Racial/ethnic differences in multimorbidity development and chronic disease accumulation for middle-aged adults

Multimorbidity-having two or more coexisting chronic conditions-is highly prevalent, costly, and disabling to older adults. Questions remain regarding chronic diseases accumulation over time and whether this differs by racial and ethnic background. Answering this knowledge gap, this study identifies...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2019-06, Vol.14 (6), p.e0218462-e0218462
Hauptverfasser: Quiñones, Ana R, Botoseneanu, Anda, Markwardt, Sheila, Nagel, Corey L, Newsom, Jason T, Dorr, David A, Allore, Heather G
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creator Quiñones, Ana R
Botoseneanu, Anda
Markwardt, Sheila
Nagel, Corey L
Newsom, Jason T
Dorr, David A
Allore, Heather G
description Multimorbidity-having two or more coexisting chronic conditions-is highly prevalent, costly, and disabling to older adults. Questions remain regarding chronic diseases accumulation over time and whether this differs by racial and ethnic background. Answering this knowledge gap, this study identifies differences in rates of chronic disease accumulation and multimorbidity development among non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic study participants starting in middle-age and followed up to 16 years. We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a biennial, ongoing, publicly-available, longitudinal nationally-representative study of middle-aged and older adults in the United States. We assessed the change in chronic disease burden among 8,872 non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants who were 51-55 years of age at their first interview any time during the study period (1998-2014) and all subsequent follow-up observations until 2014. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more of seven somatic chronic diseases: arthritis, cancer, heart disease (myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease, angina, congestive heart failure, or other heart problems), diabetes, hypertension, lung disease, and stroke. We used negative binomial generalized estimating equation models to assess the trajectories of multimorbidity burden over time for non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants. In covariate-adjusted models non-Hispanic black respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 28% higher than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.279, 95% CI 1.201, 1.361), while Hispanic respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 15% lower than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 0.852, 95% CI 0.775, 0.938). Non-Hispanic black respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.1% slower than non-Hispanic whites (IRR 0.989, 95% CI 0.981, 0.998) and Hispanic respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.5% faster than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.015, 95% CI 1.002, 1.028). Using marginal effects commands, this translates to predicted values of chronic disease for white respondents who begin the study period with 0.98 chronic diseases and end with 2.8 chronic diseases; black respondents who begin the study period with 1.3 chronic diseases and end with 3.3 chronic diseases; and Hispanic respondents who begin the study period with 0.84 chronic disease
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Questions remain regarding chronic diseases accumulation over time and whether this differs by racial and ethnic background. Answering this knowledge gap, this study identifies differences in rates of chronic disease accumulation and multimorbidity development among non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic study participants starting in middle-age and followed up to 16 years. We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a biennial, ongoing, publicly-available, longitudinal nationally-representative study of middle-aged and older adults in the United States. We assessed the change in chronic disease burden among 8,872 non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants who were 51-55 years of age at their first interview any time during the study period (1998-2014) and all subsequent follow-up observations until 2014. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more of seven somatic chronic diseases: arthritis, cancer, heart disease (myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease, angina, congestive heart failure, or other heart problems), diabetes, hypertension, lung disease, and stroke. We used negative binomial generalized estimating equation models to assess the trajectories of multimorbidity burden over time for non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants. In covariate-adjusted models non-Hispanic black respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 28% higher than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.279, 95% CI 1.201, 1.361), while Hispanic respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 15% lower than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 0.852, 95% CI 0.775, 0.938). Non-Hispanic black respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.1% slower than non-Hispanic whites (IRR 0.989, 95% CI 0.981, 0.998) and Hispanic respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.5% faster than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.015, 95% CI 1.002, 1.028). Using marginal effects commands, this translates to predicted values of chronic disease for white respondents who begin the study period with 0.98 chronic diseases and end with 2.8 chronic diseases; black respondents who begin the study period with 1.3 chronic diseases and end with 3.3 chronic diseases; and Hispanic respondents who begin the study period with 0.84 chronic diseases and end with 2.7 chronic diseases. Middle-aged non-Hispanic black adults start at a higher level of chronic disease burden and develop multimorbidity at an earlier age, on average, than their non-Hispanic white counterparts. Hispanics, on the other hand, accumulate chronic disease at a faster rate relative to non-Hispanic white adults. Our findings have important implications for improving primary and secondary chronic disease prevention efforts among non-Hispanic black and Hispanic Americans to stave off greater multimorbidity-related health impacts.