Mortality during treatment for tuberculosis; a review of surveillance data in a rural county in Kenya

Globally in 2016, 1.7 million people died of Tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to estimate all-cause mortality rate, identify features associated with mortality and describe trend in mortality rate from treatment initiation. A 5-year (2012-2016) retrospective analysis of electronic TB surveillance...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2019-07, Vol.14 (7), p.e0219191-e0219191
Hauptverfasser: Abdullahi, Osman A, Ngari, Moses M, Sanga, Deche, Katana, Geoffrey, Willetts, Annie
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Ngari, Moses M
Sanga, Deche
Katana, Geoffrey
Willetts, Annie
description Globally in 2016, 1.7 million people died of Tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to estimate all-cause mortality rate, identify features associated with mortality and describe trend in mortality rate from treatment initiation. A 5-year (2012-2016) retrospective analysis of electronic TB surveillance data from Kilifi County, Kenya. The outcome was all-cause mortality within 180 days after starting TB treatment. The risk factors examined were demographic and clinical features at the time of starting anti-TB treatment. We performed survival analysis with time at risk defined from day of starting TB treatment to time of death, lost-to-follow-up or completing treatment. To account for 'lost-to-follow-up' we used competing risk analysis method to examine risk factors for all-cause mortality. 10,717 patients receiving TB treatment, median (IQR) age 33 (24-45) years were analyzed; 3,163 (30%) were HIV infected. Overall, 585 (5.5%) patients died; mortality rate of 12.2 (95% CI 11.3-13.3) deaths per 100 person-years (PY). Mortality rate increased from 7.8 (95% CI 6.4-9.5) in 2012 to 17.7 (95% CI 14.9-21.1) in 2016 per 100PY (Ptrend
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This study aimed to estimate all-cause mortality rate, identify features associated with mortality and describe trend in mortality rate from treatment initiation. A 5-year (2012-2016) retrospective analysis of electronic TB surveillance data from Kilifi County, Kenya. The outcome was all-cause mortality within 180 days after starting TB treatment. The risk factors examined were demographic and clinical features at the time of starting anti-TB treatment. We performed survival analysis with time at risk defined from day of starting TB treatment to time of death, lost-to-follow-up or completing treatment. To account for 'lost-to-follow-up' we used competing risk analysis method to examine risk factors for all-cause mortality. 10,717 patients receiving TB treatment, median (IQR) age 33 (24-45) years were analyzed; 3,163 (30%) were HIV infected. Overall, 585 (5.5%) patients died; mortality rate of 12.2 (95% CI 11.3-13.3) deaths per 100 person-years (PY). Mortality rate increased from 7.8 (95% CI 6.4-9.5) in 2012 to 17.7 (95% CI 14.9-21.1) in 2016 per 100PY (Ptrend&lt;0.0001). 449/585 (77%) of the deaths occurred within the first three months after starting TB treatment. The median time to death (IQR) declined from 87 (40-100) days in 2012 to 46 (18-83) days in 2016 (Ptrend = 0·04). Mortality rate per 100PY was 7.3 (95% CI 6.5-7.8) and 23.1 (95% CI 20.8-25.7) among HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected patients respectively. Age, being a female, extrapulmonary TB, being undernourished, HIV infected and year of diagnosis were significantly associated with mortality. We found most deaths occurred within three months and an increasing mortality rate during the time under review among patients on TB treatment. 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a review of surveillance data in a rural county in Kenya</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2019-07-11</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>14</volume><issue>7</issue><spage>e0219191</spage><epage>e0219191</epage><pages>e0219191-e0219191</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Globally in 2016, 1.7 million people died of Tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to estimate all-cause mortality rate, identify features associated with mortality and describe trend in mortality rate from treatment initiation. A 5-year (2012-2016) retrospective analysis of electronic TB surveillance data from Kilifi County, Kenya. The outcome was all-cause mortality within 180 days after starting TB treatment. The risk factors examined were demographic and clinical features at the time of starting anti-TB treatment. We performed survival analysis with time at risk defined from day of starting TB treatment to time of death, lost-to-follow-up or completing treatment. To account for 'lost-to-follow-up' we used competing risk analysis method to examine risk factors for all-cause mortality. 10,717 patients receiving TB treatment, median (IQR) age 33 (24-45) years were analyzed; 3,163 (30%) were HIV infected. Overall, 585 (5.5%) patients died; mortality rate of 12.2 (95% CI 11.3-13.3) deaths per 100 person-years (PY). Mortality rate increased from 7.8 (95% CI 6.4-9.5) in 2012 to 17.7 (95% CI 14.9-21.1) in 2016 per 100PY (Ptrend&lt;0.0001). 449/585 (77%) of the deaths occurred within the first three months after starting TB treatment. The median time to death (IQR) declined from 87 (40-100) days in 2012 to 46 (18-83) days in 2016 (Ptrend = 0·04). Mortality rate per 100PY was 7.3 (95% CI 6.5-7.8) and 23.1 (95% CI 20.8-25.7) among HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected patients respectively. Age, being a female, extrapulmonary TB, being undernourished, HIV infected and year of diagnosis were significantly associated with mortality. We found most deaths occurred within three months and an increasing mortality rate during the time under review among patients on TB treatment. Our results therefore warrant further investigation to explore host, disease or health system factors that may explain this trend.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>31295277</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0219191</doi><tpages>e0219191</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5003-2973</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adult
Antitubercular Agents - adverse effects
Antitubercular Agents - therapeutic use
BCG
Biology and Life Sciences
Care and treatment
Death
Demographic aspects
Demographics
Fatalities
Female
Forecasts and trends
Health risks
HIV
HIV Infections - complications
HIV Infections - drug therapy
HIV Infections - microbiology
HIV Infections - mortality
HIV patients
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humans
Intelligence gathering
Kenya
Kenya - epidemiology
Male
Medical diagnosis
Medicine and Health Sciences
Middle Aged
Mortality
Patient outcomes
Patients
Privacy
Retrospective Studies
Risk analysis
Risk Factors
Rural Population
Surveillance
Survival Analysis
Systematic review
Trends
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis - complications
Tuberculosis - drug therapy
Tuberculosis - microbiology
Tuberculosis - mortality
Young Adult
title Mortality during treatment for tuberculosis; a review of surveillance data in a rural county in Kenya
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