Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China
We aimed to evaluate the relationships between climate variability, animal reservoirs and scrub typhus incidence in Southern China. We obtained data on scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou every month from 2006 to 2014 from the Chinese communicable disease network. Time-series Poisson regression models a...
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| creator | Wei, Yuehong Huang, Yong Li, Xiaoning Ma, Yu Tao, Xia Wu, Xinwei Yang, Zhicong |
| description | We aimed to evaluate the relationships between climate variability, animal reservoirs and scrub typhus incidence in Southern China.
We obtained data on scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou every month from 2006 to 2014 from the Chinese communicable disease network. Time-series Poisson regression models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to evaluate the relationship between risk factors and scrub typhus.
Wavelet analysis found the incidence of scrub typhus cycled with a period of approximately 8-12 months and long-term trends with a period of approximately 24-36 months. The DLNM model shows that relative humidity, rainfall, DTR, MEI and rodent density were associated with the incidence of scrub typhus.
Our findings suggest that the incidence scrub typhus has two main temporal cycles. Determining the reason for this trend and how it can be used for disease control and prevention requires additional research. The transmission of scrub typhus is highly dependent on climate factors and rodent density, both of which should be considered in prevention and control strategies for scrub typhus. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005447 |
| format | Article |
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We obtained data on scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou every month from 2006 to 2014 from the Chinese communicable disease network. Time-series Poisson regression models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to evaluate the relationship between risk factors and scrub typhus.
Wavelet analysis found the incidence of scrub typhus cycled with a period of approximately 8-12 months and long-term trends with a period of approximately 24-36 months. The DLNM model shows that relative humidity, rainfall, DTR, MEI and rodent density were associated with the incidence of scrub typhus.
Our findings suggest that the incidence scrub typhus has two main temporal cycles. Determining the reason for this trend and how it can be used for disease control and prevention requires additional research. The transmission of scrub typhus is highly dependent on climate factors and rodent density, both of which should be considered in prevention and control strategies for scrub typhus.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1935-2735</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1935-2727</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1935-2735</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005447</identifier><identifier>PMID: 28273079</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Abundance ; Air conditioning ; Animal models ; Animals ; Atmospheric models ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Cadmium ; Carbon dioxide ; China - epidemiology ; Climate ; Climate change ; Climate variability ; Cutaneous leishmaniasis ; Data acquisition ; Data processing ; Deer ; Diagnosis ; Disease control ; Disease prevention ; Disease Reservoirs ; Disease transmission ; Earth Sciences ; Epidemics ; Fever ; Glass ; Hemorrhage ; Incidence ; Indicators ; Infectious diseases ; Influence ; Influenza ; Kidneys ; Larvae ; Malaria ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Meningitis ; Orientia tsutsugamushi ; Parks ; People and Places ; Physical Sciences ; Plague ; Population density ; Populations ; Prevention ; Public health ; Rainfall ; Regression analysis ; Relative humidity ; Risk Factors ; Rodentia - growth & development ; Science ; Scrub typhus ; Scrub Typhus - epidemiology ; Scrub Typhus - transmission ; Seasons ; Skin ; Southern Oscillation ; Studies ; Temperature effects ; Transmission rate (communications) ; Tropical diseases ; Typhus ; Ulcers ; Vectors (Biology) ; Viruses</subject><ispartof>PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2017-03, Vol.11 (3), p.e0005447-e0005447</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2017 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2017 Public Library of Science. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited: Wei Y, Huang Y, Li X, Ma Y, Tao X, Wu X, et al. (2017) Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 11(3): e0005447. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005447</rights><rights>2017 Wei et al 2017 Wei et al</rights><rights>2017 Public Library of Science. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited: Wei Y, Huang Y, Li X, Ma Y, Tao X, Wu X, et al. (2017) Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 11(3): e0005447. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005447</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c624t-7b6b8f2d969091f3b8785e1d0a72d5697035137d8efab9e1fa1a70e055d692893</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c624t-7b6b8f2d969091f3b8785e1d0a72d5697035137d8efab9e1fa1a70e055d692893</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-5583-1536</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5358896/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5358896/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,724,777,781,861,882,2096,2915,23847,27905,27906,53772,53774,79349,79350</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28273079$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><contributor>Small, Pamela L. C.</contributor><creatorcontrib>Wei, Yuehong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Yong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Xiaoning</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ma, Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tao, Xia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, Xinwei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yang, Zhicong</creatorcontrib><title>Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China</title><title>PLoS neglected tropical diseases</title><addtitle>PLoS Negl Trop Dis</addtitle><description>We aimed to evaluate the relationships between climate variability, animal reservoirs and scrub typhus incidence in Southern China.
