Temperature drops and the onset of severe avian influenza A H5N1 virus outbreaks
Global influenza surveillance is one of the most effective strategies for containing outbreaks and preparing for a possible pandemic influenza. Since the end of 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAI) H5N1 have caused many outbreaks in poultries and wild birds from East Asia and have...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2007-02, Vol.2 (2), p.e191-e191 |
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| creator | Liu, Chung-Ming Lin, Shu-Hua Chen, Ying-Chen Lin, Katherine Chun-Min Wu, Tsung-Shu Joseph King, Chwan-Chuen |
| description | Global influenza surveillance is one of the most effective strategies for containing outbreaks and preparing for a possible pandemic influenza. Since the end of 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAI) H5N1 have caused many outbreaks in poultries and wild birds from East Asia and have spread to at least 48 countries. For such a fast and wide-spreading virulent pathogen, prediction based on changes of micro- and macro-environment has rarely been evaluated. In this study, we are developing a new climatic approach by investigating the conditions that occurred before the H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks for early predicting future HPAI outbreaks and preventing pandemic disasters. The results show a temperature drop shortly before these outbreaks in birds in each of the Eurasian regions stricken in 2005 and 2006. Dust storms, like those that struck near China's Lake Qinghai around May 4, 2005, exacerbated the spread of this HPAI H5N1 virus, causing the deaths of a record number of wild birds and triggering the subsequent spread of H5N1. Weather monitoring could play an important role in the early warning of outbreaks of this potentially dangerous virus. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0000191 |
| format | Article |
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Since the end of 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAI) H5N1 have caused many outbreaks in poultries and wild birds from East Asia and have spread to at least 48 countries. For such a fast and wide-spreading virulent pathogen, prediction based on changes of micro- and macro-environment has rarely been evaluated. In this study, we are developing a new climatic approach by investigating the conditions that occurred before the H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks for early predicting future HPAI outbreaks and preventing pandemic disasters. The results show a temperature drop shortly before these outbreaks in birds in each of the Eurasian regions stricken in 2005 and 2006. Dust storms, like those that struck near China's Lake Qinghai around May 4, 2005, exacerbated the spread of this HPAI H5N1 virus, causing the deaths of a record number of wild birds and triggering the subsequent spread of H5N1. Weather monitoring could play an important role in the early warning of outbreaks of this potentially dangerous virus.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0000191</identifier><identifier>PMID: 17297505</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Animals ; Asia - epidemiology ; Avian flu ; Avian influenza ; Avian influenza viruses ; Bird migration ; Birds ; Birds - virology ; China - epidemiology ; Cold Temperature ; Cytokines ; Disasters ; Disease Outbreaks - veterinary ; Disease Susceptibility ; Disease transmission ; Dust ; Dust storms ; Emergency preparedness ; Emergency warning programs ; Environmental monitoring ; Epidemics ; Epidemiology ; Europe - epidemiology ; Gene expression ; Infectious Diseases ; Influenza ; Influenza A ; Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype ; Influenza in Birds - epidemiology ; Laboratories ; Outbreaks ; Pandemics ; Poultry ; Poultry - virology ; Poultry Diseases - epidemiology ; Predictions ; Public health ; Science ; Storms ; Stress, Physiological ; Temperature ; Thyroid gland ; Virology ; Virulence (Microbiology) ; Viruses ; Weather</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2007-02, Vol.2 (2), p.e191-e191</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2007 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2007 Liu et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. 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Since the end of 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAI) H5N1 have caused many outbreaks in poultries and wild birds from East Asia and have spread to at least 48 countries. For such a fast and wide-spreading virulent pathogen, prediction based on changes of micro- and macro-environment has rarely been evaluated. In this study, we are developing a new climatic approach by investigating the conditions that occurred before the H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks for early predicting future HPAI outbreaks and preventing pandemic disasters. The results show a temperature drop shortly before these outbreaks in birds in each of the Eurasian regions stricken in 2005 and 2006. Dust storms, like those that struck near China's Lake Qinghai around May 4, 2005, exacerbated the spread of this HPAI H5N1 virus, causing the deaths of a record number of wild birds and triggering the subsequent spread of H5N1. Weather monitoring could play an important role in the early warning of outbreaks of this potentially dangerous virus.</description><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Asia - epidemiology</subject><subject>Avian flu</subject><subject>Avian influenza</subject><subject>Avian influenza viruses</subject><subject>Bird migration</subject><subject>Birds</subject><subject>Birds - virology</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Cold Temperature</subject><subject>Cytokines</subject><subject>Disasters</subject><subject>Disease Outbreaks - veterinary</subject><subject>Disease Susceptibility</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Dust</subject><subject>Dust storms</subject><subject>Emergency preparedness</subject><subject>Emergency warning programs</subject><subject>Environmental monitoring</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Europe - epidemiology</subject><subject>Gene expression</subject><subject>Infectious Diseases</subject><subject>Influenza</subject><subject>Influenza A</subject><subject>Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype</subject><subject>Influenza in Birds - 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Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><collection>DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Liu, Chung-Ming</au><au>Lin, Shu-Hua</au><au>Chen, Ying-Chen</au><au>Lin, Katherine Chun-Min</au><au>Wu, Tsung-Shu Joseph</au><au>King, Chwan-Chuen</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Temperature drops and the onset of severe avian influenza A H5N1 virus outbreaks</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2007-02-07</date><risdate>2007</risdate><volume>2</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>e191</spage><epage>e191</epage><pages>e191-e191</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Global influenza surveillance is one of the most effective strategies for containing outbreaks and preparing for a possible pandemic influenza. Since the end of 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAI) H5N1 have caused many outbreaks in poultries and wild birds from East Asia and have spread to at least 48 countries. For such a fast and wide-spreading virulent pathogen, prediction based on changes of micro- and macro-environment has rarely been evaluated. In this study, we are developing a new climatic approach by investigating the conditions that occurred before the H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks for early predicting future HPAI outbreaks and preventing pandemic disasters. The results show a temperature drop shortly before these outbreaks in birds in each of the Eurasian regions stricken in 2005 and 2006. Dust storms, like those that struck near China's Lake Qinghai around May 4, 2005, exacerbated the spread of this HPAI H5N1 virus, causing the deaths of a record number of wild birds and triggering the subsequent spread of H5N1. Weather monitoring could play an important role in the early warning of outbreaks of this potentially dangerous virus.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>17297505</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0000191</doi><tpages>e191</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Animals Asia - epidemiology Avian flu Avian influenza Avian influenza viruses Bird migration Birds Birds - virology China - epidemiology Cold Temperature Cytokines Disasters Disease Outbreaks - veterinary Disease Susceptibility Disease transmission Dust Dust storms Emergency preparedness Emergency warning programs Environmental monitoring Epidemics Epidemiology Europe - epidemiology Gene expression Infectious Diseases Influenza Influenza A Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype Influenza in Birds - epidemiology Laboratories Outbreaks Pandemics Poultry Poultry - virology Poultry Diseases - epidemiology Predictions Public health Science Storms Stress, Physiological Temperature Thyroid gland Virology Virulence (Microbiology) Viruses Weather |
| title | Temperature drops and the onset of severe avian influenza A H5N1 virus outbreaks |
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