ; Public policy ; Research and analysis methods ; Sanitation ; Sanitation - economics ; Sanitation - standards ; Sanitation services ; Social Sciences ; South Asia ; Sub-Saharan Africa ; Sustainable Development - economics ; Sustainable Development - trends ; Time ; Trends ; Water ; Water Quality - standards ; Water resource management ; Water Supply - economics ; Water Supply - standards</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2020-03, Vol.15 (3), p.e0227611</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2020 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2020 Fuente et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>2020 Fuente et al 2020 Fuente et al</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c692t-c7c4277451cbf98fb32fe802e05a4b3dcf9b79fdaece81006ab87883109587433</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c692t-c7c4277451cbf98fb32fe802e05a4b3dcf9b79fdaece81006ab87883109587433</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-9847-7736</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7083270/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7083270/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,860,881,2095,2914,23846,27903,27904,53769,53771,79346,79347</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32196493$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><contributor>Hodges, Mary Hamer</contributor><creatorcontrib>Fuente, David</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Allaire, Maura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jeuland, Marc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Whittington, Dale</creatorcontrib><title>Forecasts of mortality and economic losses from poor water and sanitation in sub-Saharan Africa</title><title>PloS one</title><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><description>This paper presents country-level estimates of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH)-related mortality and the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 1990 to 2050. We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany economic growth will "solve" water and sanitation problems in SSA and, if so, how long it will take. Our simulations suggest that WASH-related mortality will continue to differ markedly across countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In many countries, expected economic growth alone will not be sufficient to eliminate WASH-related mortality or eliminate the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure by 2050. In other countries, WASH-related mortality will sharply decline, although the economic losses associated with the time spent collecting water are forecast to persist. Overall, our findings suggest that in a subset of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Angola, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad and several others), WASH-related investments will remain a priority for decades and require a long-term, sustained effort from both the international community and national governments.</description><subject>Africa South of the Sahara - epidemiology</subject><subject>Biology and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Economic development</subject><subject>Economic Development - trends</subject><subject>Economic forecasting</subject><subject>Economic growth</subject><subject>Economic impact</subject><subject>Economics</subject><subject>Engineering and Technology</subject><subject>Forecasting</subject><subject>GDP</subject><subject>Gross Domestic Product</subject><subject>Health aspects</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Hygiene</subject><subject>Hygiene - economics</subject><subject>Hygiene - standards</subject><subject>Illnesses</subject><subject>Infrastructure</subject><subject>Infrastructure (Economics)</subject><subject>Investments</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Mortality - 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We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany economic growth will "solve" water and sanitation problems in SSA and, if so, how long it will take. Our simulations suggest that WASH-related mortality will continue to differ markedly across countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In many countries, expected economic growth alone will not be sufficient to eliminate WASH-related mortality or eliminate the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure by 2050. In other countries, WASH-related mortality will sharply decline, although the economic losses associated with the time spent collecting water are forecast to persist. Overall, our findings suggest that in a subset of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Angola, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad and several others), WASH-related investments will remain a priority for decades and require a long-term, sustained effort from both the international community and national governments.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>32196493</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0227611</doi><tpages>e0227611</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9847-7736</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Africa South of the Sahara - epidemiology Biology and Life Sciences Economic development Economic Development - trends Economic forecasting Economic growth Economic impact Economics Engineering and Technology Forecasting GDP Gross Domestic Product Health aspects Humans Hygiene Hygiene - economics Hygiene - standards Illnesses Infrastructure Infrastructure (Economics) Investments Medicine and Health Sciences Mortality Mortality - trends People and Places Physical sciences Population Public policy Research and analysis methods Sanitation Sanitation - economics Sanitation - standards Sanitation services Social Sciences South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Sustainable Development - economics Sustainable Development - trends Time Trends Water Water Quality - standards Water resource management Water Supply - economics Water Supply - standards |
| title | Forecasts of mortality and economic losses from poor water and sanitation in sub-Saharan Africa |
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