Transmissibility of the Influenza Virus during Influenza Outbreaks and Related Asymptomatic Infection in Mainland China, 2005-2013

We collected 2768 Influenza-like illness emergency public health incidents from April 1, 2005 to November 30, 2013reported in the Emergency Public Reporting System. After screening by strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, there were 613 outbreaks analyzed with susceptible-exposed-infectious/asymp...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2016-11, Vol.11 (11), p.e0166180-e0166180
Hauptverfasser: Chen, Tao, Chen, Tianmu, Liu, Ruchun, Xu, Cuiling, Wang, Dayan, Chen, Faming, Zhu, Wenfei, Zhang, Xixing, Yang, Jing, Wang, Lijie, Xie, Zhi, Chen, Yongkun, Bai, Tian, Li, Yelan, Wang, Zhiyu, Zhang, Min, Chen, Shuilian, Shu, Yuelong
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container_issue 11
container_start_page e0166180
container_title PloS one
container_volume 11
creator Chen, Tao
Chen, Tianmu
Liu, Ruchun
Xu, Cuiling
Wang, Dayan
Chen, Faming
Zhu, Wenfei
Zhang, Xixing
Yang, Jing
Wang, Lijie
Xie, Zhi
Chen, Yongkun
Bai, Tian
Li, Yelan
Wang, Zhiyu
Zhang, Min
Chen, Shuilian
Shu, Yuelong
description We collected 2768 Influenza-like illness emergency public health incidents from April 1, 2005 to November 30, 2013reported in the Emergency Public Reporting System. After screening by strict inclusion and exclusion criteria, there were 613 outbreaks analyzed with susceptible-exposed-infectious/asymptomatic-removed model in order to estimate the proportion of asymptomatic individuals (p) and the effective reproduction number (Rt). The relation between Rt and viral subtypes, regions, outbreak sites, populations, and seasons were analyzed. The mean values of p of different subtypes ranged from 0.09 to 0.15, but could be as high as up to 0.94. Different subtypes, provinces, regions, and sites of outbreak had statistically significantly different Rt. In particular, the southern region also manifested different Rt by affected population size and seasonality. Our results provide China and also the rest of the world a reference to understand characteristics of transmission and develop prevention and control strategies.
doi_str_mv 10.1371/journal.pone.0166180
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Our results provide China and also the rest of the world a reference to understand characteristics of transmission and develop prevention and control strategies.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>27880774</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0166180</doi><tpages>e0166180</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Asymptomatic infection
Biology and life sciences
China - epidemiology
Collaboration
Control
Disease control
Disease Outbreaks
Disease prevention
Disease transmission
Epidemics
Family planning
Health aspects
Health surveillance
Humans
Illnesses
Infections
Infectious diseases
Influenza
Influenza viruses
Influenza, Human - epidemiology
Influenza, Human - transmission
Influenza, Human - virology
Laboratories
Medical diagnosis
Medicine and Health Sciences
Models, Theoretical
Ordinary differential equations
Orthomyxoviridae - classification
Orthomyxoviridae - isolation & purification
Outbreaks
Pandemics
People and Places
Population number
Population Surveillance
Prevention
Public health
Seasonal variations
Seasons
Social Sciences
Swine flu
Virology
Virus diseases
Viruses
title Transmissibility of the Influenza Virus during Influenza Outbreaks and Related Asymptomatic Infection in Mainland China, 2005-2013
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