Ecological niche and geographic distribution of human monkeypox in Africa
Monkeypox virus, a zoonotic member of the genus Orthopoxviridae, can cause a severe, smallpox-like illness in humans. Monkeypox virus is thought to be endemic to forested areas of western and Central Africa. Considerably more is known about human monkeypox disease occurrence than about natural sylva...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2007-01, Vol.2 (1), p.e176-e176 |
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| creator | Levine, Rebecca S Peterson, A Townsend Yorita, Krista L Carroll, Darin Damon, Inger K Reynolds, Mary G |
| description | Monkeypox virus, a zoonotic member of the genus Orthopoxviridae, can cause a severe, smallpox-like illness in humans. Monkeypox virus is thought to be endemic to forested areas of western and Central Africa. Considerably more is known about human monkeypox disease occurrence than about natural sylvatic cycles of this virus in non-human animal hosts. We use human monkeypox case data from Africa for 1970-2003 in an ecological niche modeling framework to construct predictive models of the ecological requirements and geographic distribution of monkeypox virus across West and Central Africa. Tests of internal predictive ability using different subsets of input data show the model to be highly robust and suggest that the distinct phylogenetic lineages of monkeypox in West Africa and Central Africa occupy similar ecological niches. High mean annual precipitation and low elevations were shown to be highly correlated with human monkeypox disease occurrence. The synthetic picture of the potential geographic distribution of human monkeypox in Africa resulting from this study should support ongoing epidemiologic and ecological studies, as well as help to guide public health intervention strategies to areas at highest risk for human monkeypox. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0000176 |
| format | Article |
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The synthetic picture of the potential geographic distribution of human monkeypox in Africa resulting from this study should support ongoing epidemiologic and ecological studies, as well as help to guide public health intervention strategies to areas at highest risk for human monkeypox.</description><subject>Africa - epidemiology</subject><subject>Algorithms</subject><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Annual precipitation</subject><subject>Biodiversity</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Data collection</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Disease prevention</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Ecological effects</subject><subject>Ecological monitoring</subject><subject>Ecological niches</subject><subject>Ecological studies</subject><subject>Ecology</subject><subject>Ecosystem</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Geographical distribution</subject><subject>Geography</subject><subject>Health promotion</subject><subject>Human monkeypox</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Infectious Diseases</subject><subject>Informatics</subject><subject>Information science</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>Mean annual precipitation</subject><subject>Medical laboratories</subject><subject>Microscopy</subject><subject>Models, Theoretical</subject><subject>Monkeypox</subject><subject>Monkeypox virus - 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Monkeypox virus is thought to be endemic to forested areas of western and Central Africa. Considerably more is known about human monkeypox disease occurrence than about natural sylvatic cycles of this virus in non-human animal hosts. We use human monkeypox case data from Africa for 1970-2003 in an ecological niche modeling framework to construct predictive models of the ecological requirements and geographic distribution of monkeypox virus across West and Central Africa. Tests of internal predictive ability using different subsets of input data show the model to be highly robust and suggest that the distinct phylogenetic lineages of monkeypox in West Africa and Central Africa occupy similar ecological niches. High mean annual precipitation and low elevations were shown to be highly correlated with human monkeypox disease occurrence. The synthetic picture of the potential geographic distribution of human monkeypox in Africa resulting from this study should support ongoing epidemiologic and ecological studies, as well as help to guide public health intervention strategies to areas at highest risk for human monkeypox.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>17268575</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0000176</doi><tpages>e176</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| source | MEDLINE; DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals; Public Library of Science (PLoS) Journals Open Access; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; PubMed Central; Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry |
| subjects | Africa - epidemiology Algorithms Analysis Animals Annual precipitation Biodiversity Climate change Data collection Disease control Disease prevention Disease transmission Ecological effects Ecological monitoring Ecological niches Ecological studies Ecology Ecosystem Epidemiology Geographical distribution Geography Health promotion Human monkeypox Humans Infectious Diseases Informatics Information science Mathematical models Mean annual precipitation Medical laboratories Microscopy Models, Theoretical Monkeypox Monkeypox virus - pathogenicity Mpox (monkeypox) - epidemiology Niche (Ecology) Niches Orthopoxvirus Parasitic diseases Phylogeny Prediction models Public health Public Health and Epidemiology Smallpox Studies Trees Tropical diseases Viral infections Virology Viruses World Health Organization Zoonoses |
| title | Ecological niche and geographic distribution of human monkeypox in Africa |
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