We obtained data on scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou every month from 2006 to 2014 from the Chinese communicable disease network. Time-series Poisson regression models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to evaluate the relationship between risk factors and scrub typhus.
Wavelet analysis found the incidence of scrub typhus cycled with a period of approximately 8-12 months and long-term trends with a period of approximately 24-36 months. The DLNM model shows that relative humidity, rainfall, DTR, MEI and rodent density were associated with the incidence of scrub typhus.
Our findings suggest that the incidence scrub typhus has two main temporal cycles. Determining the reason for this trend and how it can be used for disease control and prevention requires additional research. The transmission of scrub typhus is highly dependent on climate factors and rodent density, both of which should be considered in prevention and control strategies for scrub typhus.</description><subject>Abundance</subject><subject>Air conditioning</subject><subject>Animal models</subject><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Atmospheric models</subject><subject>Biology and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Cadmium</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate variability</subject><subject>Cutaneous leishmaniasis</subject><subject>Data acquisition</subject><subject>Data processing</subject><subject>Deer</subject><subject>Diagnosis</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Disease prevention</subject><subject>Disease Reservoirs</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Fever</subject><subject>Glass</subject><subject>Hemorrhage</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Indicators</subject><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subject>Influence</subject><subject>Influenza</subject><subject>Kidneys</subject><subject>Larvae</subject><subject>Malaria</subject><subject>Medicine and Health Sciences</subject><subject>Meningitis</subject><subject>Orientia tsutsugamushi</subject><subject>Parks</subject><subject>People and Places</subject><subject>Physical Sciences</subject><subject>Plague</subject><subject>Population density</subject><subject>Populations</subject><subject>Prevention</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Regression analysis</subject><subject>Relative humidity</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Rodentia - growth & development</subject><subject>Science</subject><subject>Scrub typhus</subject><subject>Scrub Typhus - epidemiology</subject><subject>Scrub Typhus - transmission</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Skin</subject><subject>Southern Oscillation</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Temperature effects</subject><subject>Transmission rate (communications)</subject><subject>Tropical diseases</subject><subject>Typhus</subject><subject>Ulcers</subject><subject>Vectors (Biology)</subject><subject>Viruses</subject><issn>1935-2735</issn><issn>1935-2727</issn><issn>1935-2735</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2017</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNptkl-L1DAUxYso7rr6DUQLgvjgjEnbNMnLwjL4Z2HBBxV8C7dNMs2QScYkHZhvb-p0lxlZ-pBy8rsnuSe3KF5jtMQ1xZ82fgwO7HLnklwihEjT0CfFJeY1WVS0Jk9P_i-KFzFuMsMJw8-Li4plFVF-WfxeWbOFpMo9BAOdsSYdPpbgsmjLoKIKe29CFmSZAri4NTEa70qvy9iHsSvTYTeMsTSu_OHHNKjgytVgHLwsnmmwUb2a16vi15fPP1ffFnffv96ubu4WfVs1aUG7tmO6krzliGNdd4wyorBEQCtJWk5RTXK7kikNHVdYAwaKFCJEtrxivL4q3h59d9ZHMYcSBWaMtaRtmom4PRLSw0bsQm4tHIQHI_4JPqwFhGR6qwTrJCYaMU00NAhaaGRHgKtOY02o7LPX9Xza2G2V7JXLqdgz0_MdZwax9ntBasIYb7PBh9kg-D-jiknkRHtlLTjlx-nelLeEsgpl9N1_6OPdzdQacgPGaZ_P7SdTcZO3sxFFVaaWj1D5k2preu-UNlk_K3h_UjAosGmI3o4pP348B5sj2AcfY1D6IQyMxDSo97cW06CKeVBz2ZvTIB-K7iez_gs6v-WR</recordid><startdate>20170308</startdate><enddate>20170308</enddate><creator>Wei, Yuehong</creator><creator>Huang, Yong</creator><creator>Li, Xiaoning</creator><creator>Ma, Yu</creator><creator>Tao, Xia</creator><creator>Wu, Xinwei</creator><creator>Yang, Zhicong</creator><general>Public Library of Science</general><general>Public Library of Science (PLoS)</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7T2</scope><scope>7T7</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>H95</scope><scope>H97</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5583-1536</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20170308</creationdate><title>Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China</title><author>Wei, Yuehong ; Huang, Yong ; Li, Xiaoning ; Ma, Yu ; Tao, Xia ; Wu, Xinwei ; Yang, Zhicong</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c624t-7b6b8f2d969091f3b8785e1d0a72d5697035137d8efab9e1fa1a70e055d692893</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2017</creationdate><topic>Abundance</topic><topic>Air conditioning</topic><topic>Animal models</topic><topic>Animals</topic><topic>Atmospheric models</topic><topic>Biology and Life Sciences</topic><topic>Cadmium</topic><topic>Carbon dioxide</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Climate</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate variability</topic><topic>Cutaneous leishmaniasis</topic><topic>Data acquisition</topic><topic>Data processing</topic><topic>Deer</topic><topic>Diagnosis</topic><topic>Disease control</topic><topic>Disease prevention</topic><topic>Disease Reservoirs</topic><topic>Disease transmission</topic><topic>Earth Sciences</topic><topic>Epidemics</topic><topic>Fever</topic><topic>Glass</topic><topic>Hemorrhage</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Indicators</topic><topic>Infectious