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218462</identifier><identifier>PMID: 31206556</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Accumulation ; Adults ; African Americans ; Age ; Angina ; Angina pectoris ; Arthritis ; Cardiovascular diseases ; Care and treatment ; Cerebral infarction ; Chronic conditions ; Chronic Disease - epidemiology ; Chronic Disease - ethnology ; Chronic diseases ; Chronic illnesses ; Comorbidity ; Congestive heart failure ; Continental Population Groups ; Coronary artery disease ; Coronary heart disease ; Diabetes ; Diabetes mellitus ; Disease control ; Elderly ; Ethnic Groups ; Ethnicity ; European Continental Ancestry Group ; Female ; Health aspects ; Heart attack ; Heart attacks ; Heart diseases ; Heart failure ; Hispanic Americans ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Lung diseases ; Male ; Medical records ; Medical research ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Middle age ; Middle Aged ; Minority &amp; ethnic groups ; Multimorbidity ; Multimorbidity - trends ; Myocardial infarction ; Older people ; People and Places ; Physical Sciences ; Population ; Public health ; Race ; Respiratory tract diseases ; Retirement ; Socioeconomic factors ; Stroke ; Trajectory analysis ; United States</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2019-06, Vol.14 (6), p.e0218462-e0218462</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2019 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2019 Quiñones et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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Questions remain regarding chronic diseases accumulation over time and whether this differs by racial and ethnic background. Answering this knowledge gap, this study identifies differences in rates of chronic disease accumulation and multimorbidity development among non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic study participants starting in middle-age and followed up to 16 years. We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a biennial, ongoing, publicly-available, longitudinal nationally-representative study of middle-aged and older adults in the United States. We assessed the change in chronic disease burden among 8,872 non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants who were 51-55 years of age at their first interview any time during the study period (1998-2014) and all subsequent follow-up observations until 2014. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more of seven somatic chronic diseases: arthritis, cancer, heart disease (myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease, angina, congestive heart failure, or other heart problems), diabetes, hypertension, lung disease, and stroke. We used negative binomial generalized estimating equation models to assess the trajectories of multimorbidity burden over time for non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants. In covariate-adjusted models non-Hispanic black respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 28% higher than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.279, 95% CI 1.201, 1.361), while Hispanic respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 15% lower than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 0.852, 95% CI 0.775, 0.938). Non-Hispanic black respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.1% slower than non-Hispanic whites (IRR 0.989, 95% CI 0.981, 0.998) and Hispanic respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.5% faster than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.015, 95% CI 1.002, 1.028). Using marginal effects commands, this translates to predicted values of chronic disease for white respondents who begin the study period with 0.98 chronic diseases and end with 2.8 chronic diseases; black respondents who begin the study period with 1.3 chronic diseases and end with 3.3 chronic diseases; and Hispanic respondents who begin the study period with 0.84 chronic diseases and end with 2.7 chronic diseases. Middle-aged non-Hispanic black adults start at a higher level of chronic disease burden and develop multimorbidity at an earlier age, on average, than their non-Hispanic white counterparts. Hispanics, on the other hand, accumulate chronic disease at a faster rate relative to non-Hispanic white adults. Our findings have important implications for improving primary and secondary chronic disease prevention efforts among non-Hispanic black and Hispanic Americans to stave off greater multimorbidity-related health impacts.