diseases</topic><topic>Influence</topic><topic>Influenza</topic><topic>Kidneys</topic><topic>Larvae</topic><topic>Malaria</topic><topic>Medicine and Health Sciences</topic><topic>Meningitis</topic><topic>Orientia tsutsugamushi</topic><topic>Parks</topic><topic>People and Places</topic><topic>Physical Sciences</topic><topic>Plague</topic><topic>Population density</topic><topic>Populations</topic><topic>Prevention</topic><topic>Public health</topic><topic>Rainfall</topic><topic>Regression analysis</topic><topic>Relative humidity</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Rodentia - growth & development</topic><topic>Science</topic><topic>Scrub typhus</topic><topic>Scrub Typhus - epidemiology</topic><topic>Scrub Typhus - transmission</topic><topic>Seasons</topic><topic>Skin</topic><topic>Southern Oscillation</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Temperature effects</topic><topic>Transmission rate (communications)</topic><topic>Tropical diseases</topic><topic>Typhus</topic><topic>Ulcers</topic><topic>Vectors (Biology)</topic><topic>Viruses</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Wei, Yuehong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Yong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Xiaoning</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ma, Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tao, Xia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, Xinwei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yang, Zhicong</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B)</collection><collection>Entomology Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Health and Safety Science Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Industrial and Applied Microbiology Abstracts (Microbiology A)</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Public Health Database</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Sustainability</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 1: Biological Sciences & Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 3: Aquatic Pollution & Environmental Quality</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><collection>DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>PLoS neglected tropical diseases</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Wei, Yuehong</au><au>Huang, Yong</au><au>Li, Xiaoning</au><au>Ma, Yu</au><au>Tao, Xia</au><au>Wu, Xinwei</au><au>Yang, Zhicong</au><au>Small, Pamela L. C.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China</atitle><jtitle>PLoS neglected tropical diseases</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS Negl Trop Dis</addtitle><date>2017-03-08</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>11</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>e0005447</spage><epage>e0005447</epage><pages>e0005447-e0005447</pages><issn>1935-2735</issn><issn>1935-2727</issn><eissn>1935-2735</eissn><abstract>We aimed to evaluate the relationships between climate variability, animal reservoirs and scrub typhus incidence in Southern China.
We obtained data on scrub typhus cases in Guangzhou every month from 2006 to 2014 from the Chinese communicable disease network. Time-series Poisson regression models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) were used to evaluate the relationship between risk factors and scrub typhus.
Wavelet analysis found the incidence of scrub typhus cycled with a period of approximately 8-12 months and long-term trends with a period of approximately 24-36 months. The DLNM model shows that relative humidity, rainfall, DTR, MEI and rodent density were associated with the incidence of scrub typhus.
Our findings suggest that the incidence scrub typhus has two main temporal cycles. Determining the reason for this trend and how it can be used for disease control and prevention requires additional research. The transmission of scrub typhus is highly dependent on climate factors and rodent density, both of which should be considered in prevention and control strategies for scrub typhus.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>28273079</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pntd.0005447</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5583-1536</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| source | MEDLINE; DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; PubMed Central Open Access; Public Library of Science (PLoS); PubMed Central |
| subjects | Abundance Air conditioning Animal models Animals Atmospheric models Biology and Life Sciences Cadmium Carbon dioxide China - epidemiology Climate Climate change Climate variability Cutaneous leishmaniasis Data acquisition Data processing Deer Diagnosis Disease control Disease prevention Disease Reservoirs Disease transmission Earth Sciences Epidemics Fever Glass Hemorrhage Incidence Indicators Infectious diseases Influence Influenza Kidneys Larvae Malaria Medicine and Health Sciences Meningitis Orientia tsutsugamushi Parks People and Places Physical Sciences Plague Population density Populations Prevention Public health Rainfall Regression analysis Relative humidity Risk Factors Rodentia - growth & development Science Scrub typhus Scrub Typhus - epidemiology Scrub Typhus - transmission Seasons Skin Southern Oscillation Studies Temperature effects Transmission rate (communications) Tropical diseases Typhus Ulcers Vectors (Biology) Viruses |
| title | Climate variability, animal reservoir and transmission of scrub typhus in Southern China |
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