</description><subject>Accumulation</subject><subject>Adults</subject><subject>African Americans</subject><subject>Age</subject><subject>Angina</subject><subject>Angina pectoris</subject><subject>Arthritis</subject><subject>Cardiovascular diseases</subject><subject>Care and treatment</subject><subject>Cerebral infarction</subject><subject>Chronic conditions</subject><subject>Chronic Disease - epidemiology</subject><subject>Chronic Disease - ethnology</subject><subject>Chronic diseases</subject><subject>Chronic illnesses</subject><subject>Comorbidity</subject><subject>Congestive heart failure</subject><subject>Continental Population Groups</subject><subject>Coronary artery disease</subject><subject>Coronary heart disease</subject><subject>Diabetes</subject><subject>Diabetes mellitus</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Elderly</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups</subject><subject>Ethnicity</subject><subject>European Continental Ancestry Group</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Health aspects</subject><subject>Heart attack</subject><subject>Heart attacks</subject><subject>Heart diseases</subject><subject>Heart failure</subject><subject>Hispanic Americans</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Hypertension</subject><subject>Lung diseases</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical records</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Middle age</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Minority &amp; 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Questions remain regarding chronic diseases accumulation over time and whether this differs by racial and ethnic background. Answering this knowledge gap, this study identifies differences in rates of chronic disease accumulation and multimorbidity development among non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic study participants starting in middle-age and followed up to 16 years. We analyzed data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a biennial, ongoing, publicly-available, longitudinal nationally-representative study of middle-aged and older adults in the United States. We assessed the change in chronic disease burden among 8,872 non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants who were 51-55 years of age at their first interview any time during the study period (1998-2014) and all subsequent follow-up observations until 2014. Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more of seven somatic chronic diseases: arthritis, cancer, heart disease (myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease, angina, congestive heart failure, or other heart problems), diabetes, hypertension, lung disease, and stroke. We used negative binomial generalized estimating equation models to assess the trajectories of multimorbidity burden over time for non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic participants. In covariate-adjusted models non-Hispanic black respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 28% higher than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.279, 95% CI 1.201, 1.361), while Hispanic respondents had initial chronic disease counts that were 15% lower than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 0.852, 95% CI 0.775, 0.938). Non-Hispanic black respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.1% slower than non-Hispanic whites (IRR 0.989, 95% CI 0.981, 0.998) and Hispanic respondents had rates of chronic disease accumulation that were 1.5% faster than non-Hispanic white respondents (IRR 1.015, 95% CI 1.002, 1.028). Using marginal effects commands, this translates to predicted values of chronic disease for white respondents who begin the study period with 0.98 chronic diseases and end with 2.8 chronic diseases; black respondents who begin the study period with 1.3 chronic diseases and end with 3.3 chronic diseases; and Hispanic respondents who begin the study period with 0.84 chronic diseases and end with 2.7 chronic diseases. Middle-aged non-Hispanic black adults start at a higher level of chronic disease burden and develop multimorbidity at an earlier age, on average, than their non-Hispanic white counterparts. Hispanics, on the other hand, accumulate chronic disease at a faster rate relative to non-Hispanic white adults. Our findings have important implications for improving primary and secondary chronic disease prevention efforts among non-Hispanic black and Hispanic Americans to stave off greater multimorbidity-related health impacts.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>31206556</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0218462</doi><tpages>e0218462</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6554-7734</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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1932-6203
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subjects Accumulation
Adults
African Americans
Age
Angina
Angina pectoris
Arthritis
Cardiovascular diseases
Care and treatment
Cerebral infarction
Chronic conditions
Chronic Disease - epidemiology
Chronic Disease - ethnology
Chronic diseases
Chronic illnesses
Comorbidity
Congestive heart failure
Continental Population Groups
Coronary artery disease
Coronary heart disease
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus
Disease control
Elderly
Ethnic Groups
Ethnicity
European Continental Ancestry Group
Female
Health aspects
Heart attack
Heart attacks
Heart diseases
Heart failure
Hispanic Americans
Humans
Hypertension
Lung diseases
Male
Medical records
Medical research
Medicine and Health Sciences
Middle age
Middle Aged
Minority & ethnic groups
Multimorbidity
Multimorbidity - trends
Myocardial infarction
Older people
People and Places
Physical Sciences
Population
Public health
Race
Respiratory tract diseases
Retirement
Socioeconomic factors
Stroke
Trajectory analysis
United States
title Racial/ethnic differences in multimorbidity development and chronic disease accumulation for middle-aged